Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Group Stage - 1

Nigeria vs Madagascar Prediction

- : -25 September 2026 at 17:00World
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AuthorAlexander Bryant

Alexander has more than five years of experience producing sports betting content for international audiences. He researches bookmakers, verifies important information and creates practical guides for both new and experienced bettors. His main objective is to make complex betting topics clear, accurate and easy to understand.

Published: 24 Sept 2026

Match preview

Nigeria host Madagascar on 25 September 2026 at 19:00 in the opening round of 2027 Africa Cup of Nations qualification at Godswill Akpabio Stadium in Uyo. The Super Eagles missed consecutive World Cups but reached the final of the 2023 Africa Cup of Nations and semifinals of the 2021 tournament. Madagascar's last 18 qualifying matches across the continental competition have yielded just two wins, though they hold a memorable 2-0 victory over Nigeria from the 2019 Africa Cup of Nations group stage.

Victor Osimhen misses out through injury, but Nigeria retain attacking depth with Ademola Lookman, Alex Iwobi and Akor Adams available. Ola Aina returns to the squad. Stanley Nwabali and Maduka Okoye compete for the goalkeeper role. Madagascar manager Corentin Martins calls on Marco Ilaimaharitra, Rayan Raveloson and Thomas Fontaine for experience, with Warren Caddy returning and Romain Ferrier earning a first call-up.

Form and H2H

Nigeria's home record over their last ten matches reads five wins, four draws and one loss, averaging 1.84 goals for and 0.81 against. Away from home, Madagascar have won five of their last ten, drawn two and lost three, scoring 1.82 goals per game and conceding 1.75. The teams met at the 2019 Africa Cup of Nations with Madagascar winning 2-0.

Best bet

Nigeria to win by two or more goals. The Super Eagles' home form and attacking options should prove decisive against a Madagascar side that has struggled in qualifying. Lookman and Iwobi can exploit spaces in the visitors' defence. Back a Nigeria win at 1.17 with Melbet, 1.18 with 1xBet or 22Bet, or 1.17 with Mostbet.

Odds to watch

The draw sits at 6.2 with Melbet, 1xBet and 22Bet, or 5.1 with Mostbet. Madagascar's odds of 14.4 with Melbet, 1xBet and 22Bet, or 12 with Mostbet, reflect their qualifying struggles and the gap in continental pedigree.

Nigeria vs Madagascar Odds

Bookmaker1X2Bet
Melbet1.176.214.4Place a bet
1xBet1.186.214.4Place a bet
Mostbet1.175.112Place a bet
22Bet1.186.214.4Place a bet
Best odds1.186.2014.40
Average1.175.9213.80
Lowest odds1.175.1012.00
Compare odds
1xBet

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1X2 prediction for Nigeria vs Madagascar

Date and time 25 September 2026 at 17:00

1X211.1779%
O/UO 1.5100%
DC1/X89%
BTTSYes60%
1 79%X 10%2 11%

W1(-1.5)

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Nigeria vs Madagascar Odds statistic

Average rates from the last stored matches for each team.

NigeriaNigeriaLast matchesMadagascarMadagascar
100%Over 0.5 goals100%
100%Over 1.5 goals100%
80%Over 2.5 goals60%
40%Over 3.5 goals60%
60%BTTS60%
60%Last 5 BTTS60%

Head to Head Nigeria — Madagascar

In the last 1 meetings, Madagascar hold the edge — 0 wins for Nigeria, 1 for Madagascar, 0 draws.

0% W — 00% D — 0100% W — 1
  • MadagascarMadagascar2:0NigeriaNigeria
    Africa Cup of Nations · 30 Jun 2019
100%Over 0.5100%
100%Over 1.5100%
0%Over 2.50%
0%BTTS0%
0%Nigeria over 0.5100%

Betting profits Nigeria vs Madagascar

Historical P/L if you backed each side on the main markets in their recent matches.

