Toluca — Pachuca : Match Preview and Prediction for October 27,2025

The “Devils” currently sit comfortably at the top of the table, a position that leaves little room for debate. Antonio Mohamed’s side has compiled an impressive nine-match unbeaten run, a testament to their overall strength. However, their most recent outing against Tijuana proved to be a reality check for their potent attack, concluding in a disappointing goalless draw.

While Toluca dominated the match, maintaining 61% possession, their control yielded little tangible output. The team managed only 9 shots on goal, with a mere 2 finding the target. Their Expected Goals (xG) metric was a meager 0.35, an uncharacteristically poor showing for the league leaders. This particular match starkly revealed that even the most prolific attacking units can falter, and the fluidity they previously displayed in front of goal seemed to have vanished.

Following a series of commanding victories, such a sterile draw serves as a significant warning. Toluca struggled to break down an organized defense, failing to conjure any meaningful chances. This is not the same team that was routinely scoring 3-4 goals just a few weeks prior, suggesting that a high-scoring spectacle from their side in the upcoming fixture is unlikely.

Pachuca, on the other hand, presents a starkly different picture. Positioned in seventh place, the team has shown inconsistent form and is in desperate need of points. Their last two league outings have seen them fail to secure a victory, including a 1-2 home defeat to Tigres. This indicates that Jaime Lozano’s squad is currently not performing at their peak.

A primary reason to anticipate a low-scoring match lies in Pachuca’s significant personnel challenges. Their offensive capabilities have been severely diminished. Key attacking player Oussama Idrissi will miss the game due to suspension, having received a red card in the previous match. Furthermore, the club mutually terminated the contract of attacking midfielder Javier “Chofis” Lopez.

Without these two crucial attacking players, Pachuca’s offensive potential is dramatically reduced. Statistics corroborate this point: in 14 matches, the team has scored 19 goals while conceding 17, resulting in a modest goal difference of +2. Concrete evidence further supports a low-scoring prediction: in 12 of Pachuca’s last 14 games, the total goal count has not exceeded 3.5. This trend is even more pronounced on the road, with 11 of their last 15 away matches also finishing with three goals or fewer.