SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg Prediction

SC Freiburg host VfL Wolfsburg in the DFB Pokal on 28 October 2026 at 20:00. Freiburg led the Bundesliga in mid-October but have lost three consecutive matches across all competitions since then, conceding at least two goals in six of their last seven official games. Wolfsburg, competing one division below in the 2. Bundesliga, arrive unbeaten in four league matches with 23 goals scored in nine rounds—the division's highest tally. The visitors have scored at least three times in three of their last four league outings.

Freiburg's defensive problems run deep. Osterhage misses this match through injury, leaving the club short a second centre-back after Engelhardt's earlier absence. Yamamoto, a Japanese midfielder, is the leading candidate to fill the gap in the holding role. Manager Julian Schuster has rotated his squad heavily between the Bayern Munich defeat and this cup tie, signalling he will shuffle the starting XI again. Wolfsburg's injury list is longer: Vini Souza (midfielder) is doubtful, while Rogério, Hornby, Svanberg, Hensel, and Benedict are all out. Arnold stands ready to replace Souza if needed.

Freiburg's fixture congestion works against them—this cup match sits sandwiched between Bundesliga games against Bayern and Augsburg. Wolfsburg's last head-to-head meeting with Freiburg in the league ended 1–1 last season, and the visitors scored four goals across two Bundesliga encounters that campaign.

Form and H2H

Freiburg's recent form reads: loss to Bayer Leverkusen (1–2), loss to Bayern Munich (1–3), and loss to AS Monaco in the Conference League (0–3). The defeats came against elite opposition, but the defensive fragility is genuine. In their last six official matches, Freiburg conceded two or more goals in six instances. Only the Bayern game was played at home during this stretch.

Wolfsburg's four-match unbeaten run in the 2. Bundesliga includes a 1–1 draw with Bochum last time out. They sit fourth, two points behind second place, and remain in the promotion hunt. Their attacking output is exceptional for the division: three goals or more in three of four recent league matches, and ten goals across four recent away league games.

Best bet

Wolfsburg will not lose. The visitors carry momentum, superior attacking numbers, and face a Freiburg side weakened by injuries and fatigue. Freiburg's defensive vulnerabilities—especially in the holding midfield—create space for Wolfsburg's prolific attack. At Melbet and 1xBet, the draw-no-bet option sits at 1.45 for Freiburg; Wolfsburg's no-loss bet trades at 5.96 on Melbet and 1xBet, 5.9 on 1Win, and 5.5 on Mostbet.

Odds to watch

Wolfsburg over 1.5 goals is the secondary angle. Freiburg have leaked at least two goals in six of seven recent official matches. Wolfsburg scored ten times in four recent away league games and four goals across two Bundesliga meetings with Freiburg last season. The home side's midfield is compromised by Osterhage's absence and potential rotation elsewhere. Freiburg's 1X2 odds are 1.45 at Melbet and 1xBet, 1.46 at 1Win, and 1.46 at Mostbet.