Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 29

Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union Prediction

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AuthorAlexander Bryant

Alexander has more than five years of experience producing sports betting content for international audiences. He researches bookmakers, verifies important information and creates practical guides for both new and experienced bettors. His main objective is to make complex betting topics clear, accurate and easy to understand.

Published: 13 Oct 2026Updated: 15 Oct 2026, 02:40

Match preview

Chicago Fire host Philadelphia Union on 15 October 2026 at 03:30 in an MLS clash that points toward goals at both ends. The prediction is Chicago Fire 2–2 Philadelphia Union, a draw that reflects both sides' attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities. Philadelphia arrive in exceptional away form, winning eight of their last ten road matches without a loss, while Chicago have been inconsistent at home with three wins, four draws, and three losses over the same span. The Union's away record includes an average of 3.1 goals scored per game, a figure that should trouble a Fire defense conceding 1.7 per outing.

Form and H2H

Philadelphia's away run is the standout metric here. They have scored in every recent fixture on the road and kept their defensive shape well, averaging just 1.2 goals conceded per game. Chicago at home average 1.6 goals for and 1.7 against, a balance that suggests vulnerability to a Union side hitting their stride. Head-to-head records between these teams show a pattern of close contests. Their last six meetings produced three draws and three one-goal results, with the most recent draw finishing 1–1 in 2014. That history of tight margins supports the 2–2 prediction.

Best Bet

Both teams to score at yes carries strong backing given Philadelphia's attacking form and Chicago's defensive leakiness. A 2–2 scoreline would deliver that outcome cleanly. For those backing the outright draw, Mostbet offers 3.66, 1xBet 3.86, and 1Win 3.8 on the X. The Union's away potency and Fire's home frailty make a high-scoring stalemate the most likely result.

Odds to Watch

Over 2.5 goals sits at 1.44 across the market and represents solid value given both teams' recent output. Over 3.5 goals at 2.00 is tighter but still plausible if the Union's attack finds space early. For the draw itself, Melbet prices it at 3.78, with 1xBet at 3.86 and Mostbet at 3.66. Chicago Fire home win is available at 2.41 on Mostbet, 2.48 on Melbet, and 2.53 on 1xBet, though Philadelphia's away record makes that a longer shot than the draw or a Union victory.

Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union Odds

Bookmaker1X2Bet
Melbet2.443.82.62Place a bet
1xBet2.493.92.68Place a bet
1Win2.53.942.5Place a bet
Mostbet2.363.812.54Place a bet
22Bet2.593.92.58Place a bet
Best odds2.593.942.68
Average2.483.872.58
Lowest odds2.363.802.50
Compare odds
1xBet

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1Win

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1X2 prediction for Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union

Date and time 15 October 2026 at 01:30

1X212.4438%
DC1/X63%
BTTSYes60%
1 38%X 25%2 37%

Chicago Fire win

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Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union Odds statistic

Average rates from the last stored matches for each team.

Chicago FireChicago FireLast matchesPhiladelphia UnionPhiladelphia U.
100%Over 0.5 goals100%
80%Over 1.5 goals100%
80%Over 2.5 goals100%
20%Over 3.5 goals80%
60%BTTS60%
60%Last 5 BTTS60%

Head to Head Chicago Fire — Philadelphia Union

In the last 8 meetings, Philadelphia Union hold the edge — 2 wins for Chicago Fire, 3 for Philadelphia Union, 3 draws.

25% W — 238% D — 338% W — 3
  • Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union1:2Chicago FireChicago Fire
    Major League Soccer · 21 Mar 2026
  • Chicago FireChicago Fire0:3Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union
    Major League Soccer · 01 Nov 2025
  • Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union2:2Chicago FireChicago Fire
    Major League Soccer · 26 Oct 2025
  • Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union4:0Chicago FireChicago Fire
    Major League Soccer · 24 Aug 2025
  • Chicago FireChicago Fire0:1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union
    Major League Soccer · 26 Jun 2025
  • Chicago FireChicago Fire4:3Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union
    Major League Soccer · 04 Jul 2024
  • Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union2:2Chicago FireChicago Fire
    Major League Soccer · 25 Feb 2024
  • Chicago FireChicago Fire2:2Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union
    Major League Soccer · 16 Apr 2023
100%Over 0.5100%
88%Over 1.588%
88%Over 2.588%
63%BTTS63%
63%Chicago Fire over 0.5100%

Betting profits Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia U.

Historical P/L if you backed each side on the main markets in their recent matches.

