Crystal Palace vs Newcastle Prediction

Crystal Palace host Newcastle on 25 October 2026 at 17:00 in the Premier League's eighth round. Palace come off a 5-0 defeat at Brighton but beat Nottingham Forest 3-1 at home beforehand. Newcastle lost their last two league matches: 1-4 away to Coventry and 0-1 at home to Aston Villa. Palace's defensive record is the worst in the league, conceding 2.43 goals per game on average. Newcastle allow opponents at least 14 shots on goal in 9 of their last 10 league matches. Both teams play open football early in the season, and Palace's European commitments this week—a 2-2 draw with Besiktas in Istanbul—leave them only two full days to recover.

Form and H2H

Palace average 1.90 goals for and 1.81 against in their last ten matches, with a record of four wins, two draws, and four losses. Newcastle average 1.50 goals for and 1.70 against over the same span, posting four wins, three draws, and three losses. Palace's goalkeeper Dean Henderson, who delivered clean sheets last season, returned from injury but still faces a fitness test. Newcastle have no major squad absences. In 6 of 7 Palace league matches this season, at least one goal was scored in the first half. Newcastle scored in the first half in 6 of their 7 league games this season. Palace have conceded in 9 of their last 10 home league matches, with opponents averaging at least 13 shots on target.

Best Bet

Over 2.5 goals. Palace's defensive vulnerabilities and Newcastle's attacking threat combine with both teams' willingness to play open football. Palace concede 2.43 per game and Newcastle create consistent chances despite their away-match goal drought. The defensive lapses at both ends outweigh Newcastle's tendency to score just one goal on the road, making a high-scoring match the most likely outcome.

Odds to Watch

Newcastle are favoured in the 1X2 market. Bookmakers price Newcastle win at 2.35, Crystal Palace win at 2.90, and the draw at 3.60. Over 2.5 is available at 1.62 against Under 2.5 at 2.30, reflecting expectation of goals. Both teams scored in 1 of their last 10 meetings, priced at 1.52 for yes and 2.45 for no. Crystal Palace's individual total over 1.5 goals sits at 2.20, while Newcastle's over 1.5 is 1.92.