Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Group Stage - 2

Somalia vs Ivory Coast Prediction

0 : 2FTWorld
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AuthorAlexander Bryant

Alexander has more than five years of experience producing sports betting content for international audiences. He researches bookmakers, verifies important information and creates practical guides for both new and experienced bettors. His main objective is to make complex betting topics clear, accurate and easy to understand.

Published: 28 Sept 2026Updated: 29 Sept 2026, 21:01

Match preview

Somalia travel to Abidjan on 29 September 2026 at 22:00 to face Ivory Coast in the second round of Africa Cup of Nations qualifying. This is the first meeting between the two nations. Ivory Coast opened their campaign with a 2-0 win over Ghana under new coach Hervé Renard, with Malick Yalcouyé and Franck Kessié on the scoresheet. Somalia lost 1-2 to Gambia in their opener despite scoring, extending a troubling pattern: they have managed just three goals across ten World Cup qualifying matches. Somalia reached this stage by defeating Mauritius on penalties but lack a CAF-certified home stadium, forcing all their matches to be played abroad.

Form and Head to Head

Ivory Coast's squad depth and experience dwarf Somalia's resources. The Ivorians have shown vulnerability away from home in recent qualifying rounds, losing to Sierra Leone and Zambia without scoring, but the gap in class between these opponents is substantial. Somalia can organize defensively and have proven capable of that in earlier qualifiers, yet sustaining that discipline for 90 minutes against a side of Ivory Coast's caliber presents an extreme test. Ivory Coast's opening display against Ghana suggests Renard has the team focused and executing his system.

Best Bet

Ivory Coast to win. The favorites possess far greater depth across every line and have made a confident start under Renard. Somalia's attacking limitations and lack of home advantage make them vulnerable to a comfortable defeat. Back Ivory Coast at 1.01 on Melbet, 1.02 on 1xBet, 1.03 on Mostbet, or 1.02 on 22Bet.

Odds to Watch

Somalia's odds as home side sit at 32 on Melbet and 30 on both 1xBet and 22Bet, reflecting their underdog status and recent struggles in front of goal. The draw is priced at 14.5 on Melbet, 13.5 on 1xBet, 13.2 on 22Bet, and 10 on Mostbet. Over 2.5 goals and both teams to score are worth monitoring given Ivory Coast's attacking threat and Somalia's defensive vulnerabilities.

Somalia vs Ivory Coast Odds

Bookmaker1X2Bet
Melbet2812.51.03Place a bet
1xBet2712.51.03Place a bet
Mostbet219.61.03Place a bet
22Bet28101.07Place a bet
Best odds28.0012.501.07
Average26.0011.151.04
Lowest odds21.009.601.03
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1xBet

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1X2 prediction for Somalia vs Ivory Coast

Date and time 29 September 2026 at 20:00

1X221.0390%
O/UO 1.550%
DCX/295%
BTTSNo30%
1 5%X 5%2 90%

W2(-2.5)

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Somalia vs Ivory Coast Odds statistic

Average rates from the last stored matches for each team.

SomaliaSomaliaLast matchesIvory CoastIvory Coast
40%Over 0.5 goals100%
20%Over 1.5 goals80%
20%Over 2.5 goals40%
0%Over 3.5 goals0%
20%BTTS40%
20%Last 5 BTTS40%

Head to Head Somalia — Ivory Coast

In the last 1 meetings, Ivory Coast hold the edge — 0 wins for Somalia, 1 for Ivory Coast, 0 draws.

0% W — 00% D — 0100% W — 1
  • SomaliaSomalia0:2Ivory CoastIvory Coast
    Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · 29 Sept 2026
100%Over 0.5100%
100%Over 1.5100%
0%Over 2.50%
0%BTTS0%
0%Somalia over 0.5100%

Betting profits Somalia vs Ivory Coast

Historical P/L if you backed each side on the main markets in their recent matches.

Somalia

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin+1.2918
Match WinnerDraw+2.6538
Match WinnerLose-3.1448
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5-1.4324
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5+0.5124
Goals Over/UnderOver 2-3.2937
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2+3.0557
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-2.7138
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5+0.9658
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-3.0036
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3+1.8266
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5-6.0006
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5+3.3666
Goals Over/UnderOver 4-1.0001
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4+0.8311
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-2.0002
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5+0.7522
Goals Over/UnderOver 1-2.0002
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1+6.3222
Both Teams ScoreYes-2.7315
Both Teams ScoreNo+0.9045

Ivory Coast

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin+13.981014
Match WinnerDraw-11.11114
Match WinnerLose-6.30314
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5+0.86912
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-3.20312
Goals Over/UnderOver 2+1.011013
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2-2.38713
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5+0.74714
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5-1.71714
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5+1.34312
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5+0.43912
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-3.0849
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3+1.6989
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-3.0003
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5+0.4633
Goals Over/UnderOver 0.5+0.4233
Goals Over/UnderUnder 0.5-3.0003
Goals Over/UnderOver 10.0011
Goals Over/UnderUnder 10.0011
Goals Over/UnderOver 4-2.0002
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4+0.7122
Both Teams ScoreYes+0.2237
Both Teams ScoreNo-0.4247

