Luxembourg vs Estonia Prediction

Luxembourg host Estonia in a UEFA Nations League fixture on 13 November 2026 at 22:45. Luxembourg come in as bookmakers' favorites at 2.18 with 1xBet, though their recent form at home has been mixed. They lost 0–2 to Bulgaria on 6 October and 0–1 to Estonia on 3 October. Estonia arrive off a 0–0 draw with Iceland on 6 October and have shown defensive solidity in recent outings, remaining unbeaten in eight of their last ten matches across all competitions.

Form and H2H

Luxembourg's last ten home matches in the Nations League show four wins and six losses, averaging 0.70 goals for and 1.19 against. Estonia's away record over the same period is stronger: four wins, four draws, and two losses, with 0.89 goals for and 0.87 against. The teams met on 3 October 2026 with Estonia winning 1–0 at home. Luxembourg will be without Danel Sinani due to a torn anterior cruciate ligament, while Estonia are missing Vlasiy Sinyavskiy, Marcus Soomets, Märten Kuusk, and Rauno Sappinen through injury.

Best Bet

Back Under 2.5 goals. Estonia have played under 2.5 in nine of their last ten matches across all official tournaments. In four Nations League outings, they averaged 0.5 goals for and 0.25 against, with combined expected goals of 2.0 per match. Luxembourg's expected goals across six Nations League home games averaged 2.675 combined, but their recent results—losses to Bulgaria and Iceland—suggest limited attacking threat. The expected goals data and Estonia's defensive consistency point to a low-scoring contest.

Odds to Watch

Luxembourg win trades at 2.18 with 1xBet. A draw is priced at 3.28, while Estonia win sits at 3.72. If backing the home side, consider the handicap Ф2 (–1) at 1.42 as a tighter alternative to the outright win. For those targeting the under, the 2.5 line offers better value than the 3.5 line, where under 3.5 is heavily favored at 1.16 against over 3.5 at 4.40.