Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor Prediction

Samsunspor hosts Trabzonspor on 10 October 2026 at 16:00 in a Süper Lig clash between two sides heading in opposite directions. Samsunspor has won just one of its last five matches, losing four, while Trabzonspor has taken two wins from five. The home side's recent form masks a deeper problem: despite generating chances, Samsunspor cannot finish. Against Koçaelispor, they managed 19 shots and three clear-cut opportunities but lost 0–1. Against Fenerbahçe, 15 shots and 7 on target with an expected goals figure of 1.82 still ended 0–2. That wastefulness compounds a fragile defence that has conceded in four of the last five outings, shipping seven goals across just two home matches.

Trabzonspor's record reads better on paper. Two wins in five, 10 goals scored, 4 conceded. But those numbers hide a sharp split: at home, they demolished Gençlerbirliği 5–0 and Galatasaray 4–0. Away, they have managed only one goal across three matches while conceding three. At Konyaspor, they held 71% possession, took 15 shots, created three big chances, and scored nothing. The away form is a genuine weakness.

Form and H2H

The last six meetings between these clubs tell a story of tight contests. Samsunspor won 2–1 in January 2025 and again 3–1 in May 2025, but Trabzonspor replied with a 2–2 draw in late May. Before that, Trabzonspor won 2–1 in January 2024 and 3–0 in December 2022. In four of the last five head-to-head matches, no more than three goals were scored. The average across those five games was 2.4 goals. Samsunspor scored in only two of the last five meetings; Trabzonspor managed just one goal in three away fixtures against this opponent.

Best Bet

Under 3.5 goals offers value. Samsunspor's finishing has dried up despite creating chances. Trabzonspor's away attack has collapsed, scoring once in three road trips. The head-to-head pattern reinforces this: four of five recent meetings stayed under 3.5. At 1xBet, the draw is priced at 3.84, offering a middle ground if neither side breaks through early.

Odds to Watch

Trabzonspor's away record makes the away win less attractive than the odds suggest. At 1xBet, a Trabzonspor victory sits at 2.06, but their one goal in three away games this season argues for caution. A home win at 1xBet's 3.52 or 1Win's 3.6 has merit given Samsunspor's desperation to stop the bleeding, even if their execution remains suspect. The draw at 1Win's 3.64 reflects the tightness of this fixture.