J1 League · Regular Season - 10

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga Prediction

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AuthorAlexander Bryant

Alexander has more than five years of experience producing sports betting content for international audiences. He researches bookmakers, verifies important information and creates practical guides for both new and experienced bettors. His main objective is to make complex betting topics clear, accurate and easy to understand.

Published: 16 Oct 2026Updated: 17 Oct 2026, 07:40

Match preview

Sanfrecce Hiroshima host Kyoto Sanga on 17 October 2026 at 08:00 in the J1 League. Hiroshima sit seventh in the 20-team table and are among the main contenders for a top finish. The club carries three championship titles and eight top-division wins across its history. Manager Bartos Gaul's side has won six consecutive matches without defeat, outscoring opponents 17-1 in that run. A 6-1 demolition of Cerezo Osaka showcased their attacking depth, while clean-sheet wins over Tokyo Verdi (2-0) and Matsumoto Yamaga (1-0) proved defensive solidity. Shimoji Kobayashi opened the scoring in their last outing on 20 minutes after a Muto Kato pass, setting the tone for the dominant display Hiroshima bring to their home ground.

Form and H2H

Hiroshima's last ten matches read eight wins, one draw, one loss, averaging 2.48 goals for and 0.52 against. Kyoto arrive on a weaker run: four wins, two draws, four losses over ten games, with an average of 0.93 goals scored and 1.06 conceded. Head-to-head history tilts toward Hiroshima's recent dominance. Kyoto won 1-0 in March 2025 and November 2024, but Hiroshima's 5-0 demolition of Kyoto in May 2024 and 3-1 victory in June 2023 show the gulf in quality when both teams are sharp. The draw from October 2022 remains the only stalemate across six meetings.

Best Bet

Back Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win at 1.36 with 1Win. Hiroshima's form, home record, and head-to-head advantage make them clear favorites. Kyoto have conceded 1.06 goals per game on the road and lack the attacking threat to trouble a defense that has shipped just 0.52 per match at home.

Odds to Watch

The draw sits at 5.1 with 1Win, a price that undervalues Kyoto's recent upset wins in this fixture. Kyoto's away form is fragile, but their two victories over Hiroshima in 2024-25 suggest occasional resilience. The away win at 7.5 offers value only for those backing a major upset, given Kyoto's 0.93 goals-per-game average on the road.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga Odds

Bookmaker1X2Bet
1xBet1.385.257.41Place a bet
22Bet1.395.257.41Place a bet
Best odds1.395.257.41
Average1.385.257.41
Lowest odds1.385.257.41
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1xBet

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1X2 prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga

Date and time 17 October 2026 at 06:00

1X227.41
BTTSNo10%

Competitive fixture

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Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga Odds statistic

Average rates from the last stored matches for each team.

Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce H.Last matchesKyoto SangaKyoto Sanga
100%Over 0.5 goals80%
60%Over 1.5 goals20%
20%Over 2.5 goals20%
20%Over 3.5 goals0%
0%BTTS20%
0%Last 5 BTTS20%

Head to Head Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Kyoto Sanga

In the last 8 meetings, Kyoto Sanga hold the edge — 3 wins for Sanfrecce Hiroshima, 4 for Kyoto Sanga, 1 draws.

38% W — 313% D — 150% W — 4
  • Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga0:4Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima
    J1 League · 17 May 2026
  • Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima1:2Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga
    J1 League · 27 Feb 2026
  • Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima1:1Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga
    J1 League · 12 Sept 2025
  • Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga1:0Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima
    J1 League · 29 Mar 2025
  • Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima0:1Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga
    J1 League · 03 Nov 2024
  • Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga0:5Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima
    J1 League · 19 May 2024
  • Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga1:0Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima
    J1 League · 23 Sept 2023
  • Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima3:1Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga
    J1 League · 04 Jun 2023
100%Over 0.5100%
63%Over 1.563%
50%Over 2.550%
38%BTTS38%
63%Sanfrecce H. over 0.575%

Betting profits Sanfrecce H. vs Kyoto Sanga

Historical P/L if you backed each side on the main markets in their recent matches.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin+2.681114
Match WinnerDraw-4.76214
Match WinnerLose-10.26114
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-1.72713
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5+1.64613
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-0.34814
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3-0.37814
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5+0.72614
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5-1.34814
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5-1.36811
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5+3.80311
Goals Over/UnderOver 2+0.2345
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2-0.8525
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5+6.77412
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5-2.17812
Goals Over/UnderOver 4+0.4423
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4-0.5523