Match statistics

2626%Possession %74%74
14%Total shots96%24
00%Shots on target100%6
00%Shots off target100%13
00%Corners100%9
1244%Fouls56%15
150%Yellow cards50%1
00%Red cards0%0
19023%Passes77%650
12017%Accurate passes83%590
4100%Saves0%0
338%Offsides63%5

Key events

  • 44'
    Yellow card Sakariya Hassan
    Somalia
  • 45'
    Substitution Faysal Omar (→ M. Mohamed)
    Somalia
  • 65'
    Substitution E. Wahi (→ R. Fofana)
    Ivory Coast
  • 65'
    Substitution C. Inao Oulaï (→ E. Zabi)
    Ivory Coast
  • 65'
    Substitution C. Inao Oulaï (→ E. Zabi)
    Ivory Coast
  • 69'
    Substitution I. Abatari (→ Ilyas Akram)
    Somalia
  • 79'
    Yellow card E. Zabi
    Ivory Coast
  • 83'
    Substitution F. Kessié (→ Y. Gboho)
    Ivory Coast
  • 89'
    Goal Y. Gboho
    Ivory Coast
  • 90+5'
    Goal B. Touré
    Ivory Coast

SomaliaLast matches Somalia

In the last 5 matches Somalia have 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses. BTTS landed in 20% of those games.

20% W — 160% D — 320% L — 1
  • GambiaGambia2:1SomaliaSomalia
    LAfrica Cup of Nations - Qualification · 25 Sept 2026
  • MauritiusMauritius0:0SomaliaSomalia
    DAfrica Cup of Nations - Qualification · 31 Mar 2026
  • SomaliaSomalia0:0MauritiusMauritius
    DAfrica Cup of Nations - Qualification · 27 Mar 2026
  • OmanOman0:0SomaliaSomalia
    DArab Cup · 26 Nov 2025
  • BahrainBahrain0:1SomaliaSomalia
    WFriendlies · 21 Nov 2025

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
1
Draws
3
Losses
1
Goals / game
0.4
Over 1.5
20%
Over 2.5
20%
BTTS
20%

Ivory CoastLast matches Ivory Coast

Ivory Coast are in a strong run: 3 wins in the last 5 matches, scoring 1.4 goals per game.

60% W — 30% D — 040% L — 2
  • Ivory CoastIvory Coast2:0GhanaGhana
    WAfrica Cup of Nations - Qualification · 24 Sept 2026
  • Ivory CoastIvory Coast1:2NorwayNorway
    LWorld Cup · 30 Jun 2026
  • CuraçaoCuraçao0:2Ivory CoastIvory Coast
    WWorld Cup · 25 Jun 2026
  • GermanyGermany2:1Ivory CoastIvory Coast
    LWorld Cup · 20 Jun 2026
  • Ivory CoastIvory Coast1:0EcuadorEcuador
    WWorld Cup · 15 Jun 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
3
Draws
0
Losses
2
Goals / game
1.4
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS
40%

Somalia vs Ivory Coast Standings

League table is not available for this competition snapshot yet.

Comparative team statistics

120%Wins60%3
360%Draws0%0
120%Losses40%2
229%Goals scored100%7
250%Goals conceded100%4
00%Points0%0

Season statistic Somalia vs Ivory Coast

SomaliaSomalia

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 0 / 1
  • Lost home / away 0 / 1
  • Goals scored 2 (0.4)
  • Goals conceded 2 (0.4)
  • Clean sheets 4
  • Failed to score 3

Ivory CoastIvory Coast

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 2 / 1
  • Lost home / away 1 / 1
  • Goals scored 7 (1.4)
  • Goals conceded 4 (0.8)
  • Clean sheets 3
  • Failed to score 0

Match details

  • Status Finished
  • Referee David Chinoko

Lineups

SomaliaSomalia · 4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. Mohamed Ahmed Osman
  2. M. Suleiman
  3. B. Njie
  4. Sakariya Hassan
  5. I. Hussein
  6. M. Mohamed
  7. A. Omar
  8. Abel Gigli Mohamed
  9. Faysal Omar
  10. I. Abatari
  11. A. Sharif

Bench

  1. O. Addo
  2. Ahmed Abdullahi Abdi
  3. Ilyas Akram
  4. Mohamud Ali Mohamed
  5. Abdirahman Mohamud Jama
  6. Moussa Njie
  7. M. Omar
  8. A. Sabriye
  9. A. Saeed
  10. Abdiwali Abdirahman Mohamed

Ivory CoastIvory Coast · 4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. Y. Fofana
  2. L. Zogbe
  3. E. Agbadou
  4. E. Ndicka
  5. G. Konan
  6. N. Pépé
  7. C. Inao Oulaï
  8. F. Kessié
  9. Y. Diomande
  10. E. Wahi
  11. M. Yalcouyé

Bench

  1. A. Koné
  2. M. Koné
  3. A. Lafont
  4. I. Sangaré
  5. C. Tapé
  6. B. Touré
  7. E. Zabi
  8. Y. Gboho
  9. R. Fofana
  10. Eddy Doue
  11. O. Diomande
  12. A. Bonny

Injuries and suspensions

SomaliaSomalia

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

Ivory CoastIvory Coast

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

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