AS Roma vs Genoa Prediction

AS Roma host Genoa on 17 October 2026 at 21:45 in Serie A. Roma will be determined to return to winning ways after a goalless draw with Como, despite dominating that match before Donyell Malen's sending-off. Gian Piero Gasperini's side will be without Malen through suspension, while Bryan Cristante and Konstantinos Koulierakis are doubtful. Roma have been particularly dangerous at the Stadio Olimpico, averaging 2.67 goals per game in recent home matches. Genoa arrive on the back of a confidence-boosting 2-1 victory over Fiorentina, but their away form remains a major concern. The Rossoblu have averaged just 0.33 goals per game on their travels and have struggled to collect points away from home. Injuries to Nuredini and Colombo, alongside doubts over Venturino and Sow, could further limit their options.

Form and H2H

Roma have won four of their last ten matches at home, drawn four, and lost two, averaging 1.99 goals for and 1.30 against. Genoa's away record is significantly weaker: three wins, one draw, and six losses from their last ten, averaging 0.99 goals for and 1.50 against. Historically, Roma dominate the fixture. In their six most recent meetings, Roma have won four times, with scorelines of 4-0, 3-1, and 1-0 at home. Genoa's last win came in May 2014, also at home. Roma have the stronger home record and a clear historical advantage, winning 23 of 35 previous meetings.

Best Bet

AS Roma 2-0 Genoa is the pick. Roma's home form and Genoa's fragile away record make this a straightforward matchup. At 1xBet, a Roma win is priced at 1.45, offering value given the underlying data. Roma have won four of ten at home and average nearly two goals per game in that environment. Genoa concede 1.50 goals per away game and have scored just 0.33. The clean sheet for Roma sits at 2.10 across the market.

Odds to Watch

Roma's home dominance and Genoa's away struggles create a clear hierarchy. At 1xBet, the 1X2 prices are Roma 1.45, Draw 4.84, and Genoa 8.3. The draw at 4.84 reflects Genoa's historical difficulty on the road, while Genoa's 8.3 price underscores just how unlikely an away win looks given the form data. Roma's 1.45 is the shortest price on the card and the most straightforward play.