League Two · Regular Season - 9

Accrington ST vs Cheltenham Prediction

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AuthorAlexander Bryant

Alexander has more than five years of experience producing sports betting content for international audiences. He researches bookmakers, verifies important information and creates practical guides for both new and experienced bettors. His main objective is to make complex betting topics clear, accurate and easy to understand.

Published: 01 Oct 2026Updated: 03 Oct 2026, 16:25

Match preview

Accrington Stanley host Cheltenham on 3 October 2026 at 17:00 in League Two, with the visitors arriving as clear favourites after six matches unbeaten. Accrington have stalled, taking one win from their last ten games and drawing 1-1 with Swindon most recently. Midfielder Aidan Borland is away on international duty, a notable absence for the home side. Cheltenham beat Chesterfield 2-1 last weekend and have scored in every one of their last ten matches, averaging 1.90 goals per game across that run. Pierce Sweeney picked up a knock in that victory but George Miller is ready to deputise if needed.

Form and H2H

Accrington have taken 1.40 points per game at home across their last five matches, a modest return that masks their defensive vulnerability. They concede 1.90 goals per game in that span. Cheltenham's away form is sharper: they average 1.90 goals scored and 1.70 conceded across their last ten matches, with four wins and four draws from their last ten on the road. Head-to-head records from 2012 to 2015 show Accrington won twice and Cheltenham once, with three draws, but recent momentum sits firmly with the visitors.

Best Bet

Accrington 1 - 3 Cheltenham is the main selection. Cheltenham's prolific away form and Accrington's leaky defence at home create the conditions for a comfortable away win. Both teams have scored in Cheltenham's last ten games, and Accrington's home record suggests they will concede multiple goals despite their stubborn points-per-game average.

Odds to Watch

No partner bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. Bettors using Melbet, 1xBet, 1Win, Mostbet, or 22Bet should compare their current 1X2 odds for Cheltenham's away win against the underlying form data: Cheltenham unbeaten in six, Accrington winless in three, and the visitors' superior goal-scoring record across their last ten matches.

Accrington ST vs Cheltenham Odds

Pre-match odds appear closer to kick-off when bookmakers open the market.

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1X2 prediction for Accrington ST vs Cheltenham

Date and time 3 October 2026 at 17:00

1X22
BTTSYes90%

Competitive fixture

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Accrington ST vs Cheltenham Odds statistic

Average rates from the last stored matches for each team.

Accrington STAccrington STLast matchesCheltenhamCheltenham
80%Over 0.5 goals100%
80%Over 1.5 goals100%
60%Over 2.5 goals80%
40%Over 3.5 goals60%
80%BTTS100%
80%Last 5 BTTS100%

Head to Head Accrington ST — Cheltenham

In the last 8 meetings, Cheltenham hold the edge — 3 wins for Accrington ST, 3 for Cheltenham, 2 draws.

38% W — 325% D — 238% W — 3
  • Accrington STAccrington ST3:1CheltenhamCheltenham
    League Two · 31 Jan 2026
  • CheltenhamCheltenham1:0Accrington STAccrington ST
    League Two · 06 Sept 2025
  • Accrington STAccrington ST0:0CheltenhamCheltenham
    League Two · 28 Jan 2025
  • CheltenhamCheltenham2:1Accrington STAccrington ST
    League Two · 01 Oct 2024
  • CheltenhamCheltenham0:0Accrington STAccrington ST
    League One · 11 Feb 2023
  • Accrington STAccrington ST1:0CheltenhamCheltenham
    League One · 17 Sept 2022
  • CheltenhamCheltenham1:0Accrington STAccrington ST
    League One · 16 Oct 2021
  • Accrington STAccrington ST3:1CheltenhamCheltenham
    FA Cup · 01 Dec 2018
75%Over 0.575%
38%Over 1.538%
38%Over 2.538%
38%BTTS38%
50%Accrington ST over 0.563%

Betting profits Accrington ST vs Cheltenham

Historical P/L if you backed each side on the main markets in their recent matches.

Accrington ST

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-3.65415
Match WinnerDraw+9.83715
Match WinnerLose-7.78415
Goals Over/UnderOver 2-1.69711
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2+3.06611
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-0.57815
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5-0.71715
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-1.75714
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3+0.211014
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5+1.27514
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5-1.34914
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5+1.1789
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-5.2019
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-1.5717
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5-0.1867
Goals Over/UnderOver 4+1.4111
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4-1.0001

Cheltenham

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-1.63515
Match WinnerDraw-0.82415
Match WinnerLose-2.75615
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5+3.111212
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-12.00012
Goals Over/UnderOver 2+3.5699
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2-8.0019
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5+8.441315
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5-11.00215
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5+12.30915
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5-6.62615
Goals Over/UnderOver 3+8.661214
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3-6.87614
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5+0.60211
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5-0.73911

Match statistics

4444%Possession %56%56
2279%Total shots21%6
686%Shots on target14%1
1393%Shots off target7%1
880%Corners20%2
1558%Fouls42%11
375%Yellow cards25%1
00%Red cards100%1
33542%Passes58%462
23240%Accurate passes60%348
120%Saves80%4
1100%Offsides0%0

