VfB Stuttgart vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth Prediction

VfB Stuttgart hosts SpVgg Greuther Fürth on 1 October 2026 at 18:30 in a friendly at Aspach during the international break. Stuttgart sit third in the Bundesliga after four matches with three points. They lost 1–5 to Bayern, beat Cologne 4–1, fell 1–2 to Hoffenheim, and lost 0–1 to Borussia Dortmund. Against Dortmund, Stuttgart controlled 56.3% possession and recorded 12 shots to their opponent's 13. On 25 September, Stuttgart beat Heidenheim 3–0 in a warm-up, rotating their squad heavily. Lorenz Assignon returned from months out and scored; Jamie Leweling involved in all three goals.

Greuther Fürth sit 12th in the second Bundesliga. Their last competitive match was 18 September; their next league game is 11 October against Hertha. The friendly offers crucial rhythm maintenance after a long gap. Stuttgart will field a deeper squad due to international call-ups, with Assignon and Nicolas Nartey using the match for fitness after injury. Greuther Fürth's goalkeeper Florian Hellsterni is on loan from Stuttgart, adding subplot context.

Form and H2H

Stuttgart's last ten: five wins, one draw, four losses. They average 2.10 goals for and 1.40 against at home. Greuther Fürth's last ten: four wins, three draws, three losses. They average 1.89 goals for and 1.60 against away. The head-to-head record favors Stuttgart: they won 4–0 in October 2016, 2–0 in September 2019, and 5–1 in August 2021. Greuther Fürth took 1–0 in March 2017 and 2–0 in February 2020. They drew 0–0 in January 2022.

Best bet

Greuther Fürth +2 handicap. Stuttgart are clear favorites, but the international break, squad rotation, and friendly format reduce the likelihood of a heavy defeat. A two-goal Stuttgart win triggers a push; they must win by three or more for the bet to lose. Stuttgart scored four against Cologne and three against Heidenheim. Greuther Fürth beat Energie 4–3 recently. Expect an open match. At 1xBet, Stuttgart win is 1.25 and at Mostbet 1.23, making the underdog line attractive.

Odds to watch

Stuttgart are heavy favorites across the board. Melbet prices Stuttgart at 1.23, 1xBet at 1.25, and Mostbet at 1.23. The draw sits at 6.85 with Melbet, 7.24 with 1xBet, and 6.00 with Mostbet. Greuther Fürth are 10 at Melbet, 11.1 at 1xBet, and 8.2 at Mostbet. Stuttgart's recent scoring form and Greuther Fürth's need for match sharpness after a two-week break suggest a competitive first half before Stuttgart pull clear.