19.10.2025 21:00 (GMT+2)
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Sarmiento Junin — Velez Sarsfield : Match Preview and Prediction for October 19,2025

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Sarmiento Junin logo

Sarmiento Junin

Argentine flag
Facundo Sava
Coach since Aug 06, 2025

Sarmiento Junin’s Defensive Prowess

Let’s begin with the home side. Sarmiento Junin is a team fighting desperately to avoid relegation. This singular objective dictates their approach: discipline and an impenetrable defense are paramount. Their recent performance serves as a textbook example of tactical resilience. A tough away fixture against River Plate at the Monumental Stadium resulted in a remarkable 1-0 clean sheet victory.

Unbreakable Defense Against River Plate

Consider these astonishing statistics! River Plate unleashed 28 shots, with 7 on target, and dominated possession with 74%. Yet, Sarmiento held firm. Goalkeeper Lucas Acosta made 7 crucial saves, while the defense, meticulously organized by Facundo Sava, performed flawlessly. The team endured immense pressure and managed to secure three vital points.

Consistent Defensive Strategy

This isn’t mere luck; it’s a well-drilled system. Examining Sarmiento’s last five matches, nicknamed “The Greens,” reveals three clean sheets. In their two defeats (against Gimnasia and Talleres), they conceded only a single goal in each game. This team excels at absorbing pressure and maintains its structure under duress, favoring a disciplined, defense-first approach. It’s anticipated that manager Sava will deploy the same lineup as against River Plate, ensuring a continuation of their highly organized and tenacious defensive line.

League Table

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
6
San Lorenzo
12
4
4
4
9-9
16
7
Atletico Tucuman
12
4
3
5
13-13
15
8
Sarmiento Junin
11
4
3
4
9-11
15
9
Instituto
12
3
6
3
7-11
15
10
San Martin San Juan
12
3
5
4
9-11
14
Promotion – Torneo Betano (Clausura – Play Offs: 1/8-finals)

Injuries and Suspensions

  • Injury Gastón González Key forward Key player
    10 matches played
    1 goal scored
    September 28 out since
    2 matches missed
  • Injury Facundo Roncaglia Key defender Key player
    22 matches played
    0 goals scored
    October 4 out since
    1 match missed
  • Injury Jhon Rentería Reserve midfielder Reserve player
    2 matches played
    0 goals scored
    October 16 out since
    0 matches missed
  • Injury Pablo Magnín Reserve forward Reserve player
    12 matches played
    2 goals scored
    April 6 out since
    16 matches missed

Velez Sarsfield logo

Velez Sarsfield

Argentine flag
Guillermo Schelotto
Coach since Mar 19, 2025

Velez Sarsfield’s Recent Attacking Struggles

Now, let’s turn our attention to Velez Sarsfield. While they currently sit third in the league table, a position that might mislead, our focus is squarely on their attack, which has shown significant issues recently. Their last match, a 1-2 home defeat to Rosario Central, was a particularly telling result regarding these offensive shortcomings.

Poor Offensive Output and xG Data

The statistics from that game clearly highlight Velez’s attacking struggles. They managed only 3 shots on target throughout the entire match and, crucially, created zero “Big Chances.” Their Expected Goals (xG) metric registered a paltry 0.70. With such meager figures, it would be unrealistic to expect an offensive spectacle away from home against a defensively organized Sarmiento side.

Significant Attacking Player Absences

The primary concern, however, revolves around their squad absences. Velez will travel to Junin without two crucial attacking players. Striker Brian Romero is sidelined due to ankle synovitis, and his attacking counterpart, 19-year-old Maher Carrizo, who has scored 10 goals this season, is also injured. This represents a substantial blow to the attacking potential of Guillermo Barros Schelotto’s team. While midfielder Claudio Baeza and forward Matias Pellegrini return from suspension, their presence doesn’t fully mitigate the loss of key offensive firepower, especially considering Pellegrini has yet to score in 27 appearances this season.

League Table

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Lanus
13
8
2
3
15-9
26
2
Deportivo Riestra
12
7
3
2
17-9
24
3
Velez Sarsfield
12
6
4
2
17-9
22
4
Rosario Central
11
5
6
0
13-6
21
5
River Plate
12
5
3
4
18-12
18
Promotion – Torneo Betano (Clausura – Play Offs: 1/8-finals)

Injuries and Suspensions

  • Suspension Rodrigo Aliendro Starting midfielder Starting player
    12 matches played
    0 goals scored
    October 12 out since
    0 matches missed
  • Injury Maher Carrizo Starting forward Starting player
    29 matches played
    10 goals scored
    October 16 out since
    0 matches missed
  • Injury Yago Gordon Starting defender Starting player
    24 matches played
    0 goals scored
    September 17 out since
    5 matches missed
  • Suspension Imanol Machuca Rotation forward Rotation player
    21 match played
    1 goal scored
    September 24 out since
    3 matches missed
  • Injury Tomás Cavanagh Reserve defender Reserve player
    4 matches played
    0 goals scored
    September 20 out since
    4 matches missed
  • Injury Joaquín García Reserve defender Reserve player
    1 match played
    0 goals scored
    March 29 out since
    30 matches missed
  • Injury Thiago Fernández Reserve midfielder Reserve player
    0 matches played
    0 goals scored
    March 29 out since
    30 matches missed
  • Injury Álvaro Montero Reserve goalkeeper Reserve player
    2 matches played
    0 goals scored
    September 30 out since
    2 matches missed

Players Returning to Squad

  • Suspension Claudio Baeza Rotation midfielder Rotation player
    25 matches played
    0 goals scored
    October 7 out since
    1 match missed
  • Suspension Matías Pellegrini Rotation forward Rotation player
    27 matches played
    0 goals scored
    October 7 out since
    1 match missed

Final Verdict: Expected Outcome

Bringing all these factors together, we have Sarmiento Junin on one side – a team that has perfected its defensive play to an almost automatic level, demonstrated by their clean sheet victory over River Plate. Their primary objective is to prevent goals, a task they execute with proficiency. On the other side stands Velez Sarsfield, who in their previous outing displayed a complete lack of offensive prowess and are further weakened by the absence of two key forwards due to injuries. 

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Rory Whitfield
Based in Leicester, Rory Whitfield has established himself as a reliable voice in English sports journalism. With a decade of experience covering Premier League, Championship, and international tournaments, he brings deep knowledge of team dynamics and player statistics to his predictions. Rory's background in sports analysis and his passion for uncovering underdog stories shine through in his balanced reporting.
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