Ajax vs Willem II Prediction

Ajax host Willem II on 15 September 2026 at 21:00 in the Eredivisie. The Amsterdam side arrive as heavy favourites after winning seven of their last ten matches at home, averaging 3.1 goals for and 1.5 against. Willem II have managed only three wins in their last ten away games, conceding 2.03 goals per outing. The head-to-head record is one-sided: Ajax won 5–0 twice (2013, 2014) and 4–0 once (2016), with Willem II's only result a 1–1 draw in 2015. Ajax's home form and Willem II's fragile away record point to a comfortable evening for the hosts.

Form and H2H

Ajax have won 70 percent of their last ten home matches, dropping only two draws and one loss. They score freely at the Johan Cruyff Arena, with an average of over three goals per game. Willem II's away record tells a different story: three wins, three draws, and four losses from ten trips. Their defensive vulnerability—averaging just over two goals conceded per away match—makes them vulnerable to Ajax's attacking rhythm. In six meetings since 2012, Ajax have won four and drawn one, with only one Willem II victory. The aggregate score across these fixtures reads 18–3 in Ajax's favour.

Best Bet

Ajax 3–0 Willem II. The prediction reflects Ajax's dominant home form, Willem II's weak away record, and the historical pattern between these teams. Ajax's last-ten home average of 3.1 goals for and 1.5 against supports a comfortable scoreline. Willem II have conceded 2.03 goals per away game this season, and Ajax's attacking depth should exploit that gap. A clean sheet for Ajax sits at 2.38 with Mostbet, reflecting the likelihood of Willem II's limited threat.

Odds to Watch

Over 2.5 Goals is priced at 1.22 with Mostbet, a tight margin that reflects Ajax's scoring rate at home. Both Teams to Score is available at 2.20 with Mostbet, suggesting Willem II are unlikely to find the net given their away form and Ajax's defensive solidity. The correct score 3–0 carries longer odds but aligns with the prediction and the historical precedent of Ajax's heavy wins over this opponent.