Bundesliga · Regular Season - 5

SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart Prediction

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AuthorAlexander Bryant

Alexander has more than five years of experience producing sports betting content for international audiences. He researches bookmakers, verifies important information and creates practical guides for both new and experienced bettors. His main objective is to make complex betting topics clear, accurate and easy to understand.

Published: 08 Oct 2026Updated: 10 Oct 2026, 16:18

Match preview

Paderborn host Stuttgart on 10 October 2026 at 16:30 in a Bundesliga clash between a side fighting for consistency at home and visitors seeking to arrest a recent slump. Paderborn beat Hoffenheim 3-1 last time out, with Steffen Tigges scoring off the bench and pushing for a starting role. Injuries to Lasse Eickel, Nyamekye Awortwie-Grant and Timur Gayret limit their midfield options. Stuttgart arrive off back-to-back defeats to Hoffenheim and Borussia Dortmund but have steadied themselves with friendly wins over Heidenheim and Greuther Fürth. Ermedin Demirovic returns from international duty to bolster their attack, though Dan-Axel Zagadou, Tiago Tomas and Justin Diehl remain sidelined.

Form and Head to Head

Paderborn's home record has wobbled. They won just one of their last three matches at the Benteler-Arena and averaged only 1.00 goal per game across those fixtures. Over their last ten home games, they posted five wins, three draws and two losses, scoring 1.61 goals per match and conceding 1.10. Stuttgart's overall form is sharper: they won 60% of their last ten matches. Away from home, however, the picture darkens. They hold a 25% win rate on the road, averaging 2.40 goals for and 1.20 against across their last ten away games.

Best Bet

Stuttgart's superior form and attacking depth make the away win the primary selection. Paderborn's defensive vulnerabilities at home and Stuttgart's recent momentum despite the two defeats point to a Stuttgart victory. Melbet price Stuttgart at 1.57 for the away win.

Odds to Watch

Over 2.5 goals carries genuine appeal given the teams' combined attacking average of 3.15 goals per game. Mostbet offers Over 2.5 at standard odds. For a tighter angle, the correct score Paderborn 1–2 Stuttgart aligns with the underlying form and Stuttgart's attacking threat. The prediction is Paderborn 1–2 Stuttgart.

SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart Odds

Bookmaker1X2Bet
Melbet4.94.661.57Place a bet
1xBet5.084.831.64Place a bet
1Win4.954.731.6Place a bet
Mostbet4.84.61.57Place a bet
Best odds5.084.831.64
Average4.934.711.60
Lowest odds4.804.601.57
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1X2 prediction for SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart

Date and time 10 October 2026 at 14:30

1X221.5761%
DCX/281%
BTTSNo30%
1 19%X 20%2 61%

VfB Stuttgart win

Place a bet on this match

SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart Odds statistic

Average rates from the last stored matches for each team.

SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 07Last matchesVfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
80%Over 0.5 goals100%
40%Over 1.5 goals80%
40%Over 2.5 goals80%
20%Over 3.5 goals40%
20%BTTS40%
20%Last 5 BTTS40%

Head to Head SC Paderborn 07 — VfB Stuttgart

In the last 3 meetings, VfB Stuttgart hold the edge — 0 wins for SC Paderborn 07, 2 for VfB Stuttgart, 1 draws.

0% W — 033% D — 167% W — 2
  • SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 071:2VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
    DFB Pokal · 31 Jan 2023
  • SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 071:2VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
    Bundesliga · 23 May 2015
  • VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart0:0SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 07
    Bundesliga · 20 Dec 2014
67%Over 0.567%
67%Over 1.567%
67%Over 2.567%
67%BTTS67%
67%SC Paderborn 07 over 0.567%

Betting profits SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart

Historical P/L if you backed each side on the main markets in their recent matches.

