Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Group Stage - 2

Zambia vs Togo Prediction

2 : 0FTWorld
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AuthorAlexander Bryant

Alexander has more than five years of experience producing sports betting content for international audiences. He researches bookmakers, verifies important information and creates practical guides for both new and experienced bettors. His main objective is to make complex betting topics clear, accurate and easy to understand.

Published: 28 Sept 2026Updated: 29 Sept 2026, 18:20

Match preview

Zambia host Togo on 29 September 2026 at 19:00 in Africa Cup of Nations qualification. Zambia lost their opening qualifier 1-3 to Algeria and have now gone nine matches without a win, their last victory coming in October 2025. The Chipolopolo have also failed to score in four consecutive games, a critical weakness heading into this fixture. Togo, by contrast, opened their campaign with a 1-0 home win over Burundi and arrive unbeaten in six matches across all competitions. The Sparrow Hawks have scored in each of their last five outings, giving them clear momentum in this matchup.

Form and H2H

Zambia are winless at home in their last seven matches and have not scored in three of their last four games overall. Togo defeated Zambia 1-0 in their most recent head-to-head meeting. Togo's recent form is substantially stronger: six consecutive matches without defeat represents a marked improvement from their previous run of three defeats in four games. Zambia's nine-game winless streak and inability to find the net in recent outings present a stark contrast to Togo's attacking consistency and defensive solidity.

Best Bet

Zambia Total over 1.5 goals offers value given Togo's attacking form and Zambia's desperation to end their winless run at home. At Mostbet, a Zambia win pays 1.88, while 1xBet offers 1.96. Togo's unbeaten streak and superior goal-scoring record make them favourites, but Zambia will be motivated to break their drought in front of their own supporters.

Odds to Watch

Togo's away win is priced at 4.00 on 22Bet and 4.01 on 1xBet, reflecting their unbeaten run and attacking prowess. The draw sits at 3.12 on Melbet and 22Bet, with Mostbet offering 2.97. Zambia's home win is available at 1.88 on Mostbet, the shortest price among the partners listed, though their recent form makes backing them a high-risk proposition.

Zambia vs Togo Odds

Bookmaker1X2Bet
Melbet2.023.13.82Place a bet
1xBet2.023.13.82Place a bet
Mostbet1.993.023.77Place a bet
22Bet2.0433.91Place a bet
Best odds2.043.103.91
Average2.023.063.83
Lowest odds1.993.003.77
Compare odds
1xBet

Welcome Package up to $1,500 + 210 FS (casino, 4 deposits) and 120% First-Deposit Bonus up to $400 (sports)

1X2 prediction for Zambia vs Togo

Date and time 29 September 2026 at 17:00

1X212.0246%
O/UU 2.570%
DC1/X73%
BTTSYes50%
1 46%X 27%2 27%

Zambia Total over 1,5

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Zambia vs Togo Odds statistic

Average rates from the last stored matches for each team.

ZambiaZambiaLast matchesTogoTogo
80%Over 0.5 goals100%
80%Over 1.5 goals60%
60%Over 2.5 goals40%
40%Over 3.5 goals40%
40%BTTS60%
40%Last 5 BTTS60%

Head to Head Zambia — Togo

In the last 1 meetings, Zambia hold the edge — 1 wins for Zambia, 0 for Togo, 0 draws.

100% W — 10% D — 00% W — 0
  • ZambiaZambia2:0TogoTogo
    Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · 29 Sept 2026
100%Over 0.5100%
100%Over 1.5100%
0%Over 2.50%
0%BTTS0%
100%Zambia over 0.50%

Betting profits Zambia vs Togo

Historical P/L if you backed each side on the main markets in their recent matches.

Zambia

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-11.33114
Match WinnerDraw-7.63214
Match WinnerLose+7.131114
Goals Over/UnderOver 1+0.1722
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1-1.0012
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5-0.50812
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-2.08412
Goals Over/UnderOver 2-0.81913
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2-1.58813
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-2.12513
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5-0.72813
Goals Over/UnderOver 3+0.3259
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3-1.6769
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5+0.5338
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5-1.7358
Goals Over/UnderOver 0.5-0.6934
Goals Over/UnderUnder 0.5+2.7514
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5+0.2412
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5-0.8712
Goals Over/UnderOver 4+0.7911
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4-1.0001
Both Teams ScoreYes-2.17412
Both Teams ScoreNo+1.26812

Togo

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin+0.5549
Match WinnerDraw+0.5039
Match WinnerLose-4.0629
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5-3.1249
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5+3.2759
Goals Over/UnderOver 2-3.4349
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2+2.3879
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-4.1629
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5+1.4179
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-3.3817
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3+0.4367
Goals Over/UnderOver 1-0.8034
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1+1.0524
Goals Over/UnderOver 0.5+0.2644
Goals Over/UnderUnder 0.5-4.0004
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5+4.8724
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5-1.8424
Goals Over/UnderOver 4-1.0012
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4+0.0122
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-1.0001
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5+0.0111
Both Teams ScoreYes-1.6426
Both Teams ScoreNo+0.6046

Match statistics

3939%Possession %61%61
1148%Total shots52%12
480%Shots on target20%1
440%Shots off target60%6
758%Corners42%5
1759%Fouls41%12
267%Yellow cards33%1
00%Red cards0%0
24039%Passes61%376
15335%Accurate passes65%280
133%Saves67%2
1100%Offsides0%0

