Aberdeen vs ST Mirren Prediction

Aberdeen host St Mirren on 17 October 2026 at 17:00 in the Scottish Premiership. The pick is Aberdeen 1–0. Aberdeen's home record shows three wins in the last ten matches alongside three draws, though four losses temper that picture. St Mirren arrive in poor away form with three wins against six losses from their last ten road games. Aberdeen average 1.30 goals at home per match; St Mirren concede 2.01 away. The visitors score just 0.90 goals per match on their travels.

Form and H2H

Aberdeen have won three of their last ten at Pittodrie but also lost four. St Mirren's away record is worse: three wins, one draw, and six losses in ten. Head-to-head between these sides stretches back to 2011 and shows a pattern of low-scoring draws. In six meetings from April 2011 to September 2012, the teams drew twice and produced four goalless stalemates. Only one match finished with more than one goal. Aberdeen's home profit trend on the match winner sits at minus 1.18 units over the sample; St Mirren's away profit on wins is plus 0.87 units, suggesting the visitors have marginal value in the 1X2 market but Aberdeen remain favoured.

Best Bet

Aberdeen to win at 1.86 with 1xBet. The hosts have the stronger home record and St Mirren's away form is fragile. A single goal separates these teams historically, and Aberdeen's attacking output at Pittodrie edges the visitors' defensive record on the road.

Odds to Watch

The draw at 3.62 with 1xBet reflects the historical tendency for stalemates in this fixture. St Mirren at 3.91 offers value only if you believe the away side can break their recent road struggles. Under 2.5 goals aligns with the low-scoring pattern and Aberdeen's modest home output. Both teams to score at No carries the cleanest case: St Mirren average 0.90 goals away and Aberdeen's home defence concedes under one per match on average.