Athletic Bilbao — Qarabag FK : Match Preview and Prediction for October 22,2025
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Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao’s Recent Form and Struggles
Athletic Bilbao began the new La Liga season with three victories, but this promising start was soon followed by a prolonged downturn. This slump can be attributed to a demanding fixture schedule and significant squad issues that manager Valverde’s team has been grappling with. Aymeric Laporte was signed to bolster the squad, returning from the East, but he is still in the process of readapting to his old-new team. While most players recovered during the international break, they haven’t yet regained their full form, making the Basques a risky favorite in this fixture. Their 1-4 loss to Borussia and 0-2 defeat to Arsenal at San Mamés are clear indicators of their current struggles.
Athletic Bilbao Current Squad Status and Injuries
The return of Nico Williams is a positive development, as the team’s attacking play often flows through him. However, Nico, who has been sidelined for a month, still needs time to reach peak fitness. After the break, Athletic played to a 0-0 draw against newly promoted Elche, where they largely defended and hardly deserved a victory. The red-and-whites currently boast only one win in their last eight matches, and they have conceded in five of their six home games this season. This suggests that Unai Simón and the defenders will face a challenging task against Qarabag’s attack. For this match against the Aghdam team, the hosts will be without Álvarez, Egiluz, and key players like Prados Díaz and Izeta.
League Standings
Injuries and Suspensions
- Injury Beñat Prados Díaz Rotation Player MF
3 matches played0 goals scoredAugust 31 out since9 matches missed - Suspension Yeray Álvarez Reserve Player DF0 matches played0 goals scoredMay 15 out since20 matches missed
- Injury Izeta Reserve Player FW2 matches played0 goals scoredOctober 19 out since0 matches missed
- Injury Unai Egiluz Reserve Player DF0 matches played0 goals scoredJuly 30 out since18 matches missed
Qarabag FK
Qarabag FK’s Unexpected Champions League Success
While the Basques began the Champions League group stage with two consecutive defeats, Qarabag FK has surprisingly secured two victories, an outcome few would have predicted. First, the Aghdam team mounted an incredible comeback against Benfica in Lisbon, recovering from a 0-2 deficit to win 3-2. Then, at home in Baku, they deservedly defeated Copenhagen 2-0, effectively stifling all of their opponent’s attacking efforts.
Qarabag FK’s Impressive Form and Squad Availability
No one in particular expects much from the visitors in Bilbao, especially after their two consecutive wins in the tournament. However, Gurbanov’s team is more than capable of springing another surprise and capitalizing on the less-than-stable situation within the Basque ranks. Before traveling to Bilbao, Qarabag extended their winning streak to six consecutive matches, having defeated Turan 2-1 in Tovuz in the league. All of the Azerbaijani champions’ key players, with the exception of Spaniard Caballero, are ready to play against Athletic in Bilbao.
League Standings
Injuries and Suspensions
- Injury Jonathan Montiel Reserve Player MF0 matches played0 goals scoredJanuary 26 out since30 matches missed
- Injury Ramil Sheydayev Reserve Player FW1 match played0 goals scoredOctober 17 out since0 matches missed
- Injury Amin Rzayev Reserve Player DF0 matches played0 goals scoredOctober 11 out since1 match missed
Match Prediction: Qarabag FK to Score
A bet on the Azerbaijani champions to score in this match appears highly attractive to me. Athletic Bilbao is clearly in a slump, and their key players, returning from injuries, haven’t yet regained full fitness. Qarabag has every chance to capitalize on this situation. Beyond the weak Basque defense, I’d like to highlight Qarabag’s attack, which, with Kadi, Zoubir, Leandro Andrade, and co., looks formidable. As proof, I would note that the Aghdam team has consistently scored in their last nine matches. In Bilbao, they could mark a small milestone, especially since there’s no pressure on the visitors after their initial two wins, allowing them to simply enjoy their currently strong form.
Rory Whitfield
