Vitória SC vs Maritimo Prediction

Vitória SC hosts Marítimo on 23 October 2026 at 22:45 in the Primeira Liga. Vitória enter as clear favorites after dominating the recent head-to-head record: four wins and one draw across the last five meetings, outscoring Marítimo 6–2. The hosts have won three of four home fixtures in that sequence, while Marítimo failed to score in three of the five encounters.

Vitória's last five league matches show two wins, one draw, and two losses. They beat Recreativo de Lamelas 1–0 and Chaves 1–0, drew 1–1 with Moreirense, but lost 0–2 to Benfica and 1–2 to Académico de Viseu. They scored three goals and conceded four over that run. At home, Vitória average 0.5 goals for and 0.5 against, suggesting a controlled defensive approach. In their win over Recreativo de Lamelas, they managed 20 shots with 12 on target and 68% possession. Against Moreirense, they were more conservative with seven shots and three on target.

Marítimo arrive in worse form: one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five. They beat FK Alcochete 2–1 but then lost 1–2 to Porto, drew 1–1 with Gil Vicente, and suffered defeats 1–3 to Moreirense and 0–3 to Benfica. They scored five and conceded eight across that stretch. Away from home, Marítimo have conceded eight goals across recent matches and average 1.25 for and 1.75 against. Despite creating chances—19 shots and nine on target against Porto—they lack the defensive solidity to convert pressure into results.

Form and H2H

Vitória's dominance in head-to-head play is the defining factor. In the last five meetings, they have not lost once. Their three home wins in that sequence came against a Marítimo side that has shown vulnerability on the road, particularly in defense. All five recent encounters between the teams finished with two goals or fewer, with four producing a maximum of two goals total.

Marítimo's away record compounds their disadvantage. They concede regularly on the road and have won just one of their last five matches overall. Vitória's home statistics—averaging half a goal conceded per match—stand in sharp contrast to Marítimo's away average of 1.75 goals against.

Best bet

Vitória SC to win. The hosts hold a decisive edge in the head-to-head record, superior home form, and a defensive record that limits Marítimo's attacking threat. Marítimo's away defense has been breached repeatedly in recent weeks, and Vitória have already beaten this opponent multiple times in tight contests. Back Vitória at 1.63 with 1xBet or 1.62 with 1Win.

Odds to watch

The recent head-to-head pattern and Vitória's home control suggest a low-scoring affair. Four of the last five meetings finished with two goals or fewer. Marítimo create chances—they managed nine shots on target against Porto—but their conversion and defensive lapses make them vulnerable to Vitória's direct approach. Expect Vitória to control possession and limit Marítimo to few clear-cut opportunities. The draw is available at 4.04 with 1xBet and 3.76 with 1Win, while a Marítimo win sits at 5.89 with 1xBet and 5.4 with 1Win.