Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Group Stage - 1

Sierra Leone vs Zimbabwe Prediction

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AuthorAlexander Bryant

Alexander has more than five years of experience producing sports betting content for international audiences. He researches bookmakers, verifies important information and creates practical guides for both new and experienced bettors. His main objective is to make complex betting topics clear, accurate and easy to understand.

Published: 24 Sept 2026Updated: 24 Sept 2026, 21:00

Match preview

Sierra Leone host Zimbabwe on 24 September 2026 at 22:00 in Africa Cup of Nations qualification. Sierra Leone finished third in their group with 15 points, six behind second place, and have not played a competitive match since 2025. Zimbabwe competed in the last Cup of Nations but won none of their three games, then failed to qualify for the 2026 World Cup after collecting five points from ten matches. Both teams enter this first qualifier needing a win to build momentum in the group stage.

Form and H2H

Sierra Leone won four of their last ten matches at home but conceded 1.29 goals per game on average. Away, Zimbabwe won four of ten but lost five, averaging 1.29 goals against per match. Sierra Leone have scored in four consecutive matches. Zimbabwe won three of their four friendly matches this year. These teams have never met.

Best bet

Total under 2.5 goals. Sierra Leone average 0.96 goals per home match and Zimbabwe 1.29 away. Neither team has shown consistent attacking threat in recent fixtures, and both defences have been vulnerable enough to keep scoring low. Back under 2.5 at 1xBet 2.96 or Melbet 2.5.

Odds to watch

Zimbabwe's away record and recent friendly form make them a value play at 22Bet 2.94 or Mostbet 2.85. Sierra Leone's home advantage and group position favour them at Melbet 2.5 or 1xBet 2.5. The draw at Mostbet 2.62 reflects the uncertainty around both teams' competitive readiness.

Sierra Leone vs Zimbabwe Odds

Bookmaker1X2Bet
Melbet2.512.942.93Place a bet
1xBet2.512.942.93Place a bet
Mostbet2.562.682.98Place a bet
22Bet2.512.942.93Place a bet
Best odds2.562.942.98
Average2.522.882.94
Lowest odds2.512.682.93
Compare odds
1xBet

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1X2 prediction for Sierra Leone vs Zimbabwe

Date and time 24 September 2026 at 20:00

1X212.5137%
O/UU 2.560%
DC1/X68%
BTTSNo40%
1 37%X 31%2 32%

Total under 2,5

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Sierra Leone vs Zimbabwe Odds statistic

Average rates from the last stored matches for each team.

Sierra LeoneSierra LeoneLast matchesZimbabweZimbabwe
100%Over 0.5 goals100%
60%Over 1.5 goals60%
40%Over 2.5 goals40%
20%Over 3.5 goals20%
60%BTTS20%
60%Last 5 BTTS20%

Head to Head Sierra Leone — Zimbabwe

In the last 1 meetings, Zimbabwe hold the edge — 0 wins for Sierra Leone, 1 for Zimbabwe, 0 draws.

0% W — 00% D — 0100% W — 1
  • Sierra LeoneSierra Leone2:3ZimbabweZimbabwe
    Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · 24 Sept 2026
100%Over 0.5100%
100%Over 1.5100%
100%Over 2.5100%
100%BTTS100%
100%Sierra Leone over 0.5100%

Betting profits Sierra Leone vs Zimbabwe

Historical P/L if you backed each side on the main markets in their recent matches.

Sierra Leone

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-1.7237
Match WinnerDraw-0.3327
Match WinnerLose-2.8627
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5-0.1746
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-0.7026
Goals Over/UnderOver 2-0.6557
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2-0.0157
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-2.5627
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5+0.6857
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-3.0014
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3+0.9444
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5+1.2414
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5-0.2434
Goals Over/UnderOver 0.5+0.2122
Goals Over/UnderUnder 0.5-2.0002
Both Teams ScoreYes+1.7923
Both Teams ScoreNo-1.3213

Zimbabwe

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-2.10210
Match WinnerDraw-1.92210
Match WinnerLose+3.41610
Goals Over/UnderOver 1+0.2633
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1-1.0023
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5-1.04610
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-0.40410
Goals Over/UnderOver 2-0.41610
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2-0.78610
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5+0.14410
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5-1.18610
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-5.0005
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3+1.5355
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5-0.5915
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5-0.2045
Goals Over/UnderOver 0.5+0.1211
Goals Over/UnderUnder 0.5-1.0001
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-1.0001
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5+0.1011
Both Teams ScoreYes+3.6259
Both Teams ScoreNo-2.9249

Match statistics

4444%Possession %56%56
936%Total shots64%16
343%Shots on target57%4
325%Shots off target75%9
233%Corners67%4
1250%Fouls50%12
00%Yellow cards100%2
00%Red cards0%0
34845%Passes55%426
28744%Accurate passes56%367
150%Saves50%1
667%Offsides33%3

