Padova vs Carrarese Prediction

Padova host Carrarese on 11 October 2026 at 18:15 in a Serie B clash that favours the home side on recent form. Padova have won three of their last ten matches at the Euganeo, though defensive lapses have cost them—they've conceded 1.70 goals per game over that stretch. Carrarese arrive in worse shape, with just one win in ten away games and an average of only 0.39 goals scored per outing. The visitors have shipped 1.10 goals per game on the road, a vulnerability Padova should exploit.

Form and H2H

Padova's home record shows three wins, two draws, and five losses in their last ten. They average 1.20 goals for and 1.70 against at home. Carrarese have managed only one win, two draws, and seven losses away from the Stadio dei Marmi, scoring just 0.39 goals per match. The pair met twice in 2026: a goalless draw on 31 August and a 1-0 Padova win on 10 February. Carrarese's inability to score on the road—combined with Padova's home advantage and recent profit trends favouring home wins at 10.08—points to a decisive home victory.

Best Bet

Padova to win at 1.96 with 1xBet or 1.84 with 1Win. Carrarese have failed to score in their last two meetings with Padova and arrive as the league's weakest away side by output. Padova's home profit trend for match winner wins stands at 10.08, the strongest indicator available. A clean sheet for the hosts is also in play given Carrarese's attacking poverty.

Odds to Watch

The draw at 3.32 with 1xBet or 3.37 with 1Win carries negative expected value based on Carrarese's away form and Padova's home strength. Carrarese's win at 3.86 with 1xBet or 4.47 with 1Win is a long shot; the away side has won just once in ten road games. Under 2.5 goals remains a viable market given both teams' recent scoring patterns, though exact prices are not available from current partners.