Nigeria

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-0.71714
Match WinnerDraw+1.91514
Match WinnerLose-10.46214
Goals Over/UnderOver 1+0.3022
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1-2.0002
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5+2.671214
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-8.19214
Goals Over/UnderOver 2+3.441113
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2-5.67513
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5+5.43914
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5-6.11514
Goals Over/UnderOver 0.5-0.5456
Goals Over/UnderUnder 0.5+0.5616
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5+5.62513
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5-3.02813
Goals Over/UnderOver 3+2.6057
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3-2.1047
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-6.0006
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5+0.7766
Goals Over/UnderOver 4-1.0001
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4+0.0111
Both Teams ScoreYes+3.31610
Both Teams ScoreNo-2.72410

Madagascar

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-0.07512
Match WinnerDraw-0.54412
Match WinnerLose-7.03312
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5+2.221012
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-7.26212
Goals Over/UnderOver 2+2.11911
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2-3.44611
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5+1.50612
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5-2.91612
Goals Over/UnderOver 3+1.8758
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3-2.0858
Goals Over/UnderOver 1-0.4445
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1-1.1115
Goals Over/UnderOver 0.5+0.0822
Goals Over/UnderUnder 0.5-2.0002
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5-1.0413
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5-0.7023
Goals Over/UnderOver 4-2.0013
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4+0.0533
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-2.0002
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5+0.3522
Both Teams ScoreYes+3.44610
Both Teams ScoreNo-3.05410

Match statistics

In-play and full-time match stats appear after kick-off.

NigeriaLast matches Nigeria

In the last 5 matches Nigeria have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses. BTTS landed in 60% of those games.

40% W — 240% D — 220% L — 1
  • PortugalPortugal2:1NigeriaNigeria
    LFriendlies · 10 Jun 2026
  • PolandPoland2:2NigeriaNigeria
    DFriendlies · 03 Jun 2026
  • JamaicaJamaica0:3NigeriaNigeria
    WFriendlies · 30 May 2026
  • NigeriaNigeria2:0ZimbabweZimbabwe
    WFriendlies · 26 May 2026
  • JordanJordan2:2NigeriaNigeria
    DFriendlies · 31 Mar 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
1
Goals / game
2.0
Over 1.5
100%
Over 2.5
80%
BTTS
60%

MadagascarLast matches Madagascar

In the last 5 matches Madagascar have 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses. BTTS landed in 60% of those games.

40% W — 220% D — 140% L — 2
  • MoroccoMorocco4:0MadagascarMadagascar
    LFriendlies · 02 Jun 2026
  • Equatorial GuineaEquatorial Guinea1:1MadagascarMadagascar
    DFriendlies · 31 Mar 2026
  • KyrgyzstanKyrgyzstan2:5MadagascarMadagascar
    WFriendlies · 28 Mar 2026
  • MadagascarMadagascar2:0Equatorial GuineaEquatorial Guinea
    WFriendlies · 17 Nov 2025
  • MaliMali4:1MadagascarMadagascar
    LWorld Cup - Qualification Africa · 12 Oct 2025

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
2
Goals / game
1.8
Over 1.5
100%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS
60%

Nigeria vs Madagascar Standings

League table is not available for this competition snapshot yet.

Comparative team statistics

240%Wins40%2
240%Draws20%1
120%Losses40%2
10100%Goals scored90%9
655%Goals conceded100%11
00%Points0%0

Season statistic Nigeria vs Madagascar

NigeriaNigeria

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 1 / 1
  • Lost home / away 0 / 1
  • Goals scored 10 (2.0)
  • Goals conceded 6 (1.2)
  • Clean sheets 2
  • Failed to score 0

MadagascarMadagascar

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 1 / 1
  • Lost home / away 0 / 2
  • Goals scored 9 (1.8)
  • Goals conceded 11 (2.2)
  • Clean sheets 1
  • Failed to score 1

Match details

  • Status Not Started

Lineups

NigeriaNigeria

Lineups are usually published 30–60 minutes before kick-off.

MadagascarMadagascar

Lineups are usually published 30–60 minutes before kick-off.

Injuries and suspensions

NigeriaNigeria

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

MadagascarMadagascar

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

Independent match preview. Odds and availability change — confirm on the bookmaker site. 18+.

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