Kyoto Sanga

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-2.67413
Match WinnerDraw-1.89313
Match WinnerLose+1.31613
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5-1.56812
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5+4.07412
Goals Over/UnderOver 2-0.73711
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2+1.66511
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-0.64613
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5+1.87713
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5-3.10313
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5+0.731013
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-4.31310
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3+2.57810
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-3.6819
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5+0.1889
Goals Over/UnderOver 0.5+0.1011
Goals Over/UnderUnder 0.5-1.0001

Match statistics

6363%Possession %37%37
1.9472%Expected goals28%0.75
2477%Total shots23%7
778%Shots on target22%2
1077%Shots off target23%3
969%Corners31%4
630%Fouls70%14
150%Yellow cards50%1
00%Red cards0%0
51063%Passes37%302
41265%Accurate passes35%218
233%Saves67%4
1100%Offsides0%0

Key events

Sanfrecce HiroshimaLast matches Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sanfrecce Hiroshima are in a strong run: 5 wins in the last 5 matches, scoring 2.0 goals per game.

100% W — 50% D — 00% L — 0
  • Matsumoto YamagaMatsumoto Yamaga0:1Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima
    WJ-League Cup · 14 Oct 2026
  • Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy0:2Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima
    WJ1 League · 11 Oct 2026
  • Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima4:0IwakiIwaki
    WEmperor Cup · 07 Oct 2026
  • Tochigi CityTochigi City0:2Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima
    WJ-League Cup · 29 Sept 2026
  • Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka0:1Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima
    WJ1 League · 19 Sept 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
5
Draws
0
Losses
0
Goals / game
2.0
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
20%
BTTS
0%

Kyoto SangaLast matches Kyoto Sanga

Kyoto Sanga are in a strong run: 3 wins in the last 5 matches, scoring 0.8 goals per game.

60% W — 320% D — 120% L — 1
  • Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga1:0RatchaburiRatchaburi
    WAFC Champions League Elite · 13 Oct 2026
  • Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga0:1Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia
    LJ1 League · 10 Oct 2026
  • Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia0:0Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga
    DJ-League Cup · 03 Oct 2026
  • Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga1:0Fujieda MYFCFujieda MYFC
    WEmperor Cup · 23 Sept 2026
  • Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama1:2Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga
    WJ1 League · 19 Sept 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
3
Draws
1
Losses
1
Goals / game
0.8
Over 1.5
20%
Over 2.5
20%
BTTS
20%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga Standings

#TeamMPWDLGDiffPts
1Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol970221-14721
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima962122-61620
3Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia962122-101220
4FC TokyoFC Tokyo962117-8920
5Vissel KobeVissel Kobe961214-9519
6KashimaKashima951319-16316
7Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos943213-9415
8Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale934217-14313
9Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama941412-12013
10Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse94148-9-113
11UrawaUrawa940516-21-512
12Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka93337-12-512
13Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock923412-13-19
14V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki923411-16-59
15Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus93069-15-69
16Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga922511-16-58
17Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka921611-13-27
18Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka91358-16-86
19JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba91268-19-115
20Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy90454-14-104
League position 2 / 20Comparative team statisticsLeague position 16 / 20
667%Wins22%2
222%Draws22%2
111%Losses56%5
22100%Goals scored50%11
638%Goals conceded100%16
20100%Points40%8

Season statistic Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga

Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce H.

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 1 / 4
  • Lost home / away 0 / 0
  • Goals scored 10 (2.0)
  • Goals conceded 0 (0.0)
  • Clean sheets 5
  • Failed to score 0

Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 2 / 1
  • Lost home / away 1 / 0
  • Goals scored 4 (0.8)
  • Goals conceded 2 (0.4)
  • Clean sheets 3
  • Failed to score 2

Match details

  • Status Finished
  • Venue Nissan Stadium, Yokohama
  • Referee Koei Koya

Lineups

Injuries and suspensions

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

Kyoto Sanga

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

Independent match preview. Odds and availability change — confirm on the bookmaker site. 18+.

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