Scotland vs Slovenia Prediction

Slovenia host Scotland in UEFA Nations League Group B1 on 6 October 2026 at 21:45 in Ljubljana. The hosts start as slight favorites, but both teams arrive weakened. Slovenia are without Benjamin Šeško, their most dangerous forward. Scotland have lost Scott McTominay, Che Adams, Kieran Tierney, and Kenny McLean to injury, while new manager Steve Clarke has called up seven potential debutants for his first camp. Neither side will push for early goals.

Form and H2H

Slovenia failed to qualify for the 2026 World Cup and have struggled in recent friendlies, losing to Croatia 1–2 and Hungary 0–1. In their last ten matches across all competitions, they scored no more than one goal in nine of ten. Away from home, that pattern holds: they have scored one goal or fewer in nine of their last ten away matches. Scotland were eliminated from Nations League Division A after playoffs against Greece and exited the World Cup group stage with one win and two losses. They conceded no more than two goals in eight of their last ten matches, and their first-half totals stayed under 2.5 in nine of ten.

Best Bet

Under 2.5 goals. Slovenia without Šeško rarely score more than one, and Scotland under a new manager with depleted attacking options will not force the issue early. Both teams prefer to control rather than create. The market prices this at 1.65 with Melbet and 1xBet, and 2.05 with 1Win. Scotland have scored in each of their last ten matches, so a blank is unlikely, but three goals from either side requires an extra precision neither team will muster here.

Odds to Watch

Slovenia are listed at 2.67 with Mostbet for the win, 3.04 for the draw, and 2.84 for Scotland. The 1X2 market at 1xBet reads 3 for Slovenia, 2.95 for the draw, and 2.62 for Scotland. Both Both Teams to Score No is priced at 1.82, suggesting bookmakers expect at least one team to fail to score. Individual totals favor low output: Slovenia under 1.5 goals at 1.42 with Mostbet, Scotland under 1.5 at 1.37.