Slovenia vs Switzerland Prediction

Slovenia host Switzerland on 13 November 2026 at 22:45 in a UEFA Nations League fixture moved from Ljubljana to Maribor's Ljudski vrt stadium due to pitch conditions in the capital. Switzerland arrive as clear favourites after seven wins and three draws in their last ten away matches across all competitions, while Slovenia have won just two of their last ten at home.

The Swiss have been ruthless in this Nations League campaign, averaging 2.75 goals scored and only 0.25 conceded across four matches. Their expected goals differential tells the same story: 1.64 xG created versus 0.23 allowed. Slovenia managed just 1.02 xG over four Nations League games and registered only three shots on target per match. That offensive weakness, combined with Switzerland's defensive solidity, shapes the clearest edge in this tie.

Form and H2H

Switzerland have not lost in ten consecutive official matches. They beat Slovenia 2–1 on 3 October and followed with a 3–0 demolition of North Macedonia. Slovenia's recent win over Scotland (2–1 on 6 October) masks a broader pattern: they have won only two of their last ten matches across all competitions. Head-to-head records favour the visitors decisively. In three meetings this year, Switzerland won twice (3–0 in September, 2–1 in October) and drew once (0–0 in October).

Slovenia will be without midfielder Timi Maksimilian Elšnik and defender Jure Balkovec through injury. Defenders Erik Janža and David Zec are suspended, and striker Benjamin Šeško is unavailable due to a calf problem. Switzerland have recalled Granit Xhaka and Breel Embolo after both missed the previous camp, with Xhaka retaining the captaincy.

Best bet

Switzerland win at 1.71 with 1xBet. The visitors have won seven of their last ten away matches and conceded just 0.50 goals per game in that run. Slovenia's attacking output remains anaemic—under 0.5 goals in nine of their last ten Nations League matches—while Switzerland's defensive record (opponents scoring under 1.5 goals in ten consecutive matches) suggests a comfortable away victory. The Swiss need only a point to secure promotion to League A, but their attacking form indicates they will not settle for a draw.

Odds to watch

The draw is priced at 3.68 with 1xBet, reflecting genuine concern about a stalemate. Switzerland's recent form and Nations League trajectory make that price worth monitoring if you expect a cautious approach from either side. Slovenia's win sits at 5.71, a long shot justified by their home record and attacking limitations. Over 2.5 goals remains unlikely given Slovenia's defensive solidity (0.75 goals conceded per match) and their low shot volume, making unders the more natural play in this matchup.