Palermo vs Padova Prediction

Palermo host Padova in Serie B on 19 September 2026 at 16:00. The pick is Palermo 2–1 Padova. Palermo have won six of their last ten matches at home, averaging 2.00 goals for and 1.10 against. Padova arrive on a weaker road record: four wins, two draws, and four losses in their last ten, with 1.44 goals scored and 1.77 conceded per game. Head-to-head favours the hosts decisively. In their last six meetings since 2018, Palermo have won four and drawn one, with Padova managing only a single victory. The most recent clash in March 2026 ended 1–0 to Palermo.

Form and H2H

Palermo's home form is the foundation here. They score consistently and keep clean sheets more often than not, with profit trends showing strength in Over 1.5 Goals markets at 1.45 units gained. Padova's away struggles are pronounced: they have conceded 1.77 goals per game on the road and show negative profit in most defensive markets. In direct matchups, Palermo have not lost to Padova since 2018. The visitors' only recent success came in April 2019 with a 1–1 draw at the Renzo Barbera.

Best Bet

Palermo 2–1 Padova reflects the hosts' attacking threat and Padova's defensive fragility on the road. Both teams have scored in four of the last six meetings, and Palermo's home average of 2.00 goals for suggests they will break through. Padova's 1.77 goals conceded away indicates they will struggle to keep a clean sheet. This scoreline balances Palermo's superiority with Padova's capacity to find the net on occasion.

Odds to Watch

Over 1.5 Goals carries strong historical value for Palermo at home. Over 2.5 Goals is worth monitoring given the attacking patterns in recent fixtures. Both Teams to Score has landed in four of the last six head-to-head meetings, making it a viable secondary angle. Palermo's clean sheet odds are worth avoiding, as profit trends suggest they concede regularly at the Barbera.