Chicago Fire

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin+3.23815
Match WinnerDraw+0.99415
Match WinnerLose-6.99315
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5+0.931314
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-7.53114
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5+1.621115
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5-1.99415
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-0.881115
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3+1.801115
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5-6.01415
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5+4.931115
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-11.12115
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5+3.521415
Goals Over/UnderOver 4-4.0015
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4+2.6955

Philadelphia Union

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin+4.671115
Match WinnerDraw-6.85215
Match WinnerLose-6.54215
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5-0.291214
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-3.79214
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-0.601015
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5-2.21515
Goals Over/UnderOver 3+0.74914
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3-2.84614
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5+4.01915
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5-4.92615
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5+6.51615
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5-3.29915
Goals Over/UnderOver 4+2.9356
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4-2.4636

Match statistics

4949%Possession %51%51
0.8227%Expected goals73%2.24
830%Total shots70%19
433%Shots on target67%8
225%Shots off target75%6
120%Big chances80%4
222%Corners78%7
1243%Fouls57%16
250%Yellow cards50%2
1100%Red cards0%0
40450%Passes50%410
29950%Accurate passes50%303
457%Saves43%3
375%Offsides25%1

Key events

Chicago FireLast matches Chicago Fire

Chicago Fire are in a strong run: 3 wins in the last 5 matches, scoring 1.4 goals per game.

60% W — 30% D — 040% L — 2
  • Chicago FireChicago Fire2:1New York City FCNew York City FC
    WMajor League Soccer · 10 Oct 2026
  • Chicago FireChicago Fire3:1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps
    WMajor League Soccer · 07 Oct 2026
  • CharlotteCharlotte0:1Chicago FireChicago Fire
    WMajor League Soccer · 27 Sept 2026
  • Nashville SCNashville SC3:0Chicago FireChicago Fire
    LMajor League Soccer · 20 Sept 2026
  • Chicago FireChicago Fire1:2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution
    LMajor League Soccer · 13 Sept 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
3
Draws
0
Losses
2
Goals / game
1.4
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
80%
BTTS
60%

Philadelphia UnionLast matches Philadelphia Union

Philadelphia Union are in a strong run: 5 wins in the last 5 matches, scoring 4.0 goals per game.

100% W — 50% D — 00% L — 0
  • Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union2:1Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake
    WMajor League Soccer · 11 Oct 2026
  • Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union4:2Orlando City SCOrlando City SC
    WMajor League Soccer · 27 Sept 2026
  • Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City3:4Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union
    WMajor League Soccer · 20 Sept 2026
  • San DiegoSan Diego0:5Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union
    WMajor League Soccer · 14 Sept 2026
  • Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union5:0FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati
    WMajor League Soccer · 10 Sept 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
5
Draws
0
Losses
0
Goals / game
4.0
Over 1.5
100%
Over 2.5
100%
BTTS
60%

Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union Standings

#TeamMPWDLGDiffPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps28156761-303151
2St. Louis CitySt. Louis City28148654-381650
3FC DallasFC Dallas28138752-45747
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes28137850-401046
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo28136936-34245
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC29119944-311342
7Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders28118938-35341
8Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids281141339-39037
9Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy29991139-50-1136
10Portland TimbersPortland Timbers28961351-54-333
11Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake28951441-46-532
12San DiegoSan Diego28881248-51-332
13AustinAustin287101136-51-1531
14Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC28791242-51-930
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City28641835-68-3322
1Nashville SCNashville SC28196359-223763
2Inter MiamiInter Miami281310568-501849
3Chicago FireChicago Fire28146851-401148
4New England RevolutionNew England Revolution281441045-39646
5CharlotteCharlotte28137850-401046
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union281261056-451142
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC281141351-66-1537
8New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls281061238-52-1436
9FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati2799958-65-736
10New York City FCNew York City FC28891142-38433
11Toronto FCToronto FC287111041-52-1132
12DC UnitedDC United27612934-46-1230
13Columbus CrewColumbus Crew28851541-46-529
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC28761533-48-1527
15CF MontrealCF Montreal28661635-56-2124
League position 3 / 30Comparative team statisticsLeague position 6 / 30
1450%Wins43%12
621%Draws21%6
829%Losses36%10
5191%Goals scored100%56
4089%Goals conceded100%45
48100%Points88%42

Season statistic Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union

Chicago FireChicago Fire

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 2 / 1
  • Lost home / away 1 / 1
  • Goals scored 7 (1.4)
  • Goals conceded 7 (1.4)
  • Clean sheets 1
  • Failed to score 1

Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia U.

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 3 / 2
  • Lost home / away 0 / 0
  • Goals scored 20 (4.0)
  • Goals conceded 6 (1.2)
  • Clean sheets 2
  • Failed to score 0

Match details

  • Status Match Finished
  • Venue Soldier Field, Chicago
  • Referee Ricardo Fierro

Lineups

Injuries and suspensions

Chicago FireChicago Fire

  • R. Lod — Unavailable. Lower-Body Injury
  • S. Rogers — Unavailable. Lower-Body Injury
  • André Franco — Unavailable. Knee Injury
  • A. Mekvabishvili — Unavailable. Lower-Body Injury
  • D. D'Avilla — Unavailable. Red Card

Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union

  • A. Anello — Unavailable. Groin Injury

Independent match preview. Odds and availability change — confirm on the bookmaker site. 18+.

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