Celta Vigo vs Alaves Prediction

Celta Vigo host Alaves on 18 October 2026 at 17:15 in La Liga's ninth round. Celta are heavy favourites after eight matches of defensive solidity, conceding just 0.75 goals per game—the best record in the division. Alaves have won only once away all season and lost four of their last five league matches. In six home meetings between these sides, Celta have lost just once.

Form and H2H

Celta drew 0-0 with Elche last time out and have posted three draws and a 5-0 win over Racing before that. Nine of their last ten league matches finished with under 3.5 goals. Alaves sit seventh on 11 points but are in freefall: four straight matches without a win—three defeats and one draw. They lost 1-2 at home to Atletico Madrid most recently. In nine of Alaves' last ten league games, the total stayed under 3.5 goals.

The head-to-head record favours Celta. Celta won 6-0 in June 2020 and took a 1-0 victory in September 2017. Alaves have two wins from the fixture, including a 2-0 away victory in October 2019, but also drew 0-0 in February 2019.

Best Bet

Under 2.5 goals. Celta's defence is the league's tightest and their attack rarely runs hot—nine of ten recent matches saw them score one goal or fewer. Alaves average 1.5 goals per match this season but have failed to break down strong defences on the road. In nine of ten recent away games, Alaves scored no more than one goal. Both teams favour low-scoring contests. Back Under 2.5 at 1.65 with Melbet, 1.65 with 1xBet, or 1.65 with 1Win.

Odds to Watch

Celta are priced at 2.15 with Melbet, 2.23 with 1xBet, and 2.21 with 1Win for the home win. A draw sits at 3.28 with Melbet, 3.42 with 1xBet, and 3.33 with 1Win. Alaves' away win is 3.5 with Melbet, 3.64 with 1xBet, and 3.5 with 1Win. The draw has drifted across the market, reflecting Celta's attacking struggles and Alaves' recent form collapse.