Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 30

New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC Prediction

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AuthorAlexander Bryant

Alexander has more than five years of experience producing sports betting content for international audiences. He researches bookmakers, verifies important information and creates practical guides for both new and experienced bettors. His main objective is to make complex betting topics clear, accurate and easy to understand.

Published: 16 Oct 2026Updated: 18 Oct 2026, 01:39

Match preview

New York Red Bulls host Toronto FC on 18 October 2026 at 02:30 in an MLS clash that shapes as a competitive draw. The prediction is New York Red Bulls 2–2 Toronto FC. New York have won three of their last ten but concede 1.30 goals per game at home. Toronto arrive with three wins in ten away matches and average 1.80 goals scored on the road against 2.20 conceded. Both sides carry attacking intent but defensive vulnerabilities suggest an open contest.

Form and H2H

New York's home record shows three wins, two draws, and five losses across ten recent matches, with an average of 0.90 goals for and 1.30 against. Toronto's away form reads three wins, four draws, and three losses, averaging 1.80 goals scored and 2.20 conceded. The head-to-head record between these sides spans from 2013 to 2014 and includes a 2–2 draw in June 2014. That result mirrors the expected outcome here, with both teams capable of scoring but neither likely to dominate.

Best Bet

Back a 2–2 draw. Both teams have shown they can find the net in recent matchups, and Toronto's away form includes four draws in ten games. New York's defensive frailty at home, combined with Toronto's attacking output on the road, supports a balanced scoreline. The correct score of 2–2 offers value for a fixture where neither side has the form to win convincingly.

Odds to Watch

Over 2.5 goals is the primary market to monitor, given both teams' tendency to score. Over 1.5 goals carries short odds and reflects the attacking nature of the matchup. Both Teams to Score holds appeal given Toronto's away-day potency and New York's home defensive record. Draws have been profitable in Toronto's recent away trips, making the draw in the 1X2 market worth consideration for those seeking alternative angles to the correct score.

New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC Odds

Bookmaker1X2Bet
22Bet1.754.544.17Place a bet
Best odds1.754.544.17
Average1.754.544.17
Lowest odds1.754.544.17
Compare odds

1X2 prediction for New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC

Date and time 18 October 2026 at 00:30

1X224.17
BTTSYes50%

Competitive fixture

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New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC Odds statistic

Average rates from the last stored matches for each team.

New York Red BullsNew Y.Last matchesToronto FCToronto FC
100%Over 0.5 goals100%
60%Over 1.5 goals100%
60%Over 2.5 goals80%
20%Over 3.5 goals40%
40%BTTS60%
40%Last 5 BTTS60%

Head to Head New York Red Bulls — Toronto FC

In the last 8 meetings, New York Red Bulls hold the edge — 4 wins for New York Red Bulls, 0 for Toronto FC, 4 draws.

50% W — 450% D — 40% W — 0
  • Toronto FCToronto FC1:1New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls
    Major League Soccer · 14 Mar 2026
  • Toronto FCToronto FC1:1New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls
    Major League Soccer · 26 Jun 2025
  • New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls2:1Toronto FCToronto FC
    Major League Soccer · 22 Mar 2025
  • Toronto FCToronto FC1:4New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls
    Major League Soccer · 03 Oct 2024
  • New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls0:0Toronto FCToronto FC
    Leagues Cup · 28 Jul 2024
  • New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls3:0Toronto FCToronto FC
    Major League Soccer · 23 Jun 2024
  • New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls3:0Toronto FCToronto FC
    Major League Soccer · 08 Oct 2023
  • Toronto FCToronto FC0:0New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls
    Major League Soccer · 18 May 2023
75%Over 0.575%
75%Over 1.575%
50%Over 2.550%
50%BTTS50%
75%New Y. over 0.550%

Betting profits New Y. vs Toronto FC

Historical P/L if you backed each side on the main markets in their recent matches.

New York Red Bulls

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin+0.05515
Match WinnerDraw-6.78215
Match WinnerLose+2.05815
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5-2.791014
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5+12.35414
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-3.69815
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5+6.38715
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-4.63815
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3+6.241115
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5-6.99415
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5+5.451115
Goals Over/UnderOver 4-3.2539
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4+1.4779
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-9.20215
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5+2.511315

Toronto FC

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-0.07415
Match WinnerDraw+11.67715
Match WinnerLose-7.86415
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5+0.181214
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-5.39214
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5+0.541015
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5-3.08515
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-1.83914
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3+0.371014
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5-5.99415
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5+3.021115
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-3.39315
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5+0.071215
Goals Over/UnderOver 1-1.0001
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1+8.0011
Goals Over/UnderOver 2-0.5912
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2+1.0512
Goals Over/UnderOver 4-1.5314
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4+0.6834
Both Teams ScoreYes-1.0001
Both Teams ScoreNo+1.0511

Match statistics

6868%Possession %32%32
1.0160%Expected goals40%0.66
1571%Total shots29%6
450%Shots on target50%4
889%Shots off target11%1
150%Big chances50%1
788%Corners13%1
1448%Fouls52%15
00%Yellow cards100%3
00%Red cards0%0
51767%Passes33%250
44672%Accurate passes28%176
350%Saves50%3
375%Offsides25%1

