Liverpool vs Brighton Prediction

Liverpool host Brighton on 25 October 2026 at 17:00 in the Premier League's eighth round. Liverpool won their midweek Champions League tie against Villarreal 4–3, with Alexis Mac Allister scoring twice and Florian Wirtz sealing victory. Brighton beat Crystal Palace 5–0 in their last league outing but drew a blank against Jagiellonka in the Europa League on Thursday, managing 26 shots without a goal. The visitors have kept five consecutive clean sheets across all competitions.

Liverpool's home record against Brighton spans six matches without defeat, including four straight wins at Anfield. Brighton arrive without the depth for squad rotation after their European fixture came two days later and away from home. Liverpool have conceded 1.14 goals per game at home this season while averaging 2.2 goals. Brighton lead the Premier League in goals scored with 3.29 per match and rank second in overall match goals at 4.0 per game.

Form and H2H

Liverpool's last ten matches show seven wins, two draws, and one loss, averaging 2.21 goals for and 1.41 against. Brighton's record mirrors that run: seven wins, two draws, one loss, with 2.99 goals for and 0.69 against. The head-to-head record favours Liverpool decisively. Since 2018, Liverpool have won five of six meetings, including a 4–0 victory in May 2018 and a 3–1 win in July 2020. Only a 1–1 draw in November 2020 broke Liverpool's streak.

Over 2.5 goals landed in nine of the last ten meetings between these sides across all competitions. Brighton's defensive record this season is elite—0.71 goals conceded per match ranks joint-first in the league—but Liverpool's attacking pressure at Anfield and Brighton's own attacking ambition create conditions for an open match. Brighton have finished all seven league matches this season with over 1.5 goals.

Best bet

Over 2.5 goals. Liverpool average 2.21 goals at home and Brighton 2.99 away. Brighton's defence is tight but Liverpool's home record and the visitors' attacking output make three goals a realistic target. The profit trend for over 2.5 at Anfield stands at +1.22 this season, and Brighton's away over 1.5 trend sits at +6.59. This is a fixture built for goals.

Odds to watch

Liverpool are slight favourites. The 1X2 market reflects that: Liverpool win sits at 2.15, the draw at 3.85, and Brighton win at 3.10. Liverpool have won four straight at home against Brighton and face a side stretched by European football. Brighton's defensive solidity and Liverpool's occasional lapses at the back keep the draw price honest at 3.85, but the home side's form and advantage in this fixture make the 2.15 on Liverpool the most straightforward play if you prefer the outright result.