Kirin Cup · Semi-finals

Panama vs New Zealand Prediction

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AuthorAlexander Bryant

Alexander has more than five years of experience producing sports betting content for international audiences. He researches bookmakers, verifies important information and creates practical guides for both new and experienced bettors. His main objective is to make complex betting topics clear, accurate and easy to understand.

Published: 30 Sept 2026Updated: 01 Oct 2026, 10:40

Match preview

Panama and New Zealand meet in the Kirin Cup semi-final on 1 October 2026 at 09:10 in Yokohama. This rare fixture between CONCACAF and Oceania brings together contrasting styles. Panama operates at high tempo with a physical, vertical approach that leans on wide play and sustained pressure in the opponent's half. New Zealand counters with defensive discipline, a compact mid-block, and an emphasis on set pieces and aerial dominance where their size becomes a tactical asset.

Form and H2H

Panama enters as the technically more complete side and will aim to control the match from the opening minutes, forcing errors through central pressure. New Zealand's strength lies in resilience and organization. They will look to absorb Panama's attacking intensity and exploit counterattacking opportunities. The tactical battle will center on Panama's combination play against New Zealand's compact shape and dangerous transitions.

Best Bet

Over 2.5 goals. Panama's attacking intent and New Zealand's reliance on direct play and set pieces create conditions for an entertaining match with multiple scoring chances. The difference in individual quality favors Panama's attacking variety, but New Zealand's physical approach and counterattacking threat ensure both teams will generate opportunities. Back Over 2.5 at 22Bet 3.38 or Mostbet 3.05.

Odds to Watch

Panama win at 1xBet 2.71 and 22Bet 2.71 reflects their technical superiority and home advantage in tempo control. New Zealand at 1xBet 2.81 and 22Bet 2.81 offers value for a side capable of frustrating Panama's rhythm and punishing mistakes on the break. The draw at 1xBet 3.38 and 22Bet 3.38 remains a genuine possibility given New Zealand's defensive organization.

Panama vs New Zealand Odds

Bookmaker1X2Bet
1xBet2.693.432.8Place a bet
Mostbet2.433.212.65Place a bet
22Bet2.693.422.8Place a bet
Best odds2.693.432.80
Average2.603.352.75
Lowest odds2.433.212.65
Compare odds
1xBet

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1X2 prediction for Panama vs New Zealand

Date and time 1 October 2026 at 07:10

1X212.6936%
DC1/X65%
BTTSYes60%
1 36%X 29%2 35%

Panama win

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Panama vs New Zealand Odds statistic

Average rates from the last stored matches for each team.

PanamaPanamaLast matchesNew ZealandNew Zealand
100%Over 0.5 goals100%
60%Over 1.5 goals100%
0%Over 2.5 goals100%
0%Over 3.5 goals80%
40%BTTS80%
40%Last 5 BTTS80%

Head to Head Panama — New Zealand

In the last 1 meetings, New Zealand hold the edge — 0 wins for Panama, 0 for New Zealand, 1 draws.

0% W — 0100% D — 10% W — 0
  • PanamaPanama1:1New ZealandNew Zealand
    Friendlies · 01 Oct 2026
100%Over 0.5100%
100%Over 1.5100%
0%Over 2.50%
100%BTTS100%
100%Panama over 0.5100%

Betting profits Panama vs New Zealand

Historical P/L if you backed each side on the main markets in their recent matches.

Panama

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-4.98515
Match WinnerDraw+4.06515
Match WinnerLose-7.16515
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5-1.20913
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-0.48413
Goals Over/UnderOver 2-2.26913
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2+3.141013
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-6.03515
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5+4.011015
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-3.03411
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3+1.23811
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5-8.52213
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5+2.321113
Goals Over/UnderOver 4-0.3313
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4-0.2423
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5+3.7524
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5-1.5124
Goals Over/UnderOver 10.0011
Goals Over/UnderUnder 10.0011
Both Teams ScoreYes+2.4446
Both Teams ScoreNo-2.6926

New Zealand

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-6.61214
Match WinnerDraw-1.46314
Match WinnerLose+1.04914
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5+0.401013
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-0.43313
Goals Over/UnderOver 2+2.77911
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2-4.60311
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5+4.50914
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5-3.29514
Goals Over/UnderOver 3+7.14914
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3-3.54714
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5+7.87613
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5-3.11713
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-7.55110
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5+0.22910
Goals Over/UnderOver 1+0.1822
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1-2.0002
Goals Over/UnderOver 4+0.9822
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4-1.0012
Goals Over/UnderOver 0.5+0.0211
Goals Over/UnderUnder 0.5-1.0001
Both Teams ScoreYes+1.2947
Both Teams ScoreNo-2.0837

Match statistics

6464%Possession %36%36
1150%Total shots50%11
267%Shots on target33%1
436%Shots off target64%7
233%Corners67%4
1365%Fouls35%7
1100%Yellow cards0%0
00%Red cards0%0
62065%Passes35%339
55966%Accurate passes34%287
00%Saves100%1
240%Offsides60%3

