Sturm Graz vs Marseille Prediction

Sturm Graz host Marseille on 22 October 2026 at 19:45 in the Europa League at Merkur-Arena. The Austrian side bounced back from a 3-0 loss to Bournemouth by hammering Grazer AK 6-1 domestically, though goalkeeper Daniil Khudyakov suffered a serious injury in that win and will be replaced by Ammar Helac. Marseille have lost both opening rounds to Besiktas and Olympiacos but steadied themselves with a 5-2 Ligue 1 victory over Angers. Keyliane Abdallah has recovered from a minor injury, but Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg continues individual training and will not feature.

Form and H2H

Sturm Graz have won five of their last ten home matches, drawing two and losing three, averaging 1.90 goals for and 1.40 against. Marseille's away record over the same stretch reads three wins, no draws, and seven losses, with 1.60 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. The visitors have been particularly vulnerable on the road, conceding 1.67 goals per away fixture in their recent sample. Sturm's home form has been profitable under Over 1.5 goals, posting a 2.24 return, while Marseille's away record shows strength in Under 2 goals at 2.66.

Best Bet

Sturm Graz 2-2 Marseille. Both teams carry defensive weaknesses but possess attacking threat. Sturm average 1.90 goals at home while Marseille concede 1.67 away. The draw price at 1xBet sits at 3.73, offering value for a match that balances Graz's home advantage with Marseille's need to respond after two defeats.

Odds to Watch

Sturm Graz to win is priced at 3.6 with 1xBet, reflecting their home record but also the uncertainty around goalkeeper changes. Marseille's away struggles make the 2.06 price for an away win steep given their zero draws and seven losses in ten recent road games. The draw at 3.73 remains the most balanced option across the 1X2 market.