Key events

  • 2'
    Goal A. Kangwanda
    Zambia
  • 45'
    Substitution S. Ouro (→ K. Aziangbe)
    Togo
  • 45'
    Substitution Obino Chisala (→ J. Liteta)
    Zambia
  • 45'
    Yellow card M. Banda
    Zambia
  • 45+6'
    Yellow card Abdoul Sabourh Bode
    Togo
  • 56'
    Substitution M. Chaiwa (→ Owen Tembo)
    Zambia
  • 57'
    Substitution Abdoul Sabourh Bode (→ Atte youssifou)
    Togo
  • 64'
    Substitution David Simukonda (→ L. Banda)
    Zambia
  • 64'
    Substitution L. Bessilé (→ K. Laba)
    Togo
  • 72'
    Substitution K. Mutandwa (→ Eliya Mandanji)
    Zambia
  • 73'
    Substitution F. Sakala (→ G. Lungu)
    Zambia
  • 74'
    Substitution C. Abi (→ S. Zuberu)
    Togo
  • 76'
    Yellow card Patrice Neveu
    Togo
  • 90'
    Yellow card Owen Tembo
    Zambia
  • 90+5'
    Goal Eliya Mandanji
    Zambia

ZambiaLast matches Zambia

Zambia have not won in the last 5 matches (2 draws, 3 losses).

0% W — 040% D — 260% L — 3
  • AlgeriaAlgeria3:1ZambiaZambia
    LAfrica Cup of Nations - Qualification · 25 Sept 2026
  • ArgentinaArgentina5:0ZambiaZambia
    LFriendlies · 01 Apr 2026
  • ZambiaZambia0:3MoroccoMorocco
    LAfrica Cup of Nations · 29 Dec 2025
  • ZambiaZambia0:0ComorosComoros
    DAfrica Cup of Nations · 26 Dec 2025
  • MaliMali1:1ZambiaZambia
    DAfrica Cup of Nations · 22 Dec 2025

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
3
Goals / game
0.4
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS
40%

TogoLast matches Togo

Togo are in a strong run: 3 wins in the last 5 matches, scoring 2.0 goals per game.

60% W — 340% D — 20% L — 0
  • TogoTogo1:0BurundiBurundi
    WAfrica Cup of Nations - Qualification · 25 Sept 2026
  • TogoTogo5:1BeninBenin
    WFriendlies · 09 Jun 2026
  • Central African RepublicCentral African Republic1:1TogoTogo
    DFriendlies · 05 Jun 2026
  • NigerNiger0:1TogoTogo
    WFriendlies · 31 Mar 2026
  • GuineaGuinea2:2TogoTogo
    DFriendlies · 27 Mar 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
3
Draws
2
Losses
0
Goals / game
2.0
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS
60%

Zambia vs Togo Standings

League table is not available for this competition snapshot yet.

Comparative team statistics

00%Wins60%3
240%Draws40%2
360%Losses0%0
220%Goals scored100%10
12100%Goals conceded33%4
00%Points0%0

Season statistic Zambia vs Togo

ZambiaZambia

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 0 / 0
  • Lost home / away 1 / 2
  • Goals scored 2 (0.4)
  • Goals conceded 12 (2.4)
  • Clean sheets 1
  • Failed to score 3

TogoTogo

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 2 / 1
  • Lost home / away 0 / 0
  • Goals scored 10 (2.0)
  • Goals conceded 4 (0.8)
  • Clean sheets 2
  • Failed to score 0

Match details

  • Status Finished
  • Venue Levy Mwanawasa Stadium, Ndola
  • Referee Ali Mahmood Mahmood Ismail

Lineups

ZambiaZambia · 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. M. Chaiwa
  2. F. Sakala
  3. K. Mutandwa
  4. M. Banda
  5. D. Hamansenya
  6. David Simukonda
  7. Dominic Chanda
  8. Willard Mwanza
  9. Ricky Chanda
  10. Obino Chisala
  11. A. Kangwanda

Bench

  1. Tinklar Sinkala
  2. Wilson Chisala
  3. Owen Tembo
  4. Chanka Zimba
  5. Given Kalusa
  6. G. Lungu
  7. J. Liteta
  8. Pascal Phiri
  9. L. Banda
  10. Eliya Mandanji
  11. Tresford Lawrence Mulenga
  12. Owen Mwamba

TogoTogo · 3-4-3

Starting XI

  1. S. Nador
  2. K. Denkey
  3. L. Bessilé
  4. D. Dakonam
  5. C. Abi
  6. M. Barcola
  7. S. Ouro
  8. K. Boma
  9. H. Koudossou
  10. D. Karim
  11. Abdoul Sabourh Bode

Bench

  1. K. Aziangbe
  2. M. Ouro-Tagba
  3. I. Akakpo
  4. Komlavi Komi
  5. Atte youssifou
  6. Achirafou Yaya
  7. G. Akueson
  8. K. Laba
  9. S. Zuberu
  10. S. Mensah
  11. S. Fofana
  12. P. Nadjombe

Injuries and suspensions

ZambiaZambia

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

TogoTogo

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

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