Netherlands vs Greece Prediction

Netherlands host Greece on 13 November 2026 at 22:45 in UEFA Nations League Group 2 League A. Both sides sit joint-top with eight points before this round of fixtures. The Dutch are heavy favourites at 1.52 with 1xBet, while Greece's win price stands at 6.37.

Netherlands have won five of their last ten home matches and drawn four, conceding just 1.20 goals per game on average. Greece arrive as disciplined visitors: across their last ten away Nations League fixtures, they have failed to concede a fourth goal in every single one. The Dutch average 1.75 goals at home in this tournament, but forward Bryan Brobbey misses this match through injury, which narrows their attacking options. Greece concede 0.75 goals per game in their four Nations League outings this season and held Germany to a goalless draw at home on 4 October.

The teams drew 2–2 when they met on 1 October, a result that complicates the picture. Virgil van Dijk is also a doubt for the hosts. Rohit Saggi of Norway referees and has shown red cards in three of his seventeen matches this season.

Form and H2H

Netherlands won 2–1 at home to Serbia on 4 October and repeated the scoreline away on 27 September. They have scored in all of their last ten matches and have managed at least four shots on target in each of their ten recent home Nations League games. The squad shows one new defensive addition: Sepp van den Berg of Brentford earned his first senior call-up for these fixtures against Greece and Germany.

Greece drew 0–0 at home to Germany on 4 October, then won 1–0 away to Germany on 27 September and 2–1 away to Serbia on 24 September. They have won nine of their last ten away Nations League matches. Across their ten most recent official matches, opponents have scored no more than three goals in every fixture.

Head-to-head record: Netherlands won 3–0 on 7 September 2023, then 1–0 on 16 October 2023, before the 2–2 draw on 1 October 2026.

Best bet

Under 3.5 goals. Greece's away discipline in this tournament is the decisive factor: they have not conceded a fourth goal in any of their ten recent away Nations League matches. The Dutch average 3 goals across both teams in their four Nations League games this season, but Brobbey's absence and van Dijk's injury status reduce their attacking threat. Greece concede 0.75 per game and have held multiple opponents to low totals. Back Under 3.5 at 1.51 with 1xBet.

Odds to watch

Netherlands win trades at 1.52 with 1xBet. The draw is 4.65. Greece win is 6.37. Over 2.5 goals sits at standard market odds, while Under 2.5 offers value given Greece's defensive record on the road. Netherlands individual total Over 1.5 is typically priced around 1.50, and Greece individual total Under 1.5 around 1.26, reflecting the expected goal distribution.