Match Overview

This highly anticipated Matchday 4 fixture of the 2025/26 group stage will see Liverpool (England) host Real Madrid (Spain) at Anfield on November 4th. Dive into our comprehensive preview, including predictions, betting odds, and key statistics for the Liverpool vs Real Madrid clash.

Liverpool Team Analysis

Arne Slot’s side secured a dominant 5-1 away victory against Eintracht in the previous round, marking their first large-margin win in the in almost a year. However, this was only the second time in their last five matches that Liverpool scored more than one goal. Defensively, the team has shown vulnerabilities, conceding in their last seven UCL encounters. With 6 points, Liverpool currently sits in 10th place in the tournament standings.

• Liverpool has not recorded a draw in 24 consecutive fixtures, with a record of 17 wins and 7 losses.
• The Reds have scored at least two goals in 9 of their last 10 home matches.
• At Anfield, Liverpool has conceded no more than one goal in 5 of their last 6 games.

Liverpool Predicted Line-up (4-3-3)

Giorgi Mamardashvili – Conor Bradley, Ibrahima Konate, Virgil van Dijk, Andrew Robertson – Alexis Mac Allister, Florian Wirtz, Dominik Szoboszlai – Mohamed Salah, Hugo Ekitike, Cody Gakpo.

Injury Report

Goalkeeper Alisson Becker, midfielder Curtis Jones, forward Alexander Isak, and defender Jeremie Frimpong are all sidelined due to injuries. 

Real Madrid Team Analysis

The Spanish giants maintain a perfect record in the competition, securing their third consecutive victory with a 1-0 win over Juventus in the last round. Notably, after a seven-match streak of conceding goals in the tournament, Madrid has kept two consecutive clean sheets. This season, Xabi Alonso’s men boast more clean sheets than any other team in the UCL, except for Arsenal and Inter. Real Madrid currently holds 5th place in the overall standings.

• Real Madrid has scored at least one goal in 10 of their last 12 fixtures.
• The Spanish side has conceded in 6 of their last 8 away matches in the competition.
• A minimum of three goals have been scored in 4 of Madrid’s last 5 matches.

Real Madrid Predicted Line-up (4-5-1)

Thibaut Courtois – Alvaro Carreras, Raul Asensio, Eder Militao, Federico Valverde – Vinicius Junior, Eduardo Camavinga, Jude Bellingham, Aurélien Tchouaméni, Arda Güler – Kylian Mbappé. 

Injury Report

Defenders David Alaba, Antonio Rüdiger, and Dani Carvajal are currently injured.

Referee Overview

István Kovács (Romania)

• Matches Officiated – 5 (International fixtures, 2025/26 season);
• Yellow Cards Shown (including second yellows) – 19;
• Average Yellow Cards per Match – 3.8;
• Red Cards Shown – 0;
• Average Fouls per Match – 32;
• Penalties Awarded – 20% of matches.

Match Prediction: Liverpool vs Real Madrid

Historical Context and Current Form

These two rivals share a rich history of encounters. Their most recent clash in the previous tournament saw the British side emerge victorious with a 2-0 scoreline, thereby ending Liverpool’s eight-match winless streak against Madrid (1 draw, 7 losses). However, at that time, the English team was in superb form, having navigated the group stage almost flawlessly. Currently, Arne Slot’s squad is delivering performances that are difficult to justify given the team’s calibre: Liverpool has lost 6 of their last 8 official matches.

Real Madrid’s Strong Run

In contrast to their opponents, the Spanish team has demonstrated remarkable consistency. They remain unbeaten in this campaign, and more broadly, Xabi Alonso’s men have secured victories in 13 out of 14 official matches this season, suffering only one defeat. Furthermore, Real Madrid has avoided defeat in 11 of their last 15 away fixtures. 

Expert Prediction

After Matchday 3, bookmakers heavily favoured Liverpool, but due to their recent results, the British side has largely lost its favourite status. The Spaniards should capitalize on their opponent’s poor form and secure points. My prediction is: “Real Madrid Win or Draw”.

Author

Author: Alexey Tarabrin