Le Havre vs Auxerre Prediction

Le Havre host Auxerre on 18 October 2026 at 18:15 in Ligue 1's seventh round. Le Havre sit 18th without a win, having taken just two points across six matches. Auxerre occupy 16th place with two victories but arrive at Stade Océan as the away side with defensive vulnerabilities and a recent 1-4 hammering at Rennes.

Le Havre's attack has misfired badly. They have scored four goals across six games—an average of 0.67 per match—despite generating 7.40 expected goals. They failed to win in nine of their last ten Ligue 1 outings and have not beaten Auxerre in any of their four meetings since Auxerre returned to the top flight. Three defensive injuries compound their problems: Elias Yélert, Félix Mambimbi, and Timothé Pembélé are sidelined, while Ayumu Sekō faces suspension after his 61st-minute red card against Lille last time out.

Auxerre's Cameron Archer has scored in four consecutive matches, accounting for half of his side's eight goals this season. Yet Auxerre's backline is porous. They concede 2.67 goals per game on average—the worst defensive record in Ligue 1—and shipped four at Rennes. Away from home, Auxerre have managed fewer than six shots on target in nine of their last ten league matches, a sign of blunt attacking play on the road.

Form and H2H

Le Havre's last ten games show two wins, two draws, and six losses, averaging 1.31 goals for and 1.30 against. At home, eight of their last ten Ligue 1 matches have contained fewer than four total goals. Auxerre's away form reads four wins, two draws, and four losses over ten matches, with 1.50 goals scored but 2.11 conceded per game. In their head-to-head record since 2013, Le Havre have won four of six meetings with Auxerre, including a 3-1 victory in May 2016.

Best bet

X2 (draw or Auxerre win). Le Havre's toothless attack and defensive absences make backing the home side risky despite their ground advantage. Auxerre need only stay compact defensively and exploit Le Havre's limited finishing. The visitor's recent history in this fixture—no wins in four attempts—is a concern, but Le Havre's inability to score regularly tips the balance toward a non-home result. Available at 1xBet 3.51 for the draw and 1xBet 3.14 for the away win.

Odds to watch

Le Havre win trades at 1Win 2.29, Melbet 2.34, and 1xBet 2.42. The draw sits at 1Win 3.42, Melbet 3.38, and 1xBet 3.51. Auxerre win is priced at Melbet 3.03, 1Win 3.19, and 1xBet 3.14. Under 2.5 goals and Over 2.5 goals are closely matched across the market, reflecting uncertainty over whether either team will break through convincingly.