Key events

  • 42'
    Yellow card C. McCann
    Cheltenham
  • 48'
    Yellow card T. Walton
    Accrington ST
  • 55'
    Substitution J. Tomlinson (→ G. Nurse)
    Cheltenham
  • 62'
    Substitution T. Walton (→ C. Warren)
    Accrington ST
  • 74'
    Yellow card J. Woods
    Accrington ST
  • 78'
    Goal C. Warren
    Accrington ST
  • 80'
    Yellow card D. Tutonda
    Accrington ST
  • 84'
    Substitution J. Shipley (→ G. Miller)
    Cheltenham
  • 84'
    Substitution R. Broom (→ J. Bickerstaff)
    Cheltenham
  • 87'
    Goal C. Warren
    Accrington ST
  • 90+3'
    Red card C. McCann
    Cheltenham
  • 90+5'
    Yellow card A. Weimann
    Cheltenham
  • 90+6'
    Substitution A. Weimann (→ K. Otchere)
    Cheltenham

Accrington STLast matches Accrington ST

In the last 5 matches Accrington ST have 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses. BTTS landed in 80% of those games.

20% W — 160% D — 320% L — 1
  • Swindon TownSwindon Town1:1Accrington STAccrington ST
    DLeague Two · 26 Sept 2026
  • Accrington STAccrington ST3:3Sunderland U21Sunderland U21
    DEFL Trophy · 22 Sept 2026
  • Accrington STAccrington ST0:0Newport CountyNewport County
    DLeague Two · 19 Sept 2026
  • BarnetBarnet2:1Accrington STAccrington ST
    LLeague Two · 12 Sept 2026
  • Accrington STAccrington ST3:2Crawley TownCrawley Town
    WLeague Two · 05 Sept 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
1
Draws
3
Losses
1
Goals / game
1.6
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS
80%

CheltenhamLast matches Cheltenham

In the last 5 matches Cheltenham have 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses. BTTS landed in 100% of those games.

40% W — 260% D — 30% L — 0
  • CheltenhamCheltenham2:1ChesterfieldChesterfield
    WLeague Two · 26 Sept 2026
  • CheltenhamCheltenham2:2Exeter CityExeter City
    DEFL Trophy · 22 Sept 2026
  • ColchesterColchester1:1CheltenhamCheltenham
    DLeague Two · 19 Sept 2026
  • Crawley TownCrawley Town1:3CheltenhamCheltenham
    WLeague Two · 12 Sept 2026
  • CheltenhamCheltenham2:2GrimsbyGrimsby
    DLeague Two · 05 Sept 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
2
Draws
3
Losses
0
Goals / game
2.0
Over 1.5
100%
Over 2.5
80%
BTTS
100%

Accrington ST vs Cheltenham Standings

#TeamMPWDLGDiffPts
1BarnetBarnet743017-10715
2CheltenhamCheltenham843116-12415
3Bristol RoversBristol Rovers850313-11215
4YorkYork842216-10614
5WalsallWalsall835011-5614
6GrimsbyGrimsby834112-8413
7Salford CitySalford City841312-10213
8GillinghamGillingham833211-9212
9CreweCrewe82608-6212
10TranmereTranmere825110-8211
11ChesterfieldChesterfield832311-10111
12Swindon TownSwindon Town83239-12-311
13RotherhamRotherham824211-11010
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town82429-9010
15ColchesterColchester824210-12-210
16RochdaleRochdale83149-11-210
17Newport CountyNewport County823312-1209
18ShrewsburyShrewsbury82247-13-68
19Accrington STAccrington ST814311-14-37
20OldhamOldham82159-13-47
21Exeter CityExeter City81344-6-26
22NorthamptonNorthampton71333-6-36
23Port ValePort Vale71243-9-65
24Crawley TownCrawley Town71156-13-74
League position 19 / 24Comparative team statisticsLeague position 2 / 24
113%Wins50%4
450%Draws38%3
338%Losses13%1
1169%Goals scored100%16
14100%Goals conceded86%12
747%Points100%15

Season statistic Accrington ST vs Cheltenham

Accrington STAccrington ST

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 1 / 0
  • Lost home / away 0 / 1
  • Goals scored 8 (1.6)
  • Goals conceded 8 (1.6)
  • Clean sheets 1
  • Failed to score 1

CheltenhamCheltenham

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 1 / 1
  • Lost home / away 0 / 0
  • Goals scored 10 (2.0)
  • Goals conceded 7 (1.4)
  • Clean sheets 0
  • Failed to score 0

Match details

  • Status Finished
  • Venue The Crown Ground, Accrington

Lineups

Accrington STAccrington ST · 3-1-4-2

Starting XI

  1. L. Moulden
  2. D. Love
  3. D. Matthews
  4. J. Anderson
  5. C. O'Brien
  6. S. Conneely
  7. Stefan Mols
  8. D. Tutonda
  9. Alex Henderson
  10. T. Walton
  11. J. Woods

Bench

  1. C. Brown
  2. J. Catesby
  3. C. Grant
  4. J. Rogerson
  5. J. Smith
  6. C. Warren
  7. Oliver Smith

CheltenhamCheltenham · 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. W. Stanway
  2. J. Tomkinson
  3. R. Cundy
  4. P. Sweeney
  5. J. Tomlinson
  6. R. Broom
  7. B. Stevenson
  8. J. Evans
  9. C. McCann
  10. J. Shipley
  11. A. Weimann

Bench

  1. J. Bickerstaff
  2. J. Day
  3. G. Miller
  4. G. Nurse
  5. F. Willcox
  6. J. Wilson
  7. K. Otchere

Injuries and suspensions

Accrington STAccrington ST

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

CheltenhamCheltenham

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

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