FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split Prediction

FC Thun hosts HNK Hajduk Split on 22 October 2026 at 22:00 in the second round of the UEFA Europa Conference League. Thun lost their opening tie 0–1 to Twente and sit 30th in the group stage table. Hajduk won their first match and arrive as the slight favourite, though both teams enter this fixture with modest attacking output across recent fixtures.

Form and H2H

Thun scored no more than two goals in nine of their last ten matches across all competitions. In the Swiss league, they lost 2–4 away to Zurich. They commit over 13.5 fouls in nine of ten recent home games and concede fewer than 5.5 corners in nine of ten home outings.

Hajduk scored a maximum of two goals in eight of their last ten matches. They beat Varaždin 1–0 and drew 2–1 with Ajax, showing defensive discipline. The Croatian side won 2–1 at home against Dinamo Zagreb this season. Away in Conference League play, Hajduk have not won in nine of their last ten matches and managed fewer than 5.5 shots on target in nine of ten recent away Conference League games. Midfielder Marin Šotiček flagged concern about the artificial pitch at Stockhorn Arena affecting their rhythm.

Best bet

Under 3.5 goals. Both teams consistently hold opponents and themselves within two goals per 90 minutes. Thun rarely generates sustained attacking pressure at home. Hajduk control matches through discipline and compact defending, winning 1–0 and 2–1 in recent outings. Even if Hajduk score first and force Thun to open up, the structural tendency of both sides to stay compact makes four goals unlikely. Back Under 3.5 at 1xBet at 1.55.

Odds to watch

Hajduk are favoured at 1xBet: Hajduk win 2.52, draw 3.54, Thun win 2.8. The draw sits at 26.4% implied probability. Thun's home record and Hajduk's away struggles in Europe make the 1X double (draw or Thun win) worth monitoring if available at shorter odds than the outright home price.