Premiership · Regular Season - 9

Kilmarnock vs Motherwell Prediction

3 : 2FTScotland
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AuthorAlexander Bryant

Alexander has more than five years of experience producing sports betting content for international audiences. He researches bookmakers, verifies important information and creates practical guides for both new and experienced bettors. His main objective is to make complex betting topics clear, accurate and easy to understand.

Published: 15 Oct 2026Updated: 19 Oct 2026, 00:29

Match preview

Kilmarnock host Motherwell on 17 October 2026 at 17:00 in a Scottish Premiership fixture where both sides arrive in poor form. Kilmarnock have won just two of their last ten matches at Rugby Park, conceding 2.09 goals per game. Motherwell's away record is worse: two wins in ten trips, with an average of 1.90 goals conceded. Neither team has found consistent attacking rhythm, averaging just over one goal per outing. The prediction is Kilmarnock 1–1 Motherwell, a stalemate that reflects the defensive fragility and limited firepower on display from both camps.

Form and H2H

Kilmarnock's home record shows three draws in their last ten, while Motherwell have drawn twice on the road. Head-to-head history between these sides spans 2011–2012, with Kilmarnock winning twice, Motherwell once, and three draws across six meetings. Recent profit trends favour the draw for Kilmarnock at home (5.81 units over the sample period) and Under 2 goals (1.5 units). Motherwell's away form shows a small edge in draw outcomes (0.9 units) and Under 2.5 goals (1.36 units). Both defences have leaked goals regularly, yet neither attack has the sharpness to punish consistently.

Best Bet

Back the draw at 1xBet's 3.64. Kilmarnock's home draw rate and Motherwell's road draw record align with a stalemate outcome. The profit trend for Kilmarnock home draws (5.81 units) and Motherwell away draws (0.9 units) support a split result. Both teams lack the attacking cohesion to break through, and a 1–1 finish offers value at the offered price.

Odds to Watch

Kilmarnock's home win sits at 3.28 with 1xBet, but their recent form (two wins in ten) makes that a long shot. Motherwell's away win at 2.04 is shorter, yet they have won just twice on the road in the same span. The draw remains the most likely outcome given both sides' inability to string together victories and their shared defensive vulnerabilities. Monitor team sheets for injury news, as missing attacking personnel could push the match toward an even tighter, lower-scoring affair.

Kilmarnock vs Motherwell Odds

Bookmaker1X2Bet
1xBet3.13.62.13Place a bet
1Win2.893.552.3Place a bet
Best odds3.103.602.30
Average3.003.582.21
Lowest odds2.893.552.13
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1X2 prediction for Kilmarnock vs Motherwell

Date and time 17 October 2026 at 15:00

1X222.1346%
DCX/272%
BTTSNo40%
1 28%X 26%2 46%

Motherwell win

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Kilmarnock vs Motherwell Odds statistic

Average rates from the last stored matches for each team.

KilmarnockKilmarnockLast matchesMotherwellMotherwell
80%Over 0.5 goals100%
60%Over 1.5 goals80%
20%Over 2.5 goals60%
20%Over 3.5 goals20%
60%BTTS20%
60%Last 5 BTTS20%

Head to Head Kilmarnock — Motherwell

In the last 8 meetings, Motherwell hold the edge — 1 wins for Kilmarnock, 3 for Motherwell, 4 draws.

13% W — 150% D — 438% W — 3
  • MotherwellMotherwell4:0KilmarnockKilmarnock
    Premiership · 24 Jan 2026
  • KilmarnockKilmarnock1:3MotherwellMotherwell
    Premiership · 22 Nov 2025
  • MotherwellMotherwell2:2KilmarnockKilmarnock
    Premiership · 30 Aug 2025
  • MotherwellMotherwell3:0KilmarnockKilmarnock
    Premiership · 14 May 2025
  • KilmarnockKilmarnock2:0MotherwellMotherwell
    Premiership · 05 Apr 2025
  • KilmarnockKilmarnock0:0MotherwellMotherwell
    Premiership · 08 Jan 2025
  • MotherwellMotherwell1:1KilmarnockKilmarnock
    Premiership · 20 Dec 2024
  • MotherwellMotherwell0:0KilmarnockKilmarnock
    League Cup · 18 Aug 2024
75%Over 0.575%
75%Over 1.575%
50%Over 2.550%
38%BTTS38%
50%Kilmarnock over 0.563%

Betting profits Kilmarnock vs Motherwell

Historical P/L if you backed each side on the main markets in their recent matches.

