Monaco vs SC Freiburg Prediction

Monaco host SC Freiburg on 22 October 2026 at 22:00 in the second round of the UEFA Europa Conference League at Stade Louis II. Both teams arrive intent on attacking football, and the conditions favour goals. Monaco have scored in 9 of their last 10 home matches across all competitions and conceded only one goal in 8 of those 10 games. Freiburg have posted over 2.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 matches across all competitions and scored more than one goal in 8 of those outings. Niklas Beste and Derry Scherhant have returned from injury for the visitors and both featured in Freiburg's previous match. Monaco's defence remains the soft spot: opponents have failed to score more than one goal in 8 of their last 10 home matches, yet Freiburg's attacking record on the road is sharp enough to breach that pattern.

Form and H2H

Monaco won 7 of their last 10 matches across all competitions, drew 2, and lost 1, averaging 1.80 goals for and 0.80 against. At home specifically, they have not lost in 9 of their last 10 games. Their most recent outing saw a 0–1 defeat to Lorient in Ligue 1, conceding from a penalty in the second half. Freiburg have won 8 of their last 10 matches across all competitions, drawn 1, and lost 1, averaging 3.09 goals for and 1.20 against. They opened their Conference League campaign with a 3–2 win over Jablonec. In their last fixture, Freiburg lost 1–2 to Bayer Leverkusen but remain unbeaten in 9 of their last 10 matches overall.

Best bet

Over 2.5 goals. Monaco's home record shows consistent attacking output and a leaky defence that invites opposition chances. Freiburg's away form is prolific: they have posted three or more goals in 8 of their last 10 away matches across all competitions. The combination of Monaco's tendency to concede and Freiburg's relentless attacking threat makes the over a natural fit. Back Over 2.5 at 1xBet.

Odds to watch

Monaco are favoured at 1xBet with a home win priced at 2.26, while a Freiburg victory sits at 3.15 and the draw at 3.61. Monaco's superior home record and Freiburg's recent loss to Leverkusen justify the gap, but Freiburg's attacking prowess away from home keeps the odds competitive. The draw offers value given both teams' attacking intent and the potential for a cagey first half.