Juventus vs Lazio Prediction

Juventus host Lazio on 18 October 2026 at 21:45 in Turin's Allianz Stadium for Serie A's seventh round. Juventus are unbeaten at home this season with two wins and a draw, conceding just one goal across those matches. Lazio arrive undefeated overall—five wins and one draw—though their most recent 3-1 victory over Monza came with the opposition down to ten men from the 35th minute, so that result carries limited weight for this fixture.

The defensive records tell the story. Juventus have conceded under 1.5 goals in eight of their last ten home league matches, averaging 0.70 goals against per game at the Allianz. Lazio have allowed opponents to score under 1.5 in eight of their last ten away matches and average just 1.00 goal conceded per game on the road. Neither side breaks open easily. Juventus have not lost to Lazio in nine consecutive meetings.

Form and H2H

Juventus drew 1-1 with Cagliari in their last Serie A outing, with Randal Koło-Muani equalizing on 81 minutes. They followed that with a 2-1 Europa League win at Celta Vigo, again with Koło-Muani scoring the decisive goal. Over their last ten home league matches, Juventus have committed fewer than 11.5 fouls in eight games and seen opponents offside fewer than 1.5 times in nine.

Lazio's unbeaten run masks a squad stretched by injuries. They have conceded under 1.5 goals in eight of their last ten away league matches. In those same ten away fixtures, they have seen over 8.5 corners and accumulated over 3.5 yellow cards in eight matches. Their recent form is solid but untested against Juventus's defensive discipline at home.

Head-to-head records favor the hosts decisively. Juventus won 4-1 in August 2013, 2-1 in April 2012, and 1-0 in November 2011. Lazio's only result from their last six meetings was a 1-1 draw in January 2014.

Best bet

Under 2.5 goals. Juventus concede 0.70 per game at home; Lazio concede 1.00 away. In nine of Juventus's last ten home matches, the total stayed under 2.5. In eight of Lazio's last ten away matches, the same held true. Both teams defend compactly and neither has shown a pattern of high-scoring affairs. Lazio do average 1.83 goals per game and have registered over 7.5 shots on target in nine of their last ten matches, so an early goal could shift momentum, but the structural advantage lies with the under. The profit trend for Juventus at home on Under 2 is +4.12 units.

Odds to watch

Juventus are heavy favorites at 1.65 for the win, reflecting their home record and nine-game unbeaten run against Lazio. A draw sits at 3.90. Lazio's win is priced at 5.30. On the handicap line, Juventus -1.5 is available at 2.70, while Lazio +1.5 trades at 1.40. The Juventus individual total over 1.5 goals is 1.80; Lazio's under 0.5 is 2.18. Both teams to score is priced at 1.92 for yes and 1.82 for no.