Brasileirão Série A · Regular Season - 29

Palmeiras vs Bahia Prediction

- : -9 October 2026 at 03:30Brazil
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AuthorAlexander Bryant

Alexander has more than five years of experience producing sports betting content for international audiences. He researches bookmakers, verifies important information and creates practical guides for both new and experienced bettors. His main objective is to make complex betting topics clear, accurate and easy to understand.

Published: 08 Oct 2026

Match preview

Palmeiras host Bahia on 9 October 2026 at 03:30 in Serie A. Abel Ferreira's side has stumbled through their recent stretch, mixing solid wins with goalless draws and failing to climb the table consistently. In their last six matches, Palmeiras won only twice: a 2–0 victory over São Paulo and a 1–0 win against LDU Quito. The defence has cracked under pressure. After beating the Ecuadorian side, Palmeiras conceded three goals in the return fixture, losing 2–3. They then drew 0–0 in consecutive games against Botafogo and Grêmio, unable to break down their opponents.

Form and Head to Head

Palmeiras have won five of their last ten home matches, with four draws and one loss. They average 1.40 goals for and 0.50 against at home. Bahia's away record shows four wins, five draws, and one loss over the same span, averaging 1.60 goals scored and 1.20 conceded on the road. The visitors arrive as a threat on the counter but carry defensive vulnerabilities that Palmeiras can exploit.

Best Bet

Palmeiras do not lose. The home side's recent form wobbles, yet their five wins in ten matches at the Allianz Parque and their defensive solidity at home make them the safer play. Back the home win or the draw at 1xBet 1.58 for the win or 1xBet 4.34 for the draw.

Odds to Watch

Palmeiras' inability to score in their last two outings makes the Over 2.5 market worth monitoring. Mostbet prices the home win at 1.60 and the away win at 4.80. If you expect a low-scoring affair, the draw at Melbet 4.28 offers value given Palmeiras' recent pattern of stalemates.

Palmeiras vs Bahia Odds

Bookmaker1X2Bet
Melbet1.564.285.55Place a bet
1xBet1.584.345.62Place a bet
1Win1.624.115.2Place a bet
Mostbet1.64.14.8Place a bet
Best odds1.624.345.62
Average1.594.215.29
Lowest odds1.564.104.80
Compare odds
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1X2 prediction for Palmeiras vs Bahia

Date and time 9 October 2026 at 03:30

1X211.5661%
DC1/X83%
BTTSYes50%
1 61%X 22%2 17%

Palmeiras win

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Palmeiras vs Bahia Odds statistic

Average rates from the last stored matches for each team.

PalmeirasPalmeirasLast matchesBahiaBahia
60%Over 0.5 goals100%
40%Over 1.5 goals100%
20%Over 2.5 goals80%
20%Over 3.5 goals40%
20%BTTS80%
20%Last 5 BTTS80%

Head to Head Palmeiras — Bahia

In the last 8 meetings, Palmeiras hold the edge — 4 wins for Palmeiras, 3 for Bahia, 1 draws.

50% W — 413% D — 138% W — 3
  • BahiaBahia1:2PalmeirasPalmeiras
    Serie A · 05 Apr 2026
  • BahiaBahia1:0PalmeirasPalmeiras
    Serie A · 28 Sept 2025
  • PalmeirasPalmeiras0:1BahiaBahia
    Serie A · 27 Apr 2025
  • BahiaBahia1:2PalmeirasPalmeiras
    Serie A · 20 Nov 2024
  • PalmeirasPalmeiras2:0BahiaBahia
    Serie A · 07 Jul 2024
  • PalmeirasPalmeiras1:0BahiaBahia
    Serie A · 28 Oct 2023
  • BahiaBahia1:0PalmeirasPalmeiras
    Serie A · 22 Jun 2023
  • BahiaBahia0:0PalmeirasPalmeiras
    Serie A · 13 Oct 2021
88%Over 0.588%
38%Over 1.538%
25%Over 2.525%
25%BTTS25%
50%Palmeiras over 0.563%

Betting profits Palmeiras vs Bahia

Historical P/L if you backed each side on the main markets in their recent matches.

