Trival Valderas vs Leganes Prediction

Trival Valderas, a fifth-tier Tercera Federación side, host Leganés in the Copa del Rey first round on 10 November 2026 at 22:00. Despite listed as the home team, Valderas will play at Leganés' Estadio Municipal de Butarque. This is Valderas' first Copa del Rey appearance since 2014/15. Leganés, competing in Segunda División, are the heavy favorites despite a disastrous run of form that has left them winless in seven matches with six losses in that stretch.

Form and H2H

Valderas sit ninth in Group 7 of the Tercera Federación with 14 points from nine rounds. They have drawn their last three matches 2-2, against Galapagar, Leganés B, and Cala Pozuelo. Their record shows three wins, five draws, and one defeat, with 14 goals scored and 11 conceded. Leganés have collapsed in the league, dropping to 17th place with 12 points from 13 games. They have conceded 23 goals, the fourth-worst defensive record in Segunda División. Álvaro Morata has scored three goals in two matches since returning from suspension and represents their primary attacking threat. The teams have never met in an official fixture.

Best bet

Back Leganés to win with a +2.5 goal handicap. The visitors carry substantially more quality and experience despite their league struggles. Morata's recent form gives them a clinical edge in attack, and they benefit from playing at their home ground. Valderas will likely defend deep and look for counter-attacks, but breaking down a Segunda División side remains a significant step up. At 1xBet, Leganés win is priced at 1.15.

Odds to watch

Leganés are available at 1.15 on 1xBet and 1.14 on 1Win. The draw sits at 7.2 with 1xBet and 6.9 on 1Win. A Valderas upset is priced at 15.5 on 1xBet and 15.4 on 1Win. Leganés' attacking potential makes them the clear choice despite their recent league form, though Valderas' organized defensive setup could frustrate their opponents for periods.