Gulf Cup of Nations · Semi-finals

Saudi Arabia vs Qatar Prediction

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AuthorAlexander Bryant

Alexander has more than five years of experience producing sports betting content for international audiences. He researches bookmakers, verifies important information and creates practical guides for both new and experienced bettors. His main objective is to make complex betting topics clear, accurate and easy to understand.

Published: 03 Oct 2026Updated: 03 Oct 2026, 19:12

Match preview

Saudi Arabia and Qatar meet in the Gulf Cup of Nations semi-final on 3 October 2026 at 18:55 in Jeddah. Saudi Arabia has won all three group matches without conceding a goal: 1–0 over Kuwait, 3–0 over Oman, and 2–0 over Iraq. Qatar advanced with two wins and a draw, beating Bahrain 2–0 and Yemen 1–0 before drawing 1–1 with the UAE. The hosts finished their group stage one day earlier than Qatar, giving them a marginal recovery advantage. Both teams arrive unbeaten, but Saudi Arabia's defensive record and home comfort in Jeddah tilt the balance toward the favourites.

Form and H2H

Saudi Arabia has conceded nothing across four consecutive matches in all competitions and remains perfect at home in this tournament. Every Saudi win in Jeddah has been clean: Kuwait, Oman, and Iraq all left empty-handed. Qatar's attack has managed only four goals in three group games, and their last meeting in the Gulf Cup in 2019 ended 1–0 to Saudi Arabia. Four of Qatar's last four Gulf Cup matches have finished under 2.5 goals, a pattern that suggests defensive caution in knockout football where the cost of mistakes rises sharply.

Best Bet

Saudi Arabia to win at 1.71 with 22Bet. The hosts have dominated group play with a 6–0 aggregate and a flawless defence. Qatar's modest attacking output and the semi-final setting, where teams typically tighten up, favour Saudi Arabia's superior control and home advantage.

Odds to Watch

The draw is priced at 3.74 with 22Bet, while Qatar's win stands at 5.15. Given the defensive strength of both sides and the knockout stage's cautious nature, low-scoring outcomes dominate forecasts. Over 89 per cent of predictions expect two goals or fewer, a reflection of the tight, error-averse football typical of semi-finals.

Saudi Arabia vs Qatar Odds

Bookmaker1X2Bet
22Bet1.853.44.6Place a bet
Best odds1.853.404.60
Average1.853.404.60
Lowest odds1.853.404.60
Compare odds

1X2 prediction for Saudi Arabia vs Qatar

Date and time 3 October 2026 at 16:55

1X211.8556%
DC1/X82%
BTTSNo20%
1 56%X 26%2 18%

Saudi Arabia win

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Saudi Arabia vs Qatar Odds statistic

Average rates from the last stored matches for each team.

Saudi ArabiaSaudi ArabiaLast matchesQatarQatar
80%Over 0.5 goals100%
60%Over 1.5 goals80%
40%Over 2.5 goals40%
20%Over 3.5 goals40%
0%BTTS40%
0%Last 5 BTTS40%

Head to Head Saudi Arabia — Qatar

In the last 2 meetings, Qatar hold the edge — 1 wins for Saudi Arabia, 1 for Qatar, 0 draws.

50% W — 10% D — 050% W — 1
  • Saudi ArabiaSaudi Arabia1:0QatarQatar
    Gulf Cup of Nations · 05 Dec 2019
  • Saudi ArabiaSaudi Arabia0:2QatarQatar
    Asian Cup · 17 Jan 2019
100%Over 0.5100%
50%Over 1.550%
0%Over 2.50%
0%BTTS0%
50%Saudi Arabia over 0.550%

Betting profits Saudi Arabia vs Qatar

Historical P/L if you backed each side on the main markets in their recent matches.

Saudi Arabia

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-7.12515
Match WinnerDraw-0.11415
Match WinnerLose-2.66615
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5-1.78914
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5+1.35514
Goals Over/UnderOver 2-1.64914
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2+0.46814
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-1.61715
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5-1.57815
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-2.4659
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3-0.1879
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5-5.93315
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5+0.421215
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-5.0005
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5+1.0855
Goals Over/UnderOver 0.5+0.4644
Goals Over/UnderUnder 0.5-4.0004
Goals Over/UnderOver 40.0011
Goals Over/UnderUnder 40.0011
Both Teams ScoreYes-0.9725
Both Teams ScoreNo+0.0735

Qatar

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-8.96315
Match WinnerDraw+6.10515
Match WinnerLose+3.12715
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5-1.74914
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5+2.53514
Goals Over/UnderOver 2-1.041014
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2-0.79814
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-3.14615
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5+1.38915
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-1.1849
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3+0.0969
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5-5.92315
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5+0.501215
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.50.0016
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5-0.3556
Goals Over/UnderOver 0.5-0.7623
Goals Over/UnderUnder 0.5+3.2413
Goals Over/UnderOver 4-2.0013
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4+0.7533
Both Teams ScoreYes+1.2347
Both Teams ScoreNo-1.8237

Match statistics

In-play and full-time match stats appear after kick-off.

