Friendlies · Friendly International

South Korea vs Ecuador Prediction

3 : 0FTWorld
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AuthorAlexander Bryant

Alexander has more than five years of experience producing sports betting content for international audiences. He researches bookmakers, verifies important information and creates practical guides for both new and experienced bettors. His main objective is to make complex betting topics clear, accurate and easy to understand.

Published: 23 Sept 2026Updated: 25 Sept 2026, 13:20

Match preview

South Korea host Ecuador on 24 September 2026 at 14:00 in a friendly that pits a resurgent home side against a struggling visitor. Interim boss Roberto Moreno has named Son Heung-min, Hwang In-beom, Lee Kang-in and Oh Hyeon-gyu to his squad. Ecuador arrive under new manager Marcelo Gallardo with Jeremy Sarmiento, Keny Arroyo, Piero Hincapie and Moises Caicedo available, but they come off the back of a World Cup playoff defeat to Mexico and carry poor away form into this fixture.

Form and H2H

South Korea have won six of their last ten home matches, conceding 0.87 goals per game across that span. Their last seven home outings show an 86% win rate with just 0.71 goals conceded per match. Ecuador have not won any of their last five away games, scoring 0.40 goals per outing and failing to score in 60% of those contests. The visitors average 1.11 goals for and 0.74 against across their last ten away matches overall.

Best Bet

South Korea to Win appeals at 2.46 with Melbet, 2.55 with 1xBet and 2.27 with Mostbet. The hosts' home dominance and Ecuador's complete inability to win on the road make a South Korea victory the natural lean. A 1-0 scoreline reflects both South Korea's tight defence at home and Ecuador's blunt attacking edge away from Quito.

Odds to Watch

Under 2.5 goals holds appeal given South Korea's defensive record at home and Ecuador's toothless away form. The hosts have conceded just 0.71 goals per game in their last seven home matches, while Ecuador have managed only 0.40 goals per game across their last five away trips. Low-scoring outcomes have returned profit on South Korea's home Under 2.5 bets historically.

South Korea vs Ecuador Odds

Bookmaker1X2Bet
Melbet2.223.323.32Place a bet
1xBet2.313.433.38Place a bet
Mostbet2.173.253.01Place a bet
22Bet2.383.383.27Place a bet
Best odds2.383.433.38
Average2.273.343.24
Lowest odds2.173.253.01
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1xBet

Welcome Package up to $1,500 + 210 FS (casino, 4 deposits) and 120% First-Deposit Bonus up to $400 (sports)

1X2 prediction for South Korea vs Ecuador

Date and time 24 September 2026 at 12:00

1X212.2242%
O/UO 1.550%
DC1/X71%
BTTSNo20%
1 42%X 29%2 29%

Both teams to score - Yes

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South Korea vs Ecuador Odds statistic

Average rates from the last stored matches for each team.

South KoreaSouth KoreaLast matchesEcuadorEcuador
100%Over 0.5 goals80%
40%Over 1.5 goals60%
40%Over 2.5 goals40%
20%Over 3.5 goals0%
20%BTTS20%
20%Last 5 BTTS20%

Head to Head South Korea — Ecuador

In the last 1 meetings, South Korea hold the edge — 1 wins for South Korea, 0 for Ecuador, 0 draws.

100% W — 10% D — 00% W — 0
  • South KoreaSouth Korea3:0EcuadorEcuador
    Friendlies · 24 Sept 2026
100%Over 0.5100%
100%Over 1.5100%
100%Over 2.5100%
0%BTTS0%
100%South Korea over 0.50%

Betting profits South Korea vs Ecuador

Historical P/L if you backed each side on the main markets in their recent matches.

South Korea

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-5.47515
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5+8.751015
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5-0.58413
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5+1.07913
Goals Over/UnderOver 4-1.1213
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4+0.9723
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-2.86211
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5+0.42911
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5-3.70814
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5+9.98614
Goals Over/UnderOver 2-2.67611
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2+4.33711
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-5.46413
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3+2.691013
Goals Over/UnderOver 1+0.1422
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1-1.0012
Match WinnerWin-0.44714
Match WinnerDraw-10.65114
Match WinnerLose+1.13614
Both Teams ScoreYes-6.0818
Both Teams ScoreNo+5.7578

Ecuador

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-2.76515
Match WinnerDraw+14.47815
Match WinnerLose-9.38215
Goals Over/UnderOver 0.5-2.7025
Goals Over/UnderUnder 0.5+10.9435
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5-2.39915
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-0.43615
Goals Over/UnderOver 2-5.03814
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2+3.771214
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-9.43315
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5+3.991215
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5-13.00013
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5+3.371313
Goals Over/UnderOver 1-0.7723
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1+1.6223
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-5.0027
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3+2.2277
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-3.0003
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5+0.3833
Goals Over/UnderOver 4-2.0002
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4+0.5122
Both Teams ScoreYes-0.7737
Both Teams ScoreNo-0.7947

Match statistics

5959%Possession %41%41
1152%Total shots48%10
563%Shots on target38%3
563%Shots off target38%3
229%Corners71%5
1746%Fouls54%20
444%Yellow cards56%5
49559%Passes41%338
43961%Accurate passes39%282
467%Saves33%2
150%Offsides50%1