Key events

  • 13'
    Goal M. Stamenić (B. Waine)
    New Zealand
  • 45'
    Substitution J. Gutiérrez (→ O. Valencia)
    Panama
  • 45+1'
    Goal A. Herbert (J. Rodríguez)
    Panama
  • 56'
    Substitution J. Ramos (→ M. Krug)
    Panama
  • 56'
    Substitution A. Herbert (→ A. Londoño)
    Panama
  • 66'
    Substitution A. Carrasquilla (→ D. Murillo)
    Panama
  • 67'
    Substitution Cristian Jesús Martínez (→ V. Griffith)
    Panama
  • 67'
    Substitution A. Rufer (→ D. Ingham)
    New Zealand
  • 67'
    Substitution C. Elliot (→ L. Bayliss)
    New Zealand
  • 67'
    Substitution B. Waine (→ J. Randall)
    New Zealand
  • 71'
    Substitution J. Fajardo (→ M. Jimenez)
    Panama
  • 71'
    Substitution C. Wood (→ D. Wilkins)
    New Zealand
  • 71'
    Substitution L. Rogerson (→ M. Dyer)
    New Zealand
  • 84'
    Substitution E. Just (→ G. Stanger)
    New Zealand
  • 84'
    Substitution B. Old (→ S. Sutton)
    New Zealand
  • 88'
    Yellow card M. Krug
    Panama
  • 91'
    Penalty Tyler Bindon
    New Zealand
  • 92'
    Penalty M. Stamenić
    New Zealand
  • 92'
    Penalty A. Murillo
    Panama
  • 93'
    Penalty C. Harvey
    Panama
  • 94'
    Penalty M. Dyer
    New Zealand
  • 95'
    Missed Penalty M. Jimenez
    Panama
  • 96'
    Penalty L. Bayliss
    New Zealand
  • 97'
    Penalty V. Griffith
    Panama
  • 98'
    Penalty M. Boxall
    New Zealand

PanamaLast matches Panama

Panama have not won in the last 5 matches (2 draws, 3 losses).

0% W — 040% D — 260% L — 3
  • IndiaIndia1:1PanamaPanama
    DFriendlies · 25 Sept 2026
  • PanamaPanama0:2EnglandEngland
    LWorld Cup · 27 Jun 2026
  • PanamaPanama0:1CroatiaCroatia
    LWorld Cup · 24 Jun 2026
  • GhanaGhana1:0PanamaPanama
    LWorld Cup · 18 Jun 2026
  • PanamaPanama1:1Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina
    DFriendlies · 06 Jun 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
3
Goals / game
0.4
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
0%
BTTS
40%

New ZealandLast matches New Zealand

In the last 5 matches New Zealand have 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses. BTTS landed in 80% of those games.

20% W — 140% D — 240% L — 2
  • ChinaChina0:3New ZealandNew Zealand
    WFriendlies · 27 Sept 2026
  • PalestinePalestine2:2New ZealandNew Zealand
    DFriendlies · 24 Sept 2026
  • New ZealandNew Zealand1:5BelgiumBelgium
    LWorld Cup · 27 Jun 2026
  • New ZealandNew Zealand1:3EgyptEgypt
    LWorld Cup · 22 Jun 2026
  • IranIran2:2New ZealandNew Zealand
    DWorld Cup · 16 Jun 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
2
Goals / game
1.8
Over 1.5
100%
Over 2.5
100%
BTTS
80%

Panama vs New Zealand Standings

League table is not available for this competition snapshot yet.

Comparative team statistics

00%Wins20%1
240%Draws40%2
360%Losses40%2
222%Goals scored100%9
650%Goals conceded100%12
00%Points0%0

Season statistic Panama vs New Zealand

PanamaPanama

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 0 / 0
  • Lost home / away 2 / 1
  • Goals scored 2 (0.4)
  • Goals conceded 6 (1.2)
  • Clean sheets 0
  • Failed to score 3

New ZealandNew Zealand

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 0 / 1
  • Lost home / away 2 / 0
  • Goals scored 9 (1.8)
  • Goals conceded 12 (2.4)
  • Clean sheets 1
  • Failed to score 0

Match details

  • Status Finished After Penalty · Finished after penalties
  • Venue Nissan Stadium, Yokohama
  • Referee Koji Takasaki

Lineups

PanamaPanama · 5-4-1

Starting XI

  1. O. Mosquera
  2. C. Blackman
  3. A. Murillo
  4. J. Ramos
  5. C. Harvey
  6. J. Gutiérrez
  7. A. Herbert
  8. Cristian Jesús Martínez
  9. A. Carrasquilla
  10. J. Rodríguez
  11. J. Fajardo

Bench

  1. M. Jimenez
  2. J. Jones
  3. E. Anderson
  4. M. Krug
  5. A. Londoño
  6. J. Modelo
  7. R. Mosquera
  8. D. Murillo
  9. E. Roberts
  10. T. Rodríguez
  11. O. Valencia
  12. M. De Leon
  13. V. Griffith

New ZealandNew Zealand · 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. A. Paulsen
  2. C. Elliot
  3. M. Boxall
  4. Tyler Bindon
  5. B. Old
  6. A. Rufer
  7. M. Stamenić
  8. L. Rogerson
  9. E. Just
  10. B. Waine
  11. C. Wood

Bench

  1. M. Woud
  2. H. Gray
  3. D. Ingham
  4. G. Stanger
  5. S. Sutton
  6. B. Tuiloma
  7. D. Wilkins
  8. L. Bayliss
  9. O. Parker-Price
  10. J. Randall
  11. S. Ukich
  12. M. Dyer

Injuries and suspensions

PanamaPanama

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

New ZealandNew Zealand

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

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