Liga MX · Apertura - 11

Tigres UANL vs Toluca

Tigres UANL

3 : 2FTMexico

Toluca

AuthorRS7 Editorial Team

Football analysis, betting education and bookmaker reviews from the rs7sportsbetting editorial desk.

Published: 08 Oct 2026Updated: 10 Oct 2026, 05:06

Match preview

Kickoff time, live score, statistics and 1X2 odds for Tigres UANL vs Toluca in Liga MX on 10 October 2026.

Tigres UANL vs Toluca Odds

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Bet
	2.85	3.44	2.28	Place a bet
Best odds	2.85	3.44	2.28
Average	2.85	3.44	2.28
Lowest odds	2.85	3.44	2.28

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1X2 prediction for Tigres UANL vs Toluca

Date and time 10 October 2026 at 04:00

1X222.28

BTTSYes50%

Competitive fixture

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Tigres UANL vs Toluca Odds statistic

Average rates from the last stored matches for each team.

Tigres UANLLast matchesToluca

60%Over 0.5 goals100%

40%Over 1.5 goals80%

0%Over 2.5 goals80%

0%Over 3.5 goals60%

20%BTTS80%

20%Last 5 BTTS80%

Head to Head Tigres UANL — Toluca

In the last 8 meetings, Toluca hold the edge — 2 wins for Tigres UANL, 3 for Toluca, 3 draws.

25% W — 238% D — 338% W — 3

Toluca0:0Tigres UANL
CONCACAF Champions League · 31 May 2026
Tigres UANL0:0Toluca
Liga MX · 18 Jan 2026
Toluca2:1Tigres UANL
Liga MX · 15 Dec 2025
Tigres UANL1:0Toluca
Liga MX · 12 Dec 2025
Toluca3:4Tigres UANL
Liga MX · 27 Jul 2025
Toluca3:0Tigres UANL
Liga MX · 18 May 2025
Tigres UANL1:1Toluca
Liga MX · 15 May 2025
Toluca1:0Tigres UANL
Liga MX · 02 Feb 2025

75%Over 0.575%

50%Over 1.550%

38%Over 2.538%

38%BTTS38%

50%Tigres UANL over 0.563%

Betting profits Tigres UANL vs Toluca

Historical P/L if you backed each side on the main markets in their recent matches.

Tigres UANL

Market	Outcome	P/L	Wins	Games
Match Winner	Win	-11.76	2	15
Match Winner	Draw	+17.43	8	15
Match Winner	Lose	+1.49	5	15
Goals Over/Under	Over 1.5	-2.39	10	15
Goals Over/Under	Under 1.5	+5.01	5	15
Goals Over/Under	Over 2	-1.41	4	7
Goals Over/Under	Under 2	+2.87	4	7
Goals Over/Under	Over 2.5	-7.04	4	15
Goals Over/Under	Under 2.5	+8.35	11	15
Goals Over/Under	Over 3	-6.23	3	14
Goals Over/Under	Under 3	+4.35	11	14
Goals Over/Under	Over 3.5	-5.25	3	15
Goals Over/Under	Under 3.5	+2.08	12	15
Goals Over/Under	Over 4.5	-7.39	1	14
Goals Over/Under	Under 4.5	+1.11	13	14

Toluca

Market	Outcome	P/L	Wins	Games
Match Winner	Win	+1.99	10	14
Match Winner	Draw	-6.11	2	14
Match Winner	Lose	+1.23	2	14
Goals Over/Under	Over 1.5	-1.16	11	14
Goals Over/Under	Under 1.5	+1.18	3	14
Goals Over/Under	Over 2.5	-1.96	8	14
Goals Over/Under	Under 2.5	-0.01	6	14
Goals Over/Under	Over 3	-1.40	8	14
Goals Over/Under	Under 3	-1.05	8	14
Goals Over/Under	Over 3.5	-0.62	6	14
Goals Over/Under	Under 3.5	-1.55	8	14
Goals Over/Under	Over 4.5	-2.02	3	14
Goals Over/Under	Under 4.5	-0.32	11	14
Goals Over/Under	Over 4	+1.43	3	3
Goals Over/Under	Under 4	-1.00	2	3
Goals Over/Under	Over 2	0.00	2	2
Goals Over/Under	Under 2	0.00	2	2

