Genoa vs Venezia Prediction

Genoa hosts Venezia on 25 October 2026 at 17:00 in Serie A's eighth round at Stadio Luigi Ferraris. Genoa sits 17th with 4 points, clinging to safety by a thread. Venezia arrived in Genoa off a shock 1–0 win at Napoli under new manager Davide Nicola, who has tightened their defensive shape into a disciplined low block.

Genoa's attack is the real problem here. The home side averages just 0.71 goals per game this season—second-worst in the league. In nine of their last ten Serie A matches, they scored one goal or fewer. They rarely generate volume either: in nine of ten recent home games, they managed no more than 12 shots on target. Breaking down Venezia's organized defence will demand precision Genoa has not shown.

Form and H2H

Genoa's last ten home matches show three wins, one draw, and six losses, averaging 1.00 goals for and 1.60 against. They lost 0–2 at Roma last time out. At home, they operate with discipline: in ten recent Serie A fixtures at Ferraris, they stayed under 12.5 fouls and recorded fewer than 2.5 yellow cards in nine of those ten games. Nine of ten recent home matches finished under 3.5 total goals.

Venezia's away form is dire. They have not won any of their last ten Serie A road trips. In eight of ten recent away matches, they scored under 1.5 goals. They also registered under 5.5 corners in eight of ten recent away games. Nicola's system prioritizes shape over possession; Venezia's opponents create an average of 2.34 xG per game against them, placing huge stress on their backline despite the defensive organization.

Best Bet

Genoa under 1.5 goals is the pick. The home side's attacking output this season is chronically weak, and Venezia's new defensive structure under Nicola makes them a harder target than their league position suggests. Genoa will struggle to break through a disciplined block without the firepower to punish mistakes. This market is available at standard bookmakers.

Odds to Watch

Genoa win trades at 2.12 across the market, with the draw at 3.30 and Venezia win at 3.70. Under 2.5 total goals sits at 1.85 versus over 2.5 at 1.95. The zero handicap favours the home side at 1.50 for Genoa (0) against 2.55 for Venezia (0). Both teams to score pays 1.73 for yes and 2.05 for no. Genoa's individual total under 1.5 goals is priced at 1.70, reflecting the attacking struggles that define their season.