Serbia vs Germany Prediction

Serbia host Germany on 13 November 2026 at 22:45 in a UEFA Nations League clash at the Rajko Mitić Stadium in Belgrade. Germany arrive as heavy favourites after dismantling Serbia 2-0 in Munich on 1 October, a performance where Jürgen Klopp's side restricted the hosts to 0.01 expected goals and forced just one shot on target. That victory marked Klopp's first win in charge, and Germany have built momentum since.

Serbia face a catastrophic injury and suspension crisis. Missing through injury are Lazar Samardžić, Strahinja Pavlović, and Aleksa Terzić. Suspended are Saša Lukić, Nikola Maksimović, and Nemanja Gudelj—effectively leaving Serbia without key midfield and left-back options. Against a Germany side that generated 3.9 expected goals against them in October, this depletion is critical. Serbia have lost four straight matches and seven of their last ten official games across all competitions. They conceded twice to the Netherlands and twice to Germany in October. The psychological toll combined with missing central defenders and midfielders makes holding even a narrow defeat nearly impossible.

Form and H2H

Germany won 5 of their last 10 away matches in Nations League and have not lost in nine of their last ten away games in the competition. They conceded under 3 goals in all ten recent official matches across all tournaments. In October's head-to-head, Germany's control was complete: 3.9 expected goals to 0.01, one shot on target allowed, total dominance.

Serbia have scored under 3.5 goals in their last ten official matches across all tournaments. At home in Nations League, their opponents have scored under 1.5 goals in only 8 of their last 10 matches—a stat that inverts dramatically against a Germany side capable of multiple goals. The only previous meeting between these nations was a 1-1 draw in March 2019.

Best bet

Germany -1.5 (Ф2(-1,5)) is the pick. Serbia's squad depletion in midfield and defence leaves them unable to mount organised resistance for 90 minutes against a Germany side that has already proven it can dismantle them. The 1xBet price is 1.75 for this handicap, offering value on a team that should win by at least two clear goals.

Odds to watch

Germany win stands at 1.3 on 1xBet, reflecting their dominance in recent form and Serbia's current crisis. The draw is 6.22, an unlikely outcome given Germany's attacking intent and Serbia's defensive fragility. A Serbia win is priced at 9.9, which underestimates neither team's trajectory but remains a long shot given the squad absences and recent results.