Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07 Prediction

Werder Bremen host SC Paderborn 07 on 17 October 2026 at 16:30 in Bundesliga round 6. Bremen drew 2-2 at Borussia Dortmund by scoring twice late, showing the attacking intent that will trouble Paderborn. The visitors lost 2-0 to Stuttgart despite 24 attempts and 1.96 expected goals, a pattern of wastefulness that Bremen's defence can exploit. Amor Pieper's knock from the Dortmund match may force Oskar Wojcik into the back line, but Bremen's home record—four wins in the last ten—gives them the edge. Paderborn average 1.71 points per game away from home and arrive with a full squad, yet their clinical finishing remains the weak link. This is a match Bremen should win.

Form and H2H

Bremen have won four of their last ten at home, drawing three and losing three, averaging 1.90 goals for and 2.21 against. Paderborn's away form is stronger—five wins, two draws, three losses—but they average only 1.49 goals scored and 1.20 conceded on the road. The head-to-head record favours Bremen in recent meetings: they won 1-0 at Paderborn on 30 October 2024, and before that drew 2-2 in January 2022. Paderborn's last home win came in August 2021 with a 4-1 victory, but that was five years ago. Bremen's attacking output at home and Paderborn's defensive fragility on the road point to a comfortable home victory.

Best Bet

Back Werder Bremen to win at 1.84 with 1xBet. Bremen's four wins in ten at home and Paderborn's inability to score despite creating chances make the home side the clear pick. The draw at 4.26 offers no value given Bremen's recent form and Paderborn's away record.

Odds to Watch

Werder Bremen 3-1 Paderborn is the correct score prediction. Over 2.5 goals is likely given Bremen's attacking threat and Paderborn's defensive issues. The home win at 1.84 with 1xBet remains the sharpest play, with the away win at 4.21 a poor proposition.