Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg Prediction

Celje host Red Bull Salzburg on 22 October 2026 at 22:00 in the third round of the UEFA Europa League. Salzburg are heavy favorites, sitting on a 17-match unbeaten run in official competition with only one loss—a 4-0 defeat to Milan in this competition. Celje have zero points from two group-stage matches and a 0-5 goal difference after losses to Bayer Leverkusen (0-2) and Omonia (0-3). The Slovenian club recently changed managers, appointing Zoran Zelkovic, and drew 0-0 with Maribor in their domestic league.

Form and H2H

Celje have won just once in their last six matches across all competitions. Over their last ten games, they average 0.60 goals for and 1.30 against. In nine of their last ten matches, Celje finished with under 3.5 total goals. They scored fewer than 1.5 goals in nine of ten recent outings and rarely engage in open attacking exchanges. Salzburg's away record in Europa League is disciplined: they scored under 1.5 goals in eight of their last ten away matches in the competition and took only one goal from their recent 1-0 win over Levski. Salzburg average 2.09 goals for and 0.90 against in their last ten away games but show restraint in European travel. The main risk to an under 3.5 bet is an early goal that opens the match, though both teams have shown they can score at least once in recent fixtures.

Best Bet

Under 3.5 goals. Celje's attack consistently produces fewer than two goals per match, and Salzburg's away performances in Europa League rarely exceed one goal. Even if both teams find the net once, the total stays comfortably below the line. Back Under 3.5 at 1xBet with odds of 1.55.

Odds to Watch

Salzburg are priced at 1.7 to win outright on 1xBet, reflecting their clear superiority in form and competition level. A Celje upset sits at 4.86, while the draw is available at 4.2. Given Salzburg's defensive solidity on the road and Celje's blunt attack, the away win offers the most direct path to profit, though the under 3.5 total goals remains the sharper play.