Tarancón vs Levante Prediction

Tarancón host Levante on 28 October 2026 at 21:00 in the Copa del Rey first round at the Estadio Municipal de Tarancón. The fifth-tier hosts face La Liga opposition in a single-match tie that offers a rare test against top-flight quality. Tarancón sit sixth in Tercera Federación Group 18 after eight rounds with 14 points and a 14-9 goal difference. Jorge Cañete's side have not lost in six consecutive league matches, including a 6-2 away win against Guadalajara Promesas and a 1-1 draw with Villarrubia most recently. They have scored in each of their last six games and show willingness to attack at home despite the vast gap in opposition standard.

Levante arrive 14th in La Liga after ten rounds with ten points, 16 goals scored and 19 conceded. Luís Castro's team have struggled away from home with three draws and three defeats in the league, most recently losing 2-1 to Real Sociedad. Defensive instability defines their season: Levante have conceded in six straight league matches, with five of those producing at least three goals. They possess considerably more individual quality and depth than Tarancón but will need to impose tempo early to avoid allowing the home side to grow into the contest.

Form and H2H

Tarancón's last ten matches show four wins, three draws and three losses with an average of 1.48 goals for and 1.03 against. Their unbeaten run has coincided with consistent attacking output: they have found the net in each of their last six games. Levante's away form over ten recent matches reads two wins, four draws and four losses with 1.60 goals for and 1.90 against. The visitors have conceded in every one of their last six league outings, a trend that should concern Castro despite Levante's attacking potential shown in recent 3-1 and 3-3 results.

This is the first competitive meeting between the clubs. The quality gap should eventually favour Levante, but Tarancón's form, home advantage and Levante's defensive vulnerabilities create space for an open match rather than a one-sided affair.

Best bet

Over 2.5 goals. Tarancón have scored 14 times in eight league games and will attack with a motivated home crowd behind them. Levante have conceded 19 goals in ten La Liga matches and have been breached in six consecutive outings. Five of Levante's last six league matches produced at least three goals. The hosts have shown they can contribute offensively while Levante's recent fixtures have regularly developed into open contests. At 1xBet, Over 2.5 is available at standard odds.

Odds to watch

Levante are heavy favourites despite their away record. At 1xBet, the away win is priced at 1.01, reflecting the quality gap. At 1Win and 22Bet, Levante sit at 1.07 and 1.06 respectively. A Tarancón upset at home carries longer odds: 1xBet offers 28.00 for the home win, with 1Win and 22Bet both at 28.00. The draw is available at 1xBet for 9.80, 1Win at 9.80 and 22Bet at 10.20.