Liechtenstein vs Azerbaijan Prediction

Liechtenstein host Azerbaijan on 13 November 2026 at 22:45 in the UEFA Nations League at Rheinpark in Vaduz. Liechtenstein arrive without a win in their last ten home Nations League matches. Azerbaijan have not lost to Liechtenstein in five meetings and did not concede in three Nations League outings this cycle, averaging 0.33 goals against per match.

The hosts scored in nine of their last ten home Nations League games below 1.5 goals, and across their last ten official matches have stayed under 1.5 goals in all ten. Azerbaijan's away form mirrors this constraint: nine of their last ten away Nations League matches ended below 1.5 goals, and eight of ten stayed under 3.5 goals total.

Form and H2H

Liechtenstein lost 0–2 to Gibraltar in a friendly on 5 October, then drew 0–0 with Azerbaijan on 1 October before that defeat to Lithuania 0–2. The hosts average 0.21 goals for and 1.98 goals against across their last ten home matches.

Azerbaijan beat Lithuania 1–0 on 4 October and drew 1–1 on 27 September. The 0–0 draw with Liechtenstein on 1 October sits between those results. Away, Azerbaijan average 1.34 goals for and 0.94 against over their last ten matches. The teams drew 0–0 when they last met.

Best bet

Liechtenstein under 0.5 goals. The hosts have not registered a shot on target in two Nations League matches this cycle and average 0.13 expected goals per full match. Azerbaijan concede rarely and face opponents who average two shots on target against them. Liechtenstein's attacking output does not match the defensive solidity they face. Back Liechtenstein under 0.5 goals at 1xBet at 5.21 (draw odds), though the pick carries reservation given that Azerbaijan's opponents average 0.83 expected goals per match and chances do emerge at their goal.

Odds to watch

Azerbaijan are clear favourites at 1xBet: away win 1.3, draw 5.21, home win 14.1. Bookmakers assign Azerbaijan a 72.9% win probability without margin. Liechtenstein's 8.5% win probability reflects their home struggles this cycle. The draw at 18.7% probability offers value given both teams' defensive records and the 0–0 result from their October meeting.