Kilmarnock

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-2.12515
Match WinnerDraw+5.81515
Match WinnerLose-4.98515
Goals Over/UnderOver 2-0.9646
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2+1.5036
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-4.30614
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5+5.25814
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-2.90615
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3+2.71915
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5+0.24615
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5-0.70915
Goals Over/UnderOver 4-2.0013
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4+0.9133
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5-2.1747
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5+8.3037
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5+1.6828
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5-0.5268

Motherwell

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-5.03515
Match WinnerDraw+0.90415
Match WinnerLose-1.81615
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-0.78815
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5+1.36715
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-1.84815
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3+1.901115
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5-2.83414
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5+0.991014
Goals Over/UnderOver 4+0.8712
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4-0.6412
Goals Over/UnderOver 2+2.1377
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2-5.0027
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5-0.5968
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5+1.6828
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-1.5218
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5+0.3678

Match statistics

5252%Possession %48%48
1.5639%Expected goals61%2.46
1650%Total shots50%16
646%Shots on target54%7
444%Shots off target56%5
563%Corners38%3
953%Fouls47%8
1100%Yellow cards0%0
00%Red cards0%0
51452%Passes48%480
41652%Accurate passes48%385
660%Saves40%4
125%Offsides75%3

Key events

KilmarnockLast matches Kilmarnock

In the last 5 matches Kilmarnock have 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses. BTTS landed in 60% of those games.

20% W — 160% D — 320% L — 1
  • RangersRangers3:1KilmarnockKilmarnock
    LPremiership · 10 Oct 2026
  • KilmarnockKilmarnock1:1Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian
    DPremiership · 19 Sept 2026
  • HibernianHibernian0:1KilmarnockKilmarnock
    WPremiership · 15 Sept 2026
  • KilmarnockKilmarnock1:1AberdeenAberdeen
    DLeague Cup · 12 Sept 2026
  • AberdeenAberdeen0:0KilmarnockKilmarnock
    DPremiership · 05 Sept 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
1
Draws
3
Losses
1
Goals / game
0.8
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
20%
BTTS
60%

MotherwellLast matches Motherwell

In the last 5 matches Motherwell have 1 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses. BTTS landed in 20% of those games.

20% W — 10% D — 080% L — 4
  • MotherwellMotherwell0:2CelticCeltic
    LPremiership · 11 Oct 2026
  • DundeeDundee2:1MotherwellMotherwell
    LPremiership · 19 Sept 2026
  • MotherwellMotherwell0:4AberdeenAberdeen
    LPremiership · 15 Sept 2026
  • RangersRangers1:0MotherwellMotherwell
    LPremiership · 05 Sept 2026
  • MotherwellMotherwell3:0Dundee UtdDundee Utd
    WPremiership · 02 Sept 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
4
Goals / game
0.8
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS
20%

Kilmarnock vs Motherwell Standings

#TeamMPWDLGDiffPts
1CelticCeltic870116-41221
2RangersRangers861111-5619
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian851219-81116
4DundeeDundee841311-8313
5ST JohnstoneST Johnstone832310-10011
6Dundee UtdDundee Utd832310-11-111
7ST MirrenST Mirren83148-14-610
8AberdeenAberdeen82247-9-28
9MotherwellMotherwell82249-13-48
10HibernianHibernian82158-12-47
11FalkirkFalkirk81347-11-46
12KilmarnockKilmarnock81257-18-115
League position 12 / 12Comparative team statisticsLeague position 9 / 12
113%Wins25%2
225%Draws25%2
563%Losses50%4
778%Goals scored100%9
18100%Goals conceded72%13
563%Points100%8

Season statistic Kilmarnock vs Motherwell

KilmarnockKilmarnock

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 0 / 1
  • Lost home / away 0 / 1
  • Goals scored 4 (0.8)
  • Goals conceded 5 (1.0)
  • Clean sheets 2
  • Failed to score 1

MotherwellMotherwell

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 1 / 0
  • Lost home / away 2 / 2
  • Goals scored 4 (0.8)
  • Goals conceded 9 (1.8)
  • Clean sheets 1
  • Failed to score 3

Match details

  • Status Finished
  • Venue The BBSP Stadium Rugby Park, Kilmarnock

Lineups

Injuries and suspensions

KilmarnockKilmarnock

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

MotherwellMotherwell

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

Independent match preview. Odds and availability change — confirm on the bookmaker site. 18+.

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