Key events

  • 7'
    Goal Alie Conteh (Sallieu Capay Tarawallie)
    Sierra Leone
  • 27'
    Goal Sallieu Capay Tarawallie
    Sierra Leone
  • 45'
    Substitution S. Fusire (→ B. Antonio)
    Zimbabwe
  • 45'
    Substitution Alhassan Koroma (→ K. Cesay)
    Sierra Leone
  • 51'
    Yellow card Shane Maroodza
    Zimbabwe
  • 56'
    Substitution Abdulay Bah (→ Michael-John Kamson-Kamara)
    Sierra Leone
  • 57'
    Substitution Saidu Fofanah (→ A. Abdulai)
    Sierra Leone
  • 68'
    Substitution Shane Maroodza (→ D. Lunga)
    Zimbabwe
  • 72'
    Goal M. Munetsi
    Zimbabwe
  • 74'
    Substitution A. Rinomhota (→ Emmanuel Jalai)
    Zimbabwe
  • 75'
    Yellow card B. Antonio
    Zimbabwe
  • 76'
    Goal T. Chirewa (M. Nakamba)
    Zimbabwe
  • 83'
    Substitution T. Fornah (→ Ibrahim Sesay)
    Sierra Leone
  • 85'
    Substitution M. Garananga (→ C. Mthunzi)
    Zimbabwe
  • 85'
    Substitution T. Ngwenya (→ Abubakar Moffat)
    Zimbabwe
  • 88'
    Goal M. Munetsi (Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise)
    Zimbabwe
  • 90+1'
    Substitution M. Kamara (→ D. Kanu)
    Sierra Leone

Sierra LeoneLast matches Sierra Leone

In the last 5 matches Sierra Leone have 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses. BTTS landed in 60% of those games.

40% W — 220% D — 140% L — 2
  • LiberiaLiberia3:1Sierra LeoneSierra Leone
    LFriendlies · 09 Jun 2026
  • Sierra LeoneSierra Leone1:0LiberiaLiberia
    WFriendlies · 06 Jun 2026
  • AzerbaijanAzerbaijan1:1Sierra LeoneSierra Leone
    DFIFA Series · 30 Mar 2026
  • DjiboutiDjibouti1:2Sierra LeoneSierra Leone
    WWorld Cup - Qualification Africa · 12 Oct 2025
  • Sierra LeoneSierra Leone0:1Burkina FasoBurkina Faso
    LWorld Cup - Qualification Africa · 08 Oct 2025

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
2
Goals / game
1.0
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS
60%

ZimbabweLast matches Zimbabwe

Zimbabwe are in a strong run: 3 wins in the last 5 matches, scoring 1.4 goals per game.

60% W — 30% D — 040% L — 2
  • IndiaIndia0:1ZimbabweZimbabwe
    WFriendlies · 30 May 2026
  • NigeriaNigeria2:0ZimbabweZimbabwe
    LFriendlies · 26 May 2026
  • ZimbabweZimbabwe1:0Zambia U23Zambia U23
    WFriendlies · 31 Mar 2026
  • BotswanaBotswana0:3ZimbabweZimbabwe
    WFriendlies · 28 Mar 2026
  • ZimbabweZimbabwe2:3South AfricaSouth Africa
    LAfrica Cup of Nations · 29 Dec 2025

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
3
Draws
0
Losses
2
Goals / game
1.4
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS
20%

Sierra Leone vs Zimbabwe Standings

League table is not available for this competition snapshot yet.

Comparative team statistics

240%Wins60%3
120%Draws0%0
240%Losses40%2
571%Goals scored100%7
6100%Goals conceded83%5
00%Points0%0

Season statistic Sierra Leone vs Zimbabwe

Sierra LeoneSierra Leone

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 1 / 1
  • Lost home / away 1 / 1
  • Goals scored 5 (1.0)
  • Goals conceded 6 (1.2)
  • Clean sheets 1
  • Failed to score 1

ZimbabweZimbabwe

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 1 / 2
  • Lost home / away 1 / 1
  • Goals scored 7 (1.4)
  • Goals conceded 5 (1.0)
  • Clean sheets 3
  • Failed to score 1

Match details

  • Status Finished

Lineups

Sierra LeoneSierra Leone · 4-1-4-1

Starting XI

  1. Saidu Fofanah
  2. Sallieu Capay Tarawallie
  3. I. Kanu
  4. O. Kakay
  5. Alhassan Koroma
  6. T. Fornah
  7. Alie Conteh
  8. Alpha Turay
  9. Abdulay Bah
  10. M. Kamara
  11. M. Jalloh

Bench

  1. Francis Koroma
  2. S Sesay
  3. Saidu Bah Kamara
  4. J. Koroma
  5. S. Kaikai
  6. G. Abdul
  7. K. Cesay
  8. Ibrahim Sesay
  9. A. Abdulai
  10. D. Kanu
  11. Michael-John Kamson-Kamara
  12. Raees Bangura-Williams

ZimbabweZimbabwe · 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. Kelvin Njabulo Moyo
  2. M. Nakamba
  3. M. Munetsi
  4. A. Rinomhota
  5. E. Chipezeze
  6. T. Chirewa
  7. Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise
  8. T. Ngwenya
  9. M. Garananga
  10. Shane Maroodza
  11. S. Fusire

Bench

  1. Abubakar Moffat
  2. Martín Mapisa
  3. Nelson Chadya
  4. Peter Muduhwa
  5. D. Lunga
  6. B. Antonio
  7. D. Msendami
  8. Emmanuel Jalai
  9. P. Padera
  10. C. Mthunzi

Injuries and suspensions

Sierra LeoneSierra Leone

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

ZimbabweZimbabwe

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

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