Match statistics

3030%Possession %70%70

1.8161%Expected goals39%1.18

2054%Total shots46%17

1362%Shots on target38%8

556%Shots off target44%4

545%Corners55%6

1339%Fouls61%20

120%Yellow cards80%4

00%Red cards0%0

22730%Passes70%537

15326%Accurate passes75%447

638%Saves63%10

133%Offsides67%2

Key events

6'
Goal
Tigres UANL
33'
Yellow card A. Vega
Toluca
37'
Goal G. Martínez
Tigres UANL
42'
Goal Paulinho
Toluca
43'
Yellow card B. García
Toluca
45'
Substitution É. Gutiérrez (→ F. Viñas)
Toluca
45+4'
Red card Antonio Ricardo Mohamed Matijevich
Toluca
54'
Goal F. Viñas
Toluca
60'
Goal J. Brunetta
Tigres UANL
69'
Substitution E. Gómez (→ D. Sánchez)
Tigres UANL
69'
Substitution A. Franco (→ V. Loroña)
Tigres UANL
70'
Substitution A. Vega (→ J. Angulo)
Toluca
71'
Substitution B. García (→ S. Simón)
Toluca
71'
Substitution Helinho (→ J. Díaz)
Toluca
77'
Substitution G. Martínez (→ R. Aguirre)
Tigres UANL
77'
Substitution D. Lainez (→ O. Herrera)
Tigres UANL
89'
Substitution J. Brunetta (→ J. Garza)
Tigres UANL
90'
Substitution N. Castro (→ P. Pérez)
Toluca
90'
Yellow card V. Loroña
Tigres UANL
90+3'
Yellow card F. Romero
Toluca
90+3'
Yellow card F. Pereira
Toluca

Last matches Tigres UANL

In the last 5 matches Tigres UANL have 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses. BTTS landed in 20% of those games.

20% W — 160% D — 320% L — 1

Tigres UANL1:0Puebla
WLiga MX · 27 Sept 2026
FC Juarez2:0Tigres UANL
LLiga MX · 19 Sept 2026
Monterrey0:0Tigres UANL
DLiga MX · 13 Sept 2026
Tigres UANL1:1Necaxa
DLiga MX · 06 Sept 2026
Santos Laguna0:0Tigres UANL
DLiga MX · 30 Aug 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches: 5
Wins: 1
Draws: 3
Losses: 1
Goals / game: 0.4
Over 1.5: 40%
Over 2.5: 0%
BTTS: 20%

Last matches Toluca

In the last 5 matches Toluca have 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses. BTTS landed in 80% of those games.

40% W — 220% D — 140% L — 2

Monterrey2:1Toluca
LFriendlies Clubs · 04 Oct 2026
Cruz Azul3:3Toluca
DLiga MX · 26 Sept 2026
Toluca2:3Santos Laguna
LLiga MX · 21 Sept 2026
Puebla0:1Toluca
WLiga MX · 16 Sept 2026
Toluca5:2Atlas
WLiga MX · 13 Sept 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches: 5
Wins: 2
Draws: 1
Losses: 2
Goals / game: 2.4
Over 1.5: 80%
Over 2.5: 80%
BTTS: 80%

Tigres UANL vs Toluca Standings

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	Diff	Pts
1	Toluca	10	6	2	2	23-12	11	20
2	Club America	9	6	2	1	21-10	11	20
3	Guadalajara Chivas	10	5	3	2	17-10	7	18
4	Club Queretaro	9	5	2	2	13-8	5	17
5	Leon	10	5	2	3	14-11	3	17
6	Atlas	10	5	2	3	16-17	-1	17
7	Cruz Azul	10	5	1	4	19-18	1	16
8	Club Tijuana	9	4	2	3	14-13	1	14
9	Puebla	10	4	2	4	11-12	-1	14
10	Monterrey	9	4	1	4	16-14	2	13
11	CF Pachuca	10	3	3	4	15-11	4	12
12	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	10	3	3	4	14-16	-2	12
13	Atletico San Luis	10	3	3	4	14-18	-4	12
14	Atlante FC	10	2	5	3	12-15	-3	11
15	Tigres UANL	10	2	4	4	10-13	-3	10
16	Santos Laguna	10	3	1	6	10-15	-5	10
17	Necaxa	10	2	2	6	12-20	-8	8
18	FC Juarez	10	1	0	9	7-25	-18	3