Santos vs Bahia Prediction

Santos host Bahia on 25 October 2026 at 03:00 in Serie A. Santos sit 12th in the 20-team table after returning to the top flight in 2024. Under Pedro Caixinha, the club fights to hold mid-table position in an inconsistent campaign. Over their last six matches, Santos have alternated wins and losses: they beat Fluminense 2-1 and São Paulo 2-1, but lost heavily to Atlético Mineiro 1-2 and 2-4. In recent outings Santos have scored 11 goals and conceded 11, a balance that exposes defensive frailty. Against Fluminense, Gabriel Barbosa struck on 49 minutes and Philippe Coutinho on 54 minutes, with Gabriel Bontempo providing the assist for Coutinho's finish.

Form and H2H

Santos have won six of their last ten home matches, drawn two, and lost two, averaging 1.80 goals for and 1.40 against. Bahia have won five of their last ten away matches, drawn two, and lost three, averaging 1.49 goals for and 1.40 against. Head-to-head records from 2012 to 2014 show a mixed picture: the teams drew 0-0 twice, Santos won 3-0 and 2-0 in two fixtures, while Bahia won 3-1 in one meeting and Santos won 1-0 in another. Santos' home record against draws shows a profit trend of minus 1.10, while their home win trend sits at plus 13.07. Bahia's away draw trend shows a profit of plus 2.74.

Best bet

Santos do not lose. The home side's recent form at the Estádio Vila Belmiro tilts toward a result in their favour or a stalemate. Bahia's away record carries three losses in ten matches, and their draw profit trend of plus 2.74 suggests they are more likely to hold than win on the road. With no current partner prices available, monitor Melbet, 1xBet, 1Win, Mostbet, and 22Bet for the Draw or Home Win market as kickoff approaches.

Odds to watch

Santos' home win profit trend of plus 13.07 is the strongest signal on the card. Their Over 1.5 goals trend shows plus 0.87, indicating slight value in goals markets. Bahia's away Under 1.5 goals trend sits at plus 2.07, suggesting low-scoring patterns when they travel. With no partner prices currently attached, check the main 1X2 market across available operators closer to match day for positioning on a Santos result or draw.