Palmeiras

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-5.71615
Match WinnerDraw+7.16615
Match WinnerLose-4.52315
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5-2.69915
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5+6.19615
Goals Over/UnderOver 2-2.37915
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2+3.99915
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-2.05615
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5+1.37915
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-4.32412
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3+1.941012
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5+1.35415
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5-0.621115
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5+2.98211
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5-0.92911
Goals Over/UnderOver 0.5+0.2122
Goals Over/UnderUnder 0.5-2.0002

Bahia

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-0.71614
Match WinnerDraw+3.74514
Match WinnerLose-7.39314
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5+1.381214
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-6.61214
Goals Over/UnderOver 2+0.27911
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2-1.32611
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-1.13714
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5-0.59714
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-0.72714
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3-0.321014
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5-0.05413
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5-0.40913
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5+12.14413
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5-2.65913

Match statistics

In-play and full-time match stats appear after kick-off.

PalmeirasLast matches Palmeiras

In the last 5 matches Palmeiras have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses. BTTS landed in 20% of those games.

40% W — 240% D — 220% L — 1
  • GremioGremio0:0PalmeirasPalmeiras
    DSerie A · 20 Sept 2026
  • LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito3:2PalmeirasPalmeiras
    LCONMEBOL Libertadores · 16 Sept 2026
  • PalmeirasPalmeiras2:0Sao PauloSao Paulo
    WSerie A · 12 Sept 2026
  • PalmeirasPalmeiras1:0LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito
    WCONMEBOL Libertadores · 09 Sept 2026
  • BotafogoBotafogo0:0PalmeirasPalmeiras
    DSerie A · 06 Sept 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
1
Goals / game
1.0
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
20%
BTTS
20%

BahiaLast matches Bahia

Bahia are in a strong run: 4 wins in the last 5 matches, scoring 2.2 goals per game.

80% W — 40% D — 020% L — 1
  • Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense2:1BahiaBahia
    LSerie A · 20 Sept 2026
  • BahiaBahia2:1remoremo
    WSerie A · 14 Sept 2026
  • RB BragantinoRB Bragantino2:3BahiaBahia
    WSerie A · 05 Sept 2026
  • BahiaBahia3:2InternacionalInternacional
    WSerie A · 30 Aug 2026
  • VitoriaVitoria0:2BahiaBahia
    WSerie A · 23 Aug 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
4
Draws
0
Losses
1
Goals / game
2.2
Over 1.5
100%
Over 2.5
80%
BTTS
80%

Palmeiras vs Bahia Standings

#TeamMPWDLGDiffPts
1FlamengoFlamengo28186455-233260
2PalmeirasPalmeiras28169347-212657
3Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense28147743-321149
4FluminenseFluminense28139644-36848
5BahiaBahia281210643-35846
6CruzeiroCruzeiro28136942-40245
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG28127937-32543
8SantosSantos28118943-41241
9CoritibaCoritiba281081037-43-638
10RB BragantinoRB Bragantino291071234-33137
11Sao PauloSao Paulo281061233-32136
12VitoriaVitoria291061332-42-1036
13BotafogoBotafogo29981242-47-535
14Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama28971236-42-634
15MirassolMirassol29891234-43-933
16CorinthiansCorinthians29881330-34-432
17InternacionalInternacional297101232-37-531
18GremioGremio29791331-39-830
19remoremo29591533-48-1524
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc28391629-57-2818
League position 2 / 20Comparative team statisticsLeague position 5 / 20
1657%Wins43%12
932%Draws36%10
311%Losses21%6
47100%Goals scored91%43
2160%Goals conceded100%35
57100%Points81%46

Season statistic Palmeiras vs Bahia

PalmeirasPalmeiras

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 2 / 0
  • Lost home / away 0 / 1
  • Goals scored 5 (1.0)
  • Goals conceded 3 (0.6)
  • Clean sheets 4
  • Failed to score 2

BahiaBahia

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 2 / 2
  • Lost home / away 0 / 1
  • Goals scored 11 (2.2)
  • Goals conceded 7 (1.4)
  • Clean sheets 1
  • Failed to score 0

Match details

  • Status Not Started
  • Venue Allianz Parque, Sao Paulo
  • Referee Braulio da Silva Machado

Lineups

PalmeirasPalmeiras

Lineups are usually published 30–60 minutes before kick-off.

BahiaBahia

Lineups are usually published 30–60 minutes before kick-off.

Injuries and suspensions

PalmeirasPalmeiras

  • Paulinho — Unavailable. Muscle Injury
  • Jefté — Unavailable. Knee Injury

BahiaBahia

  • Léo Vieira — Unavailable. Knee Injury
  • M. Araújo — Unavailable. Hamstring Injury

Independent match preview. Odds and availability change — confirm on the bookmaker site. 18+.

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