SC Paderborn 07

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-4.10413
Match WinnerDraw+9.00513
Match WinnerLose-4.38413
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5+0.0767
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-3.2517
Goals Over/UnderOver 2-2.3536
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2+6.7746
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-2.74713
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5+1.60613
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-1.69612
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3+0.62712
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5+0.10613
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5-1.53713
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5+3.5238
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5-1.3658
Goals Over/UnderOver 4-4.3549
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4+1.0189
Both Teams ScoreYes+0.6511
Both Teams ScoreNo-1.0001

VfB Stuttgart

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-3.08612
Match WinnerDraw-8.12112
Match WinnerLose-2.20512
Goals Over/UnderOver 3+1.461012
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3-4.43512
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5+0.89712
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5-1.72512
Goals Over/UnderOver 4-1.90510
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4+0.36710
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-1.4739
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5-0.0969
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-0.0357
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5-1.3827
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5+0.1211
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-1.0001

Match statistics

5151%Possession %49%49
1.9144%Expected goals56%2.41
2356%Total shots44%18
538%Shots on target62%8
1067%Shots off target33%5
758%Corners42%5
1048%Fouls52%11
1100%Yellow cards0%0
00%Red cards0%0
48852%Passes48%458
39653%Accurate passes47%357
563%Saves38%3
150%Offsides50%1

Key events

SC Paderborn 07Last matches SC Paderborn 07

In the last 5 matches SC Paderborn 07 have 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses. BTTS landed in 20% of those games.

40% W — 220% D — 140% L — 2
  • DC UnitedDC United0:1SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 07
    WFriendlies Clubs · 01 Oct 2026
  • SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 073:11899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
    WBundesliga · 20 Sept 2026
  • Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund3:0SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 07
    LBundesliga · 12 Sept 2026
  • SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 070:1SC FreiburgSC Freiburg
    LBundesliga · 05 Sept 2026
  • FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 050:0SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 07
    DBundesliga · 29 Aug 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
2
Goals / game
0.8
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS
20%

VfB StuttgartLast matches VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart are in a strong run: 3 wins in the last 5 matches, scoring 2.4 goals per game.

60% W — 30% D — 040% L — 2
  • VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart5:0SpVgg Greuther FürthSpVgg Greuther Fürth
    WFriendlies Clubs · 01 Oct 2026
  • VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart3:01. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
    WFriendlies Clubs · 25 Sept 2026
  • VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart0:1Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
    LBundesliga · 19 Sept 2026
  • 1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim2:1VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
    LBundesliga · 12 Sept 2026
  • VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart3:1VikingViking
    WUEFA Champions League · 09 Sept 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
3
Draws
0
Losses
2
Goals / game
2.4
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
80%
BTTS
40%

SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart Standings

#TeamMPWDLGDiffPts
1Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund44009-2712
2Bayern MünchenBayern München431014-21210
3SC FreiburgSC Freiburg431012-3910
4FC AugsburgFC Augsburg421111-657
5Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen421110-557
6FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05421110-647
7SV ElversbergSV Elversberg42118-717
8Werder BremenWerder Bremen42118-807
9RB LeipzigRB Leipzig42029-546
10Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt41219-10-15
11FC Schalke 04FC Schalke 0441213-4-15
12SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 0741123-5-24
131. FC Köln1. FC Köln41126-9-34
141899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim41037-10-33
15VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart41036-9-33
16Hamburger SVHamburger SV41032-13-113
17Union BerlinUnion Berlin40134-17-131
18Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach40046-16-100
League position 12 / 18Comparative team statisticsLeague position 15 / 18
125%Wins25%1
125%Draws0%0
250%Losses75%3
350%Goals scored100%6
556%Goals conceded100%9
4100%Points75%3

Season statistic SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart

SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 07

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 1 / 1
  • Lost home / away 1 / 1
  • Goals scored 4 (0.8)
  • Goals conceded 5 (1.0)
  • Clean sheets 2
  • Failed to score 3

VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 3 / 0
  • Lost home / away 1 / 1
  • Goals scored 12 (2.4)
  • Goals conceded 4 (0.8)
  • Clean sheets 2
  • Failed to score 1

Match details

  • Status Finished
  • Venue Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn
  • Referee Felix Zwayer

Lineups

Injuries and suspensions

SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 07

  • T. Gayret — Unavailable. Knee Injury
  • M. Hoffmeier — Unavailable. Muscle Injury
  • N. Awortwie-Grant — Unavailable. Knee Injury
  • L. Eickel — Unavailable. Back Injury

VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart

  • D. Zagadou — Unavailable. Muscle Injury
  • N. Nartey — Unavailable. Muscle Injury
  • Tiago Tomás — Unavailable. Muscle Injury
  • J. Diehl — Unavailable. Muscle Injury
  • A. Al Dakhil — Unavailable. Knee Injury
  • L. Jaquez — Unavailable. Muscle Injury

Independent match preview. Odds and availability change — confirm on the bookmaker site. 18+.

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