Key events

  • 45'
    Yellow card J. Thakri
    Saudi Arabia
  • 66'
    Substitution S. Mandash (→ A. Al Hamdan)
    Saudi Arabia
  • 69'
    Substitution K. Boudiaf (→ J. Gaber)
    Qatar
  • 69'
    Substitution A. Afif (→ Edmilson Junior)
    Qatar
  • 73'
    Substitution M. Al Harbi (→ N. Boushal)
    Saudi Arabia
  • 78'
    Substitution H. Al Hammami (→ M. Al Qahtani)
    Saudi Arabia
  • 78'
    Substitution S. Abu Al Shamat (→ M. Abu Al Shamat)
    Saudi Arabia
  • 79'
    Substitution A. Fathi (→ T. Salman)
    Qatar
  • 79'
    Substitution A. Al Oui (→ I. Laye)
    Qatar
  • 89'
    Substitution Y. Abdurisag (→ A. Al Ganehi)
    Qatar
  • 91'
    Substitution M. Mahzari (→ H. Tambakti)
    Saudi Arabia
  • 91'
    Substitution J. Thakri (→ M. Ali)
    Saudi Arabia
  • 99'
    Substitution H. Al Amin (→ S. Al Brake)
    Qatar
  • 120+1'
    Yellow card M. Abu Al Shamat
    Saudi Arabia
  • 120+1'
    Missed Penalty A. Ali
    Qatar
  • 120+1'
    Penalty A. Al Hamdan
    Saudi Arabia
  • 120+2'
    Penalty Edmilson Junior
    Qatar
  • 120+2'
    Penalty M. Kanno
    Saudi Arabia
  • 120+3'
    Missed Penalty J. Gaber
    Qatar
  • 120+3'
    Missed Penalty H. Tambakti
    Saudi Arabia
  • 120+4'
    Missed Penalty B. Khoukhi
    Qatar
  • 120+4'
    Missed Penalty F. Al Buraikan
    Saudi Arabia
  • 120+5'
    Penalty A. Al Ganehi
    Qatar
  • 120+5'
    Penalty M. Ali
    Saudi Arabia

Saudi ArabiaLast matches Saudi Arabia

Saudi Arabia are in a strong run: 3 wins in the last 5 matches, scoring 1.2 goals per game.

60% W — 320% D — 120% L — 1
  • Saudi ArabiaSaudi Arabia2:0IraqIraq
    WGulf Cup of Nations · 29 Sept 2026
  • OmanOman0:3Saudi ArabiaSaudi Arabia
    WGulf Cup of Nations · 26 Sept 2026
  • Saudi ArabiaSaudi Arabia1:0KuwaitKuwait
    WGulf Cup of Nations · 23 Sept 2026
  • Cape Verde IslandsCape Verde Islands0:0Saudi ArabiaSaudi Arabia
    DWorld Cup · 27 Jun 2026
  • SpainSpain4:0Saudi ArabiaSaudi Arabia
    LWorld Cup · 21 Jun 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
3
Draws
1
Losses
1
Goals / game
1.2
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS
0%

QatarLast matches Qatar

In the last 5 matches Qatar have 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses. BTTS landed in 40% of those games.

40% W — 220% D — 140% L — 2
  • United Arab EmiratesUnited Arab Emirates1:1QatarQatar
    DGulf Cup of Nations · 30 Sept 2026
  • YemenYemen0:1QatarQatar
    WGulf Cup of Nations · 27 Sept 2026
  • QatarQatar2:0BahrainBahrain
    WGulf Cup of Nations · 24 Sept 2026
  • Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina3:1QatarQatar
    LWorld Cup · 24 Jun 2026
  • CanadaCanada6:0QatarQatar
    LWorld Cup · 18 Jun 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
2
Goals / game
1.0
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS
40%

Saudi Arabia vs Qatar Standings

#TeamMPWDLGDiffPts
1Saudi ArabiaSaudi Arabia33006-069
2OmanOman31114-5-14
3IraqIraq31114-5-14
4KuwaitKuwait30033-7-40
1United Arab EmiratesUnited Arab Emirates32108-177
2QatarQatar32104-137
3YemenYemen31025-7-23
4BahrainBahrain30032-10-80
League position 1 / 8Comparative team statisticsLeague position 2 / 8
3100%Wins67%2
133%Draws33%1
133%Losses67%2
6100%Goals scored67%4
4100%Goals conceded25%1
9100%Points78%7

Season statistic Saudi Arabia vs Qatar

Saudi ArabiaSaudi Arabia

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 2 / 1
  • Lost home / away 0 / 1
  • Goals scored 6 (1.2)
  • Goals conceded 4 (0.8)
  • Clean sheets 4
  • Failed to score 2

QatarQatar

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 1 / 1
  • Lost home / away 0 / 2
  • Goals scored 5 (1.0)
  • Goals conceded 10 (2.0)
  • Clean sheets 2
  • Failed to score 1

Match details

  • Status Finished After Penalty · Finished after penalties

Lineups

Saudi ArabiaSaudi Arabia

Lineups are usually published 30–60 minutes before kick-off.

QatarQatar

Lineups are usually published 30–60 minutes before kick-off.

Injuries and suspensions

Saudi ArabiaSaudi Arabia

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

QatarQatar

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

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