Key events

  • 3'
    Own goal J. Che
    Toronto FC
  • 28'
    Substitution K. Franklin (→ J. Gilman)
    Toronto FC
  • 45'
    Substitution A. Mehmeti (→ E. Forsberg)
    New Y.
  • 45'
    Substitution C. Cowell (→ E. Choupo-Moting)
    New Y.
  • 52'
    Yellow card Z. Monlouis
    Toronto FC
  • 60'
    Substitution C. Harper (→ J. Ruvalcaba)
    New Y.
  • 60'
    Substitution D. Nealis (→ J. Marshall-Rutty)
    New Y.
  • 67'
    Yellow card L. Morgan
    Toronto FC
  • 68'
    Substitution T. Corbeanu (→ D. Etienne)
    Toronto FC
  • 68'
    Substitution D. Mihailović (→ D. Sallói)
    Toronto FC
  • 71'
    Substitution J. Che (→ Pedro Castro)
    New Y.
  • 82'Toronto FC
  • 86'
    Substitution L. Morgan (→ Alonso Coello)
    Toronto FC
  • 86'
    Substitution J. Sargent (→ R. Chukwu)
    Toronto FC
  • 87'
    Yellow card D. Etienne
    Toronto FC

New York Red BullsLast matches New York Red Bulls

New York Red Bulls are in a strong run: 3 wins in the last 5 matches, scoring 1.4 goals per game.

60% W — 30% D — 040% L — 2
  • DC UnitedDC United2:1New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls
    LMajor League Soccer · 15 Oct 2026
  • New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls4:1San DiegoSan Diego
    WMajor League Soccer · 11 Oct 2026
  • New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls0:3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City
    LMajor League Soccer · 01 Oct 2026
  • New York City FCNew York City FC0:1New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls
    WMajor League Soccer · 19 Sept 2026
  • Columbus CrewColumbus Crew0:1New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls
    WMajor League Soccer · 13 Sept 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
3
Draws
0
Losses
2
Goals / game
1.4
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS
40%

Toronto FCLast matches Toronto FC

In the last 5 matches Toronto FC have 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses. BTTS landed in 60% of those games.

20% W — 120% D — 160% L — 3
  • Toronto FCToronto FC3:3Orlando City SCOrlando City SC
    DMajor League Soccer · 15 Oct 2026
  • Toronto FCToronto FC2:1CF MontrealCF Montreal
    WMajor League Soccer · 10 Oct 2026
  • Nashville SCNashville SC2:0Toronto FCToronto FC
    LMajor League Soccer · 27 Sept 2026
  • St. Louis CitySt. Louis City3:1Toronto FCToronto FC
    LMajor League Soccer · 20 Sept 2026
  • Orlando City SCOrlando City SC3:0Toronto FCToronto FC
    LMajor League Soccer · 13 Sept 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
3
Goals / game
1.2
Over 1.5
100%
Over 2.5
80%
BTTS
60%

New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC Standings

#TeamMPWDLGDiffPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps29157761-303152
2St. Louis CitySt. Louis City29149654-381651
3FC DallasFC Dallas29148753-45850
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes29138851-411047
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo29137939-37246
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC30129947-321545
7Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders291181038-36241
8Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy301091141-50-939
9Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids291151341-41038
10Portland TimbersPortland Timbers29961451-56-533
11Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake29961442-47-533
12San DiegoSan Diego29891251-54-333
13Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC297101244-53-931
14AustinAustin297101237-54-1731
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City29641935-72-3722
1Nashville SCNashville SC29206363-224166
2Inter MiamiInter Miami291410570-502052
3New England RevolutionNew England Revolution291541048-41749
4Chicago FireChicago Fire29146952-43948
5CharlotteCharlotte29137951-43846
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union291361059-461345
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC291151354-69-1538
8New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls291061339-54-1536
9FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati28991060-68-836
10New York City FCNew York City FC29891242-40233
11Toronto FCToronto FC297121044-55-1133
12DC UnitedDC United28712936-47-1133
13Columbus CrewColumbus Crew29951544-47-332
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC29861536-48-1230
15CF MontrealCF Montreal29661735-59-2424
League position 8 / 30Comparative team statisticsLeague position 11 / 30
1034%Wins24%7
621%Draws41%12
1345%Losses34%10
3989%Goals scored100%44
5498%Goals conceded100%55
36100%Points92%33

Season statistic New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC

New York Red BullsNew Y.

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 1 / 2
  • Lost home / away 1 / 1
  • Goals scored 7 (1.4)
  • Goals conceded 6 (1.2)
  • Clean sheets 2
  • Failed to score 1

Toronto FCToronto FC

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 1 / 0
  • Lost home / away 0 / 3
  • Goals scored 6 (1.2)
  • Goals conceded 12 (2.4)
  • Clean sheets 0
  • Failed to score 2

Match details

  • Status Finished
  • Venue Sports Illustrated Stadium, Harrison
  • Referee Marcos De Oliveira

Lineups

New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls · 4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. E. Horvath
  2. D. Nealis
  3. J. Che
  4. J. Bazán
  5. D. Padelford
  6. R. Donkor
  7. A. Mehmeti
  8. M. Sofo
  9. C. Harper
  10. C. Cowell
  11. J. Hall

Bench

  1. J. Ruvalcaba
  2. E. Choupo-Moting
  3. E. Forsberg
  4. S. Kone
  5. J. Marshall-Rutty
  6. J. McCarthy
  7. Pedro Castro
  8. T. Parker
  9. M. Dos Santos

Injuries and suspensions

New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls

  • A. Marcucci — Unavailable. Knee Injury

Toronto FCToronto FC

  • W. Zimmerman — Unavailable. Ankle Injury
  • N. Palacio — Unavailable. Lower-Body Injury

Independent match preview. Odds and availability change — confirm on the bookmaker site. 18+.

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