Southampton vs Portsmouth Prediction

Southampton host Portsmouth on 11 October 2026 at 14:00 in a south-coast Championship derby at St. Mary's Stadium. The Saints have won five of their last ten home matches and average 2.2 goals per game at home, while Portsmouth arrive unbeaten in recent league fixtures but carry a defensive injury with Conor Shaughnessy ruled out after picking up a knock against Blackburn. Caspar Jander is back in Southampton training but unlikely to start. The prediction is Southampton 3–1 Portsmouth.

Form and H2H

Southampton's home record stands at five wins, two draws, and three losses over their last ten matches, conceding 1.4 goals per game. Portsmouth have managed only two wins, four draws, and four losses away from home, scoring just 1.1 goals per game on the road. The head-to-head record between these sides shows two draws and one Southampton win in their last four meetings, most recently a goalless draw on 14 September 2025. Southampton's attacking threat at home is sharper than Portsmouth's defensive record on the road.

Best Bet

Back Southampton to win at 1xBet at 1.61. The Saints have won 80 percent of recent home matches and face a Portsmouth side weakened by defensive absences. Southampton's home form and attacking potential outweigh Portsmouth's recent resilience in the league.

Odds to Watch

The draw is priced at 1xBet 4.00, reflecting the two stalemates in the last four meetings between these clubs. Portsmouth's away record and injury concerns make the away win at 1xBet 5.03 a longer shot, though their unbeaten recent run offers some appeal. Sixty percent of Portsmouth's recent matches have seen both teams score, making that market worth monitoring despite the odds not being available from the current partner.