Toulouse vs Estac Troyes Prediction

Toulouse host Estac Troyes on 25 October 2026 at 19:15 in Ligue 1. Toulouse arrive off a 3-0 win over Le Mans and will stick to their attacking approach under Jens Askou with a full squad available. Troyes are in freefall, losing five consecutive matches including a 3-1 defeat to Lens last weekend. Paolo Gozzi picked up a knock in that loss, so Noah Donkor is likely to start. The pick is Toulouse 2-0 Troyes.

Form and Head to Head

Toulouse have won seven of their 11 previous meetings with Troyes and are still unbeaten in this fixture. Toulouse have won just 20% of their home matches this season and average 1.20 goals per game at their ground. Troyes concede 1.50 goals per game away from home, a more respectable record than their 2.75 average in home matches. Troyes' five-game losing streak gives Toulouse a clear psychological edge.

Best Bet

Toulouse to win. The hosts have dominated this fixture historically and face an opponent in genuine crisis. Troyes have not won against Toulouse in their head-to-head record and arrive without momentum or key personnel.

Odds to Watch

Under 3.5 goals appears the most likely outcome. Toulouse average 1.20 goals at home and Troyes' away form, while fragile, sits at 1.50 goals conceded per game. Seventy-three percent of the head-to-head record finished under 3.5 goals. Both Teams to Score No is also worth considering given Troyes' defensive instability and Toulouse's home struggles in front of goal.