Key events

  • 10'
    Yellow card
    Ecuador
  • 14'
    Yellow card Jin-seob Park
    South Korea
  • 21'
    Yellow card Keny Arroyo
    Ecuador
  • 31'
    Yellow card Jordy Caicedo
    Ecuador
  • 45+1'
    Yellow card
    Ecuador
  • 45+2'
    Yellow card
    South Korea
  • 47'
    Yellow card
    South Korea
  • 52'
    Yellow card
    Ecuador
  • 54'
    Goal Hyeon-gyu Oh (Kim Min-Jae)
    South Korea
  • 58'
    Goal
    South Korea
  • 62'
    Yellow card
    South Korea
  • 65'
    Substitution Han-Beom Lee (→ Lee Tae-Seok)
    South Korea
  • 65'
    Substitution Hyun-taek Cho (→ Kim Tae-Hyeon)
    South Korea
  • 65'
    Substitution Jin-seob Park (→ Hwang Hee-Chan)
    South Korea
  • 65'
    Substitution Seung-Won Jeong (→ Kim Bong-Soo)
    South Korea
  • 66'
    Substitution Keny Arroyo (→ John Mercado)
    Ecuador
  • 67'
    Substitution Jordy Caicedo (→ Juan Riquelme Angulo)
    Ecuador
  • 67'
    Substitution Pedro Vite (→ Denil Castillo)
    Ecuador
  • 74'
    Substitution N. Angulo (→ Anthony Valencia)
    Ecuador
  • 75'
    Substitution Kim Min-Jae (→ Wi-je Cho)
    South Korea
  • 75'
    Substitution Min-kyu Song (→ Min-su Kim)
    South Korea
  • 75'
    Substitution Hyeon-gyu Oh (→ Oh Se-Hun)
    South Korea
  • 75'
    Substitution John Yeboah (→ Anthony Valencia)
    Ecuador
  • 85'
    Substitution Son Heung-min (→ Dong-gyeong Lee)
    South Korea
  • 86'
    Goal Dong-gyeong Lee
    South Korea

South KoreaLast matches South Korea

South Korea are in a strong run: 3 wins in the last 5 matches, scoring 1.6 goals per game.

60% W — 30% D — 040% L — 2
  • South AfricaSouth Africa1:0South KoreaSouth Korea
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  • MexicoMexico1:0South KoreaSouth Korea
    LWorld Cup · 19 Jun 2026
  • South KoreaSouth Korea2:1CzechiaCzechia
    WWorld Cup · 12 Jun 2026
  • South KoreaSouth Korea1:0El SalvadorEl Salvador
    WFriendlies · 04 Jun 2026
  • South KoreaSouth Korea5:0Trinidad and TobagoTrinidad and Tobago
    WFriendlies · 31 May 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
3
Draws
0
Losses
2
Goals / game
1.6
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS
20%

EcuadorLast matches Ecuador

In the last 5 matches Ecuador have 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses. BTTS landed in 20% of those games.

40% W — 220% D — 140% L — 2
  • MexicoMexico2:0EcuadorEcuador
    LWorld Cup · 01 Jul 2026
  • EcuadorEcuador2:1GermanyGermany
    WWorld Cup · 25 Jun 2026
  • EcuadorEcuador0:0CuraçaoCuraçao
    DWorld Cup · 21 Jun 2026
  • Ivory CoastIvory Coast1:0EcuadorEcuador
    LWorld Cup · 15 Jun 2026
  • EcuadorEcuador3:0GuatemalaGuatemala
    WFriendlies · 07 Jun 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
2
Goals / game
1.0
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS
20%

South Korea vs Ecuador Standings

League table is not available for this competition snapshot yet.

Comparative team statistics

360%Wins40%2
00%Draws20%1
240%Losses40%2
8100%Goals scored63%5
375%Goals conceded100%4
00%Points0%0

Season statistic South Korea vs Ecuador

South KoreaSouth Korea

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 3 / 0
  • Lost home / away 0 / 2
  • Goals scored 8 (1.6)
  • Goals conceded 3 (0.6)
  • Clean sheets 2
  • Failed to score 2

EcuadorEcuador

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 2 / 0
  • Lost home / away 0 / 2
  • Goals scored 5 (1.0)
  • Goals conceded 4 (0.8)
  • Clean sheets 2
  • Failed to score 3

Match details

  • Status Finished
  • Venue Suwon World Cup Stadium, Suwon

Lineups

South KoreaSouth Korea · 4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. Kim Seung-Gyu
  2. Han-Beom Lee
  3. Kim Min-Jae
  4. Hyun-taek Cho
  5. Young-woo Seol
  6. Jin-seob Park
  7. Jae-sung Lee
  8. Min-kyu Song
  9. Seung-Won Jeong
  10. Son Heung-min
  11. Hyeon-gyu Oh

Bench

  1. Hyeon-woo Jo
  2. Song Bum-Keun
  3. Choi Jun
  4. Tae-hyeon Kim
  5. Kim Tae-Hyeon
  6. Wi-je Cho
  7. Gun-hee Kim
  8. Dong-gyeong Lee
  9. Tae-jun Park
  10. Seung Ho Paik
  11. Lee Tae-Seok
  12. Kim Bong-Soo
  13. Oh Se-Hun
  14. Hwang Hee-Chan
  15. Min-su Kim

EcuadorEcuador · 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. Hernán Galíndez
  2. Ángelo Preciado
  3. Jackson Porozo
  4. Willian Pacho
  5. Nilson Angulo
  6. Keny Arroyo
  7. Alan Franco
  8. Pedro Vite
  9. Pervis Estupiñán
  10. John Yeboah
  11. Jordy Caicedo

Bench

  1. Moisés Ramírez
  2. Gonzalo Valle
  3. José Andrés Hurtado
  4. Félix Torres
  5. Denil Castillo
  6. Jordy Alcivar
  7. Jeremy Sarmiento
  8. Juan Riquelme Angulo
  9. Alan Minda
  10. Anthony Valencia
  11. John Mercado

Injuries and suspensions

South KoreaSouth Korea

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

